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WNBA Free Bet Today: Phoenix Mercury +6.5 at Atlanta Dream

WNBA free bet today

WNBA Free Bet Today: Phoenix Mercury +6.5 at Atlanta Dream – 7pm ET tipoff – Wednesday, August 5th 2026

Looking for a sharp WNBA free bet today? ASAWins continues smashing the books in the WNBA with a scorching 22-6 streak since early July. After two profitable seasons and a strong start to year three (already 27 units of net profit), here’s our featured free WNBA play for Tuesday, August 5.

Phoenix Mercury +6.5 at Atlanta Dream 7:00 PM ET

Phoenix has been something of an enigma this season at 12-19 straight up, despite essentially the same roster that reached the Finals a year ago. The Mercury went all-in with a trade for perennial All-Star and instant offense Kelsey Plum (averaging 23.6 points per game). The results showed with a win over Chicago in her debut with the Mercury on Monday:

Phoenix is 4-1 in its last five games (the only loss coming against New York) and ranks 5th in the league in net rating (+4.2) over that stretch.

The biggest jump has come on the defensive end, where the Mercury have been excellent. With Plum now in the mix to boost the offense, this team can become dangerous if it reaches the playoffs.

Atlanta is 5-1 in its last six games, but the wins look softer on paper (Sparks, Tempo, Sky, Storm, plus one quality win over the Wings). The Dream’s net rating over a comparable recent stretch sits at just +1.6. More telling: Atlanta has covered only one of those recent games and sits at just 1 cover in its last 10.

While Atlanta grades as better than average in both offensive and defensive rating, it doesn’t shoot particularly well (49.4% eFG%, 12th-worst in the league). Phoenix, with Plum’s scoring punch, should find plenty of looks against a Dream defense that ranks last in the WNBA in opponents’ field-goal percentage allowed.

The Play: Phoenix Mercury +6.5

Grab the points with the Mercury in this matchup.


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ASA WNBA Free Bet – Mercury vs Wings – June 11 2026

ASA WNBA play on Dallas Wings -6.5 vs. Phoenix Mercury, 8pm ET

The Wings are playing well right now with a 6-3 overall record which includes winning 4 of their last five. In this current stretch of games, they have two solid wins over the Aces and Liberty and the lone loss was respectable considering it came in Minnesota. Dallas has won three straight at home including that win against the Aces by 8-points. They were recently a -13.5 point home favorite against Seattle and won that game by 23-points. Dallas currently has the 2nd best Net rating in the league +8.0. Phoenix has been a big disappointment this season with a 3-8 SU record and a negative Net rating of -4.3. The 3 wins this season are against Portland, Seattle and Chicago – three of the worst teams in the league. The Wings are the 4th best overall shooting team in the league and 4th in 3PT%. They should have an easy time knocking down shots against this Mercury defense that ranks 11th in FG% defense and 15th in 3PT% D. Lay it with Dallas tonight.

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WNBA Free Bet | Mercury vs Lynx | Over or Under? Sept 23 2025

ASAwins WNBA Free bet on UNDER 159.5 Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx, 7:30pm ET

The trend in this rivalry has been UNDER this season with 5 straight clashes staying below the posted number. WNBA games averaged 163 total points this season with roughly 135 field goal attempts. In the five meetings between these two teams this season the average total points scored is 148.8ppg. A big reason why this has been lower scoring is the defenses for both teams. The Lynx have the lowest Defensive Net rating in the league at 97.5, the Mercury rank 5th at 100.4. Minnesota has the 2nd best FG% defense in the league, holding opponents to 42.1% shooting. Phoenix has the 4th best FG% D allowing 42.3% shooting by opponents. We don’t see these two teams getting into the 160’s in this one. Bet UNDER.

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WNBA free pick today | Storm vs Sparks prediction | Aug 10 2025

ASAwins WNBA free play on LA Sparks +4.5 vs. Seattle Storm, 8pm ET

These two teams recently met in Seattle with the Sparks winning a thrilling OT game 108-106. The interesting part was that the Storm were favored by the same number in their own building and now priced the same in this game.

Granted, the Sparks are coming off a game last night but still that’s an over-adjustment by the oddsmakers, giving us value on L.A.

Los Angeles has won 8 of their last ten games with the 4th best Net rating in the league at +4.8. Seattle continues to underachieve this season and currently stand 16-15 SU on the season.

The Storm have lost 4-straight games as their defense has slipped to 8th in Defensive Net rating over that course of games. Off a very poor showing last night we expect the Sparks to bounce back today and keep this close.

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WNBA Free bet today | Liberty vs Wings prediction | Aug 8 2025

ASAwins WNBA free bet on Dallas Wings +8.5 vs. NY Liberty, 7:30pm ET

We have a slight lean to the Wings on this game but will check the starting lineups before tipoff to make sure Wings PG Paige Bueckers is in the lineup. Bueckers was taken to the locker room in the last game against this same Liberty team on Tuesday night but reports are that she will play tonight. New York has had their ups and downs in recent weeks and are 2-4 SU in their last six games. They are not in a great scheduling situation here as they just beat this Wings team by 11 points (as -11.5-point favorite) and have a massive game looming against the Lynx. It’s logical they would overlook this Dallas team in anticipation of that showdown on Sunday. New York is 2-10-1 ATS their last 13 on the road. Dallas is capable of beating this team on their home court as they did in late July 92-82 as an 8-point dog. Dallas as a home dog of +7.5 or more points has covered 4 of their last five in that role. Tread lightly with a play on the Wings.

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