#253 ASA PLAY ON Detroit +6 over Pittsburgh, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET
Detroit has come very close to getting their first win a number of times. We feel like it might happen here and we’re getting nearly a TD as a cushion. The Lions lost to both the Vikings and Ravens on FG’s as time expired. A few weeks ago they went to LA to face the Rams as 17 point underdogs and led for much of the game and never trailed by more than 6 points until under 1:00 minute remaining the game (lost by 9). They outgained the potent Rams in that game. This team still has some fight left and they are coming off a bye which is a solid situation. Pittsburgh can’t be trusted as a favorite. They are 0-8 ATS their last 8 laying points. Pittsburgh has won 4 straight and 5 on the season but all of their wins have come by 8 points or less. That includes last week at home vs Chicago where they won by 2 points but were outgained by 134 yards. That was vs a Bears team that ranked dead last in YPP offense. Pittsburgh, despite their 5-4 record, is getting outgained by -0.6 YPP and is one of only 2 teams with a record above .500 that has a negative point differential. This is a Pittsburgh team that more than likely will be under .500 when the season comes to an end. Winless teams after week 4 of the season are 63-38 ATS which fits Detroit here. This just smells like a situation where the Lions will give the Steelers all they can handle. This one goes to the wire and we’ll take the points.
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