ASA NFL South Win Total – Falcons – Aug 27th

NFC SOUTH TOTAL WIN BEST BET – Over 7.5 Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta had high hopes the last few years but came up flat with 7 & 4 wins the last 2 seasons.  Now nobody is talking about them, they have a new coaching staff that should breathe new life into the organization, and we like their odds of getting to at least 8 wins this season.  Last year their 4 win campaign was quite deceiving and their record could have and probably should have been much better.  This team played in 10 one score games and lost 8 of those games.  If you extend that back to the beginning of the 2019 season, Atlanta has a record of just 4-17 in one score games (8-points or less).  Odds are that has to start turning in their favor starting this season.  Looking at last year alone, the Birds actually led with under 3:00 minutes remaining in the game in 5 of their losses!  Atlanta had a point differential of -18 which was actually better than 14 other NFL teams last season.  This team should have been much closer to .500.  They did lose WR Jones, but he was out for much of last season anyway and is on the decline of his career.  QB Matt Ryan will have 2 potentially top tier TE’s on his roster (Pitts & Hurst) and if the offensive line improves they should be solid on that side of the ball.  Besides Brady & the Bucs, the other QB’s in the NFC South this year will be Sam Darnold (Panthers) and either Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill (Saints).  Not great to say the least.  Atlanta’s schedule this year is easier than last season and we expect them win more than 7 games in 2021.