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WNBA Free Bet Today: Phoenix Mercury +6.5 at Atlanta Dream

WNBA free bet today

WNBA Free Bet Today: Phoenix Mercury +6.5 at Atlanta Dream – 7pm ET tipoff – Wednesday, August 5th 2026

Looking for a sharp WNBA free bet today? ASAWins continues smashing the books in the WNBA with a scorching 22-6 streak since early July. After two profitable seasons and a strong start to year three (already 27 units of net profit), here’s our featured free WNBA play for Tuesday, August 5.

Phoenix Mercury +6.5 at Atlanta Dream 7:00 PM ET

Phoenix has been something of an enigma this season at 12-19 straight up, despite essentially the same roster that reached the Finals a year ago. The Mercury went all-in with a trade for perennial All-Star and instant offense Kelsey Plum (averaging 23.6 points per game). The results showed with a win over Chicago in her debut with the Mercury on Monday:

Phoenix is 4-1 in its last five games (the only loss coming against New York) and ranks 5th in the league in net rating (+4.2) over that stretch.

The biggest jump has come on the defensive end, where the Mercury have been excellent. With Plum now in the mix to boost the offense, this team can become dangerous if it reaches the playoffs.

Atlanta is 5-1 in its last six games, but the wins look softer on paper (Sparks, Tempo, Sky, Storm, plus one quality win over the Wings). The Dream’s net rating over a comparable recent stretch sits at just +1.6. More telling: Atlanta has covered only one of those recent games and sits at just 1 cover in its last 10.

While Atlanta grades as better than average in both offensive and defensive rating, it doesn’t shoot particularly well (49.4% eFG%, 12th-worst in the league). Phoenix, with Plum’s scoring punch, should find plenty of looks against a Dream defense that ranks last in the WNBA in opponents’ field-goal percentage allowed.

The Play: Phoenix Mercury +6.5

Grab the points with the Mercury in this matchup.

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ASA ACC Win Total Projections: Cal Under & Clemson Over

ACC predictions 2026

ASA’s ACC WIN TOTAL PROJECTIONS

2026 Regular Season Win Total Projections courtesy Draftkings:

Boston College 3.5

California 6.5

Clemson 7.5

Duke 5.5

Florida State 6.5

Georgia Tech 6.5

Louisville 8.5

Miami FL 10.5

NC State 7.5

North Carolina 4.5

Pittsburgh 7.5

SMU 8.5

Stanford 3.5

Syracuse 4.5

Virginia 7.5

Virginia Tech 6.5

Wake Forest 5.5

ASA ACC Win Total Projections 2026: Cal Under 6.5 & Clemson Over 7.5

Looking for the best ACC win total projections ahead of the 2026 college football season? Our latest ACC football win total analysis highlights one team we like Under its season win total and one we strongly favor Over.

Here are our top ACC win total projections at DraftKings.

california bears under 6.5 wins

California Golden Bears Under 6.5 Wins (-130)

Cal finished with a 6-6 regular season record last year, and we expect the Golden Bears to take a small step back in 2026. They went 4-4 in ACC play, but all four of their conference wins came by four points or fewer, while three of their four losses were by double digits. Their average ACC win margin was just +3.25 points, while their average loss was a lopsided -15.75 points. In short, they were fortunate to finish .500 in league play.

The Bears were also outgained overall on both a yards-per-game and yards-per-play basis. While they return a solid quarterback in Jeron-Keawe Sagapolutele, they enter the year with a first-time head coach plus new offensive and defensive coordinators. An adjustment period is likely.

Although Cal avoids the ACC’s top team (Miami) this season, the schedule still presents challenges. The Bears make three trips to the East Coast and face non-conference tests at UNLV and against UCLA. We project them as clear favorites in only two games (vs. Wagner and Stanford). Cal has not exceeded six regular-season wins since 2019.

Projection: 6-6 at best, more likely 5-7. We like the California Golden Bears Under 6.5 wins.

Clemson Tigers Over 7.5 Wins (-140)

Clemson Over 7.5 wins

Clemson entered last season as a top-10 team but disappointed with a 7-5 regular-season record. We expect a solid bounce-back in 2026 from a program that has claimed eight of the last 11 ACC titles. Playing with slightly less external pressure could actually help the Tigers.

Despite going 4-4 in ACC play last year, Clemson outgained its conference opponents by nearly +70 yards per game—a performance that typically produces a record closer to 6-2. The defense should take another step forward under second-year coordinator Tom Allen, one of the top defensive minds in the country. We rate the Tigers’ defensive line, linebackers, and secondary as top-three units in the ACC.

While they must replace former starter Cade Klubnik, new quarterback Christopher Vizzina showed promise in his lone start last season, throwing for 317 yards and three touchdowns against a strong SMU defense. He returns for his third year in the program and has plenty of weapons around him if he can stay consistent.

Schedule-wise, Clemson avoids both Louisville and SMU—two of the ACC’s strongest teams alongside Miami and the Tigers themselves. They also enjoy a favorable home slate with seven home games and just five on the road. Prior to last season, Clemson had not failed to win at least eight regular-season games since 2010.

Projection: Bounce-back year for the Tigers. We like Clemson Over 7.5 wins.

Final Thoughts on These ACC Win Total Projections

These two plays stand out among our 2026 ACC football win total projections. The California Golden Bears face roster and coaching transition challenges that should keep them under their number, while Clemson has the talent, defense, and schedule to clear 7.5 wins comfortably.Stay locked in for more college football win total projections and ACC betting analysis throughout the offseason.

CHECK BACK DAILY AS WE CONTINUE TO ADD CONFERENCE WIN TOTAL PREDICTIONS AND MUCH MORE…

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2026 NFL MVP Odds: Joe Burrow Favored, Jordan Love Mid-Tier, Bo Nix Longshot Analysis

2026 NFL MVP odds

The race for the 2026 NFL MVP award is heating up early, with several young quarterbacks positioned for big seasons. Importantly, fans and bettors are already watching the shifting 2026 NFL MVP odds closely as the preseason unfolds.

Joe Burrow leads the odds at +900 as the clear favorite. Meanwhile, Jordan Love sits in the mid-tier at +1600 and Bo Nix offers longshot value at +3000. Here’s a closer look at why these three QBs stand out for MVP consideration heading into the 2026 season. In addition, here’s what it could mean for 2026 NFL MVP odds.

Favorite – Joe Burrow (+900)

Joe Burrow has been outstanding since entering the NFL in 2020. He owns a strong 3:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio and the third-highest career passer rating in league history at 101.1. The main knock against him remains availability—he has played a full season in only three of his six years.

In 2024, his most recent full season, Burrow finished fourth in MVP voting after throwing for nearly 5,000 yards and accounting for 45 total touchdowns against just 9 interceptions. That production closely mirrors Matthew Stafford’s 2025 MVP campaign.

Looking ahead to 2026, the Cincinnati Bengals again feature one of the league’s most explosive offenses. Burrow is backed by the highest-paid wide receiver duo in NFL history in Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. If the Bengals keep their franchise quarterback healthy, they have a strong chance to exceed their 9.5 win total. In that scenario, expect Burrow to approach 5,000 yards, 40+ touchdowns, and single-digit interceptions. These numbers would put him firmly in the MVP conversation. Notably, these performances are central to the 2026 NFL MVP odds projections.

Mid-Tier – Jordan Love (+1600)

Jordan Love has quietly posted three strong seasons to begin his career. He holds a solid 2.6:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio and a 96.8 passer rating, ranking him 12th in NFL history.

The Green Bay Packers have traditionally leaned heavily on the run, ranking 27th and 30th in pass attempts over the past two seasons. With an aging Josh Jacobs and a loaded NFC North, Love will likely be asked to shoulder more of the offensive load in his fourth year as the starter. If Green Bay simply increases its passing volume to league average, and Love maintains his efficiency, he could post MVP-caliber numbers: 4,500+ yards, 35+ touchdowns, and 12 or fewer interceptions.

A talented group of pass-catchers—including Tucker Kraft, Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, and Matthew Golden—gives Love the supporting cast needed for a longshot MVP push. He currently ranks 10th in overall MVP odds. As a result, bettors looking to capitalize on 2026 NFL MVP odds may consider Love as a value pick.

Longshot – Bo Nix (+3000)

Volume is the biggest reason Bo Nix has a realistic path to MVP-level production. As a rookie he ranked sixth in total pass attempts. In his second season, he threw the ball more than any other quarterback in the NFL. He did this after earning greater trust from head coach Sean Payton.

Nix enters his third year with the 16th-best odds to win MVP. Few other quarterbacks combine high passing volume with a chance to play on a contending team. That team is capable of highlighting strong quarterback play. The Denver Broncos won 14 games last season. If they battle for the AFC West title again and Nix improves his efficiency, there is clear betting value here.

The addition of Jaylen Waddle further strengthens the receiving corps. Meanwhile, Nix’s dual-threat ability (nine rushing touchdowns over the past two seasons) adds another dimension that could boost his overall production.

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WNBA free bet today | Liberty at Wings | July 20

WNBA free bet Liberty

ASA WNBA free bet today on NY Liberty +3.5 at Dallas Wings, 8pm ET

These two teams have played similar strength of schedules and have Net ratings of +5.3 for Dallas and +4.6 for the Liberty. New York has played much of the season without perennial All-Star Sabrina Ionescu, who is back from injury and playing well. Ionescu has put up 26, 17, 14, 25, 28 and 12 points in her last 6-games.

New York is the more desperate team right now after losing 4-straight games, one of which was at home to this same Wings team. The Liberty were coming off a huge win over the Lynx in the Commissioners Cup Championship game and suffered a letdown. Following their game against the Wings the Liberty faced the Lynx again and lost then were upset in Toronto on Sunday night before getting embarrassed in Indiana on Saturday by 20-points.

Dallas on the other hand has won 6-straight games but other than their victory in New York, the other 5 wins weren’t overly impressive coming against the Sky, Sun and two versus the Tempo and the Sparks.

Dallas has a slight edge offensively for the season, but again, the Liberty were without Ionescu for the start of the season. Defensively the Liberty have the edge ranking 5th compared to the Wings at the 8th position. The Wings have the 10th worst FG% defense in the league and rank 12th in 3PT% D.

New York off a loss is historically good with a 23-17 SU record and an average +/- in those games of +2.1ppg. We will gladly take whatever points are available with New York in this one as our free WNBA bet.

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WNBA Free Bet Sky vs Aces – July 3rd 2026

ASA’s Free WNBA bet on Chicago Sky +7.5 at Las Vegas Aces, 10pm ET

The Sky got plenty of rest with the Commissioners Cup break while the Aces traveled to New York to face the Liberty in the Championship game. Unfortunately for the Aces they lost to the Liberty and now travel back home to face an improving young Sky team. Chicago had won two straight games against Portland before losing at home to this same Aces team 99-107. A solid indicator of how much better the Sky are playing shows up in their last 5-game Net rating of +4.2 which is 4th best in the league. Granted, Las Vegas is one of the best teams in the league, but they have an average scoring differential of +4.3PPG which is clearly not enough to get a cover in this situation. Chicago has an average margin of victory of -3.1PPG. Las Vegas has really good numbers when coming off a loss but they also just beat this team, are coming off that emotional game in NY AND have a massive game on deck with the Fever. It’s a good spot to grab the value with the Sky.

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