ASA COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PLAY ON Mississippi State -28.5 over UL Monroe, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET
ULM is one of the worst programs in CFB with just 7 wins over FBS opponents in their last 3 seasons. They are just 37-81 SU over the last decade. Their spread record during that time is 48-68-2 ATS. Even when the oddsmakers throw up a big spread against this team they don’t cover. The Warhawks are just 1-7 ATS their last 8 times as a dog of 20+ points.
MSU should be able to name their score here. The Dogs will dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball vs a ULM offensive line that ranks 125th in returning snaps. In addition, the ULM defensive line only brings back 44 total snaps from last season (dead last in the nation). If you’re seeking a valuable free play, college football insights often point to dominant favorites like MSU.
The Warhawks rank 127th in freshmen + portal additions so they don’t have much talent replacing those lost snaps. Mississippi State should run at will here and should hang a huge number in this game. T
The Dogs have one of the top QB’s in the SEC returning (Davis) who will put extra pressure on ULM’s D. He is very athletic and can put up big games on the ground and through the air. For fans looking for this week’s most promising free play in college football, this matchup stands out.
We rate Monroe’s offense and defense outside the top 125 entering this season. Therefore, we look for huge success on both sides of the ball for MSU.
Last year ULM lost their 2 games vs Power 4 teams 73-0 vs Alabama and 42-7 vs Northwestern (one of the worst teams in the Big 10 LY). In fact, going back 4 years, the Warhawks have faced 7 Power 4 teams. They’ve been outscored in those games 363 to 33 (an average score of 51.8 to 4.7!).
Lastly, while Monroe has struggled cashing as a big underdog, Mississippi State has been a bully vs lower tier competition. They are going 15-3-1 ATS as a favorite of 20 or more (since 2017). Let’s lay it. To conclude, this makes for a compelling college football free play, given the teams’ history.
ASA’s ACC Sleeper Team in 2026: Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction
The ACC is deeper and more unbalanced than it used to be: 17 football programs, a new nine-game league slate for most of them, and several rebuilt staffs chasing the same bowl spots. Miami, Clemson, and SMU will get the preseason headlines. Virginia Tech is the team ASA likes as the sleeper.
James Franklin is in Blacksburg after his Penn State run. He brought a proven fill-in quarterback, kept a large chunk of the Hokies’ two-deep, and patched the rest with a top-25 transfer class. ASA’s power ratings have Tech comfortably favored in five games (by six or more points) and sitting near a pick’em in four others. If last year’s turnover problem is cleaned up, a bowl trip is the floor.
2026 ACC Football Teams
The ACC remains a 17-team football league in 2026. Notre Dame continues its ACC scheduling partnership but is not a full football member.
Boston College Eagles
California Golden Bears
Clemson Tigers
Duke Blue Devils
Florida State Seminoles
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Louisville Cardinals
Miami Hurricanes
North Carolina Tar Heels
NC State Wolfpack
Pitt Panthers
SMU Mustangs
Stanford Cardinal
Syracuse Orange
Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Tech Hokies
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Virginia Tech Hokies Betting Prediction
Virginia Tech made the splash hire of the ACC cycle by bringing in James Franklin, the former Penn State head coach. Franklin did not arrive empty-handed. Quarterback Ethan Grunkemeyer followed him from State College after filling in when Drew Allar went down last season. Grunkemeyer led the Nittany Lions to four wins in five starts, with the only loss a three-point defeat to national champion Indiana in a game Penn State outgained the Hoosiers. He completed 69.1% of his passes for 1,339 yards, eight touchdowns, and four interceptions. He is now Virginia Tech’s named starter.
RETURNING STARTERS
Continuity is the other half of the sleeper case. The Hokies return 14 starters, tied for the second-most in the country. Franklin then filled the holes with a solid top-25 transfer portal haul that included several former Penn State pieces on both lines and at skill positions. Combine returning starters with imported snaps and Virginia Tech ranks in the top 25 nationally in overall experience. That is a different profile than a typical Year 1 rebuild.
SCHEDULE HELP
The schedule helps. ASA has Virginia Tech’s strength of schedule outside the top 40. They open with VMI, then move into an ACC slate that is demanding but not brutal every week. Our power ratings currently have the Hokies comfortably favored in five games (-6 or better) and essentially a coin flip in four more. That is a bowl path if they play clean football.
TURNOVER ISSUES
The caution flag is real. Last year’s team ranked 120th in turnover margin, and that alone can wipe out talent and coaching upgrades. Franklin’s staffs have generally been sharper in that area. If Tech stops giving games away, the talent and experience are already in place to get back to six or seven wins.
Why ASA likes them as the ACC sleeper
A Power Four coach with a known quarterback, 14 returning starters, a top-25 portal class, top-25 overall snap experience, and a schedule that is not loaded with landmines. That is how a 3-9 program becomes a bowl team in one offseason. The Hokies are not the ACC favorite. They are the team most likely to beat the preseason projection.Check ASAwins.com for updated ACC power ratings, weekly picks, and betting analysis as the season starts.
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Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026: Why ASA Picks OSU as the Big 12 Prediction
Oklahoma State CowboysCollege football’s most chaotic conference is back with 16 teams, nine league games each, and plenty of room for a team nobody is talking about in August to wreck November. After a 1-11 collapse in 2025, the Oklahoma State Cowboys are that team. Notably, the Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026: Why ASA Picks OSU as the Big 12 Sleeper storyline is already picking up steam among analysts.
ASA’s power ratings have the Cowboys favored in seven of their 12 games. They face only two opponents currently inside our top 30 (Oregon and Texas Tech). A new coach is on the sidelines. Additionally, they have a top-shelf transfer quarterback and one of the most experienced (if brand-new) rosters in the country. This makes Stillwater the most interesting rebuild in the Big 12. Furthermore, it is evidence for Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026: Why ASA Picks OSU as the Big 12 Sleeper to be on every preview list this season.
2026 Big 12 Football Teams
The Big 12 remains a 16-team league in 2026 with no membership changes.
Arizona Wildcats
Arizona State Sun Devils
Baylor Bears
BYU Cougars
Cincinnati Bearcats
Colorado Buffaloes
Houston Cougars
Iowa State Cyclones
Kansas Jayhawks
Kansas State Wildcats
Oklahoma State Cowboys
TCU Horned Frogs
Texas Tech Red Raiders
UCF Knights
Utah Utes
West Virginia Mountaineers
Texas Tech and BYU enter as the consensus favorites after last season’s championship game. Houston and Utah sit in the next tier. Oklahoma State is the team that can jump from afterthought to bowl favorite—or higher—if Year 1 under Eric Morris pans out. As you can see, Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026: Why ASA Picks OSU as the Big 12 Sleeper is a question on the minds of many fans and media alike.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction
Oklahoma State fired legendary head coach Mike Gundy during a disastrous 1-11 campaign and turned to North Texas head coach Eric Morris. Morris just finished 12-2 with the Mean Green and was widely viewed as one of the best hires of the cycle. Analysts including Bill Connelly flagged the move as a high-upside fit; we agree.
COACHING
Morris brought his offense with him. The centerpiece is quarterback Drew Mestemaker, who followed his coach from Denton to Stillwater. As a redshirt freshman at North Texas, Mestemaker threw for 4,379 yards and 34 touchdowns. He led the FBS in passing yards and won American Conference Offensive Player of the Year honors. He is already drawing preseason All-Big 12 attention and Newcomer of the Year buzz.
ROSTER IMPROVEMENTS
The roster overhaul was massive. Morris added 50-plus transfers (sources range from the mid-50s to the mid-60s depending on counting method), including a large contingent of former North Texas players. 247Sports ranked the haul among the top 15 nationally and No. 2 in the Big 12. The Cowboys return almost none of last year’s snaps—one of the lowest percentages in FBS. However, they imported so much proven production that their total career FBS experience ranks near the top of the country. In fact, there are roughly 18,000-plus snaps on the offensive side alone in some tallies, and top-five overall career snaps in CBS Sports’ roster study.
SKILL POSITIONS
That experience shows up in the skill positions. Running back Caleb Hawkins and wide receiver Wyatt Young also came from North Texas and earned preseason All-Big 12 notice. The offense should be explosive from Week 1. The defense is the question mark. Indeed, Morris’s North Texas units improved under coordinator Skyler Cassity, who followed him to Stillwater, but the Cowboys must prove they can stop Big 12 offenses after ranking near the bottom of the league a year ago. Chemistry on a roster with 80-plus new players will decide whether this is a six-win team or a nine-win surprise. Ultimately, the Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026: Why ASA Picks OSU as the Big 12 Sleeper discussion will depend on how Morris’s system and the new talent come together in conference play.
2026 schedule snapshot
Oklahoma State opens at Tulsa, hosts Oregon in Morris’s home debut, then plays Murray State before a critical conference opener at West Virginia. League games include home dates against UCF, Colorado, Texas Tech, and Kansas, plus road trips to Houston, Iowa State, Kansas State, and Arizona State. Missing BYU and Utah on the conference slate helps. The two games against current top-30 teams (Oregon and Texas Tech) are both at Boone Pickens Stadium.
ASA’s power ratings currently project the Cowboys as favorites in seven games. That lines up with several national projections that have them in the 8-4 to 9-3 range. This is true if the offense translates and the defense is merely average. Preseason media polls have them around ninth in the league—exactly where a sleeper lives.
If Mestemaker plays like the nation’s leading passer and Morris’s staff installs the system quickly, Oklahoma State will not finish ninth. The Cowboys have the pieces to contend for a bowl berth at minimum. They also have a surprise run at the top half of the Big 12 if a few results bounce their way. That’s why ASA has Oklahoma State as the Big 12 sleeper of 2026. In summary, Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026: Why ASA Picks OSU as the Big 12 Sleeper is rooted in their upside to quickly rebuild and surprise the conference this season.
Check back at ASAwins.com for updated power ratings, weekly picks, and betting analysis as the season unfolds.
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ASA COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PLAY ON Mississippi State -28.5 over UL Monroe, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET ULM is one of the worst programs in CFB with just 7 wins over FBS opponents in their last 3 seasons. They are just 37-81 SU over the last decade. Their spread record during that time is 48-68-2… Read more: College Football Free Play | September 5 2026
MLB Free play Milwaukee Brewers Run Line -160 over Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 6:10 PM ET The Brewers are off a loss and have won 5 of 7 when coming off a loss. They lost a tight one against the Cubs yesterday but now will take advantage of facing the Reds today. In matchups like today’s… Read more: MLB Free play Brewers vs Reds | Sept 4, 2026
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ASA’s ACC Sleeper Team in 2026: Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction The ACC is deeper and more unbalanced than it used to be: 17 football programs, a new nine-game league slate for most of them, and several rebuilt staffs chasing the same bowl spots. Miami, Clemson, and SMU will get the preseason headlines. Virginia Tech is… Read more: ACC Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction 2026
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Eastern Michigan (-9.5) over Sacramento St, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET
Today’s college football free pick for Saturday, August 29th. Sacramento State makes the jump from FCS to FBS this season. It starts with a long road trip to Michigan. Speaking of long road trips. Sac St is now in the MAC. Therefore, long road trips will be the norm for this team. This is something we’ll have to track as the year progresses. For those seeking a College Football Free Pick: Eastern Michigan -9.5 vs Sacramento State is attracting attention opening weekend.
SACRAMENTO STATE STEPPING UP IN CLASS
Not only are the Hornets taking a big step up in competition, they are also going through a transition to a new head coach. This is their 3rd in 3 years. Alonzo Carter takes over the helm after coming over from Arizona where he was the RB’s coach. Carter has never been a head coach. In contrast, he is taking on EMU’s head man Chris Creighton who has coached well over 300 games at the FBS level. In the context of College Football Free Pick: Eastern Michigan -9.5 vs Sacramento State, coaching stability could be a key difference.
EAGLES EXPERIENCE
The Eagles have a veteran team coming back ranking 24th nationally in returning production. This includes QB Kim (2,800 yards and 18 TD’s last year) who is one of the top few signal callers in the MAC.
HORNETS REBUILD MODE
On the other side, Sac St is in full rebuild mode ranking 131st in returning production. Their offensive line is very young ranking 133rd in career starts. Furthermore, the offense as a whole has just 1 returning starter and lost their QB, top 5 rushers, and 3 of their top 4 pass catchers. They have 73 brand new players in the program entering this year. Therefore, this team will struggle early in the season as they try and build some chemistry.
LINE MOVEMENT
This line opened closer to -7 but we still think EMU is worth a look. However, we wouldn’t lay over 10 in this game if it does jump up. While we’re a bit apprehensive laying significant points with Eastern Michigan, this is a really solid spot for the Eagles in their home opener vs a decimated team stepping up in class. To sum up, the College Football Free Pick: Eastern Michigan -9.5 vs Sacramento State provides value based on the current matchup dynamics.
SUMMARY
ASA’s college football free bet: Eastern Michigan -9.5 vs. Sacramento State – Enjoy the game! Additionally, this College Football Free Pick: Eastern Michigan -9.5 vs Sacramento State is one to watch for Saturday’s action.
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2026 Regular Season Win Total Projections courtesy Draftkings:
Boston College 3.5
California 6.5
Clemson 7.5
Duke 5.5
Florida State 6.5
Georgia Tech 6.5
Louisville 8.5
Miami FL 10.5
NC State 7.5
North Carolina 4.5
Pittsburgh 7.5
SMU 8.5
Stanford 3.5
Syracuse 4.5
Virginia 7.5
Virginia Tech 6.5
Wake Forest 5.5
ASA ACC Win Total Projections 2026: Cal Under 6.5 & Clemson Over 7.5
Looking for the best ACC win total projections ahead of the 2026 college football season? Our latest ACC football win total analysis highlights one team we like Under its season win total and one we strongly favor Over.
Here are our top ACC win total projections at DraftKings.
California Golden Bears Under 6.5 Wins (-130)
Cal finished with a 6-6 regular season record last year, and we expect the Golden Bears to take a small step back in 2026. They went 4-4 in ACC play, but all four of their conference wins came by four points or fewer, while three of their four losses were by double digits. Their average ACC win margin was just +3.25 points, while their average loss was a lopsided -15.75 points. In short, they were fortunate to finish .500 in league play.
The Bears were also outgained overall on both a yards-per-game and yards-per-play basis. While they return a solid quarterback in Jeron-Keawe Sagapolutele, they enter the year with a first-time head coach plus new offensive and defensive coordinators. An adjustment period is likely.
Although Cal avoids the ACC’s top team (Miami) this season, the schedule still presents challenges. The Bears make three trips to the East Coast and face non-conference tests at UNLV and against UCLA. We project them as clear favorites in only two games (vs. Wagner and Stanford). Cal has not exceeded six regular-season wins since 2019.
Projection: 6-6 at best, more likely 5-7. We like the California Golden Bears Under 6.5 wins.
Clemson Tigers Over 7.5 Wins (-140)
Clemson entered last season as a top-10 team but disappointed with a 7-5 regular-season record. We expect a solid bounce-back in 2026 from a program that has claimed eight of the last 11 ACC titles. Playing with slightly less external pressure could actually help the Tigers.
Despite going 4-4 in ACC play last year, Clemson outgained its conference opponents by nearly +70 yards per game—a performance that typically produces a record closer to 6-2. The defense should take another step forward under second-year coordinator Tom Allen, one of the top defensive minds in the country. We rate the Tigers’ defensive line, linebackers, and secondary as top-three units in the ACC.
While they must replace former starter Cade Klubnik, new quarterback Christopher Vizzina showed promise in his lone start last season, throwing for 317 yards and three touchdowns against a strong SMU defense. He returns for his third year in the program and has plenty of weapons around him if he can stay consistent.
Schedule-wise, Clemson avoids both Louisville and SMU—two of the ACC’s strongest teams alongside Miami and the Tigers themselves. They also enjoy a favorable home slate with seven home games and just five on the road. Prior to last season, Clemson had not failed to win at least eight regular-season games since 2010.
Projection: Bounce-back year for the Tigers. We like Clemson Over 7.5 wins.
Final Thoughts on These ACC Win Total Projections
These two plays stand out among our 2026 ACC football win total projections. The California Golden Bears face roster and coaching transition challenges that should keep them under their number, while Clemson has the talent, defense, and schedule to clear 7.5 wins comfortably.Stay locked in for more college football win total projections and ACC betting analysis throughout the offseason.
CHECK BACK DAILY AS WE CONTINUE TO ADD CONFERENCE WIN TOTAL PREDICTIONS AND MUCH MORE…
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Ouch #Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights were favored by 30ish points tonight at home vs #UMass and they trail the Minutemen 24-7 at half! Massachusetts dominating with 251 total yards at half to just 108 for Rutgers. #CFBThursday
