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WNBA Free Bet Today: Phoenix Mercury +6.5 at Atlanta Dream

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WNBA Free Bet Today: Phoenix Mercury +6.5 at Atlanta Dream – 7pm ET tipoff – Wednesday, August 5th 2026

Looking for a sharp WNBA free bet today? ASAWins continues smashing the books in the WNBA with a scorching 22-6 streak since early July. After two profitable seasons and a strong start to year three (already 27 units of net profit), here’s our featured free WNBA play for Tuesday, August 5.

Phoenix Mercury +6.5 at Atlanta Dream 7:00 PM ET

Phoenix has been something of an enigma this season at 12-19 straight up, despite essentially the same roster that reached the Finals a year ago. The Mercury went all-in with a trade for perennial All-Star and instant offense Kelsey Plum (averaging 23.6 points per game). The results showed with a win over Chicago in her debut with the Mercury on Monday:

Phoenix is 4-1 in its last five games (the only loss coming against New York) and ranks 5th in the league in net rating (+4.2) over that stretch.

The biggest jump has come on the defensive end, where the Mercury have been excellent. With Plum now in the mix to boost the offense, this team can become dangerous if it reaches the playoffs.

Atlanta is 5-1 in its last six games, but the wins look softer on paper (Sparks, Tempo, Sky, Storm, plus one quality win over the Wings). The Dream’s net rating over a comparable recent stretch sits at just +1.6. More telling: Atlanta has covered only one of those recent games and sits at just 1 cover in its last 10.

While Atlanta grades as better than average in both offensive and defensive rating, it doesn’t shoot particularly well (49.4% eFG%, 12th-worst in the league). Phoenix, with Plum’s scoring punch, should find plenty of looks against a Dream defense that ranks last in the WNBA in opponents’ field-goal percentage allowed.

The Play: Phoenix Mercury +6.5

Grab the points with the Mercury in this matchup.

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