Cowboys vs Giants Pick, Sept 13th 2026
Sunday Night Football • Sept. 13 • 8:20 p.m. ET • NBC • MetLife
Cowboys vs Giants Pick or Preview: Consensus is Dallas -3 (some books -2.5), Giants +3 / +2.5. Moneyline around Cowboys -148 to -165, Giants +124 to +140. Total 47.5–48.5. Team totals near Dallas 24.5 / Giants 21.5.
Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott opens another season with CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens as the featured receivers. Dallas split with New York last year (40-37 OT win in Week 2, 34-17 loss in Week 18) and still owns the long series edge. The offense was among the league’s most productive on a per-play basis in 2025. The defense was not. It finished near the bottom against the pass and allowed a lot of yards to opposing quarterbacks on the ground. That unit was remade in the offseason; Week 1 is the first real look. Javonte Williams is the lead back. Malik Davis is out.
New York Giants
John Harbaugh’s first game as Giants coach. Jaxson Dart is back as the starter after a 4-13 season and a 34-17 home win over Dallas in the 2025 finale. Najee Harris and Cam Skattebo headline the run game. Malik Nabers is questionable with a knee injury. The pass rush (Brian Burns, Kayvon Thibodeaux, Abdul Carter, rookie Arvell Reese) is the calling card. Red-zone finishing was a problem a year ago: New York had the lowest catch rate in goal-to-go situations in the NFL. MetLife on Sunday night is the first test of whether Harbaugh’s staff tightens that up without changing Dart’s scramble-first habits.
Cowboys vs Giants Pick – ATS / series notes:
- Dallas is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings and 16-4 in the last 20.
- Dak Prescott is 14-3 vs the Giants.
- Last meeting (Jan. 4, 2026): Giants 34-17 as home dogs; Over 50.5 cashed.
- Week 2, 2025 in Dallas: Cowboys 40-37 OT.
- Over is 6-4 in the last 10 games between these teams and 5-3 since 2022.
- Last season: Cowboys 7-10 ATS, Giants 9-8 ATS. Cowboys finished 0-5 ATS in their last five.
- Giants as a home dog of 0.5–3: 1-4-1 ATS in their last six of those spots.
- Giants as a dog of 0.5–3 overall: 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10.
- Giants Unders in Week 1: Under 6-0 in their last six openers.
- Cowboys Over as a favorite: Over 5-0 in their last five.
- Malik Nabers is questionable (knee). Malik Davis (DAL, hip) is out.
Free Player Prop Bet 1: George Pickens Over 67.5 receiving yards
Pickens’ 2025 line with Dallas: 93 catches, 1,400+ yards, 9 TDs (about 15.4 yards per catch). Projection shops have him around 69–70 yards tonight; some books list 64.5–69.5. His last 10 games averaged 82.2 receiving yards. He had 5-68-1 in the 2025 Week 2 meeting with New York when all the starters were on the field. In the second meeting most key personnel sat out or were injured. Matchup notes flag a favorable WR/CB number vs Greg Newsome II. If New York shadows CeeDee Lamb, Pickens is the other vertical. Total in the high 47s/low 48s keeps Dallas in a pass script if this stays a one-score game.
Free Player Prop 2: Jaxson Dart anytime touchdown (Yes) Dart is priced around +200 to score.
He is 1-0 as a starter vs Dallas (262 pass yards, 2 TDs in that game). Last season he ran for 32+ yards in 8 of 12 starts and 48+ in seven. Dallas ranked 30th in rushing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks in 2025. New coach John Harbaugh’s first Giants opener; Dart’s designed and scramble looks are built into the offense. Anytime TD includes a rushing score or a short throw he keeps. Goal-to-go catch rate for New York was last in the NFL in 2025 (21.7%), which is why a QB sneak or scramble TD is part of the ticket, not just a pass. covers.com
Some boards still have Pickens at 64.5 or 68.5 and Dart ATD from +150 to +220 so be sure to shop around for the best numbers.
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