ASA’s NHL Predictions 2025: Play: Stars Over, Leafs Under, Knights Cup Run
The Picks: Dallas Stars Over 51.5 wins (+100), Toronto Maple Leafs Under 46.5 wins (-110), and Vegas Golden Knights to win 2025-26 Stanley Cup (+900).
Dallas crushed it in 2024-25 despite chaosโ50 wins and 106 points even after dropping their final seven games, with key injuries sidelining Tyler Seguin and Miro Heiskanen for chunks of the season. They still ranked 3rd league-wide in goals for (275) and 6th in goals against (222), boasting a +53 differential. Full health plus Mikko Rantanen (projected 88+ points) and new (old) coach Glen Gulutzan returning for his 2nd stint with Dallas? Easy push to 53+ wins in a winnable Central.
Toronto’s core sparkled offensively last year (7th in GF at 267), but losing Mitch Marner craters their top-six productionโhis 102+ point pace leaves a gaping hole, especially with defensive lapses persisting (8th in GA at 229). Coach Craig Berube in his 2nd season stabilizes, but without Marner’s playmaking, expect regression to 44 wins max in a shark tank Atlantic.
Vegas reloaded masterfully, snagging Marner (741 points since ’16-17) to pair with Jack Eichel’s rising star power, offsetting 2024-25’s injury-riddled second-round exit (despite a 4-2 first-round W). Offensively this team was 4th in total shots on goal, 5th in goals scored and 2nd in power play percentage. Their defense (led by Shea Theodore โ 3RD in GA 214) and depth scream contenderโ+900 is steal value for a proven Cup squad (2023 champs) primed for a deep Pacific run. Fade the doubters; Knights hoist it in June.
The NHL starts Tuesday, October 7th – get your action in before the puck drops.
NBA Longshot โ We have you covered โ Denver Nuggets (+850) As we mentioned in our Efficiency Champions article, the Nuggets didnโt have the defensive efficiency stats to qualify this year as a potential NBA Champion (efficiency wise) but their overall efficiency differential is 7th best. The Nuggets suffered through several key injuries to theirโฆ Read more: NBA Longshot – Denver Nuggets +850
Our Money is on a team everyone is sleeping onโฆDetroit Pistons +425 to win the Eastern Conference The Celtics are the odds on favorites to win the East and we wonโt argue that as theyโve been really, really good this season and even a 70% Jayson Taytum is better than most players in the NBA.โฆ Read more: NBA Eastern Conference Champs – Pistons +425
NBA Champions based on Efficiency stats! By โ ASA So, youโre thinking about a future wager on the NBA Championship and youโre not sure who to take? We can help you with some proven statistics that may accurately predict who this yearโs Champion may be and rule out the most obvious media darling pretenders. Theโฆ Read more: NBA Champions Predictions – Proven Efficiency Stats
NBA betting forecast – By ASAwins.com With the NBA season drawing to a close we hear many sports outlets talking about postseason awards and who specifically is going to be MVP. Let me be upfront with this, I am not a Nikola Jokic super-fan, I’m a basketball guy. In my opinion, the NBA in theโฆ Read more: NBA results without Jokic, SGA and Wemby on a roster
Why Nikola Jokiฤ at +6000 for NBA MVP Is the Sharpest Bet on the Board As the 2025-26 regular season winds down, the MVP race has a clear favorite in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and serious buzz around Victor Wembanyama. But Nikola Jokiฤ sits at +6000 on most sportsbooksโthird in the odds but treated like an afterthoughtโฆ Read more: NBA MVP odds | Longshot Nikola Jokic – Denver Nuggets
Welcome to our 2025 MLB Futures Predictions! As the new season approaches, weโre diving into the American and National Leagues to break down each teamโs outlook. From win totals to key roster changes, our ASA Analysis digs into pitching, bullpens, and batting to give you the edge on what to expect. Whether youโre eyeing bets or just love the game, check out our projectionsโbacked by 2024 results and the latest offseason moves as of March 2025. Letโs see whoโs poised to shine and who might stumble in the race to October!
American League Projections
AL East
Baltimore Orioles: 2024 Wins: 91. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Zach Eflin anchors, but Grayson Rodriguezโs injury hurts depth. Lost ace Burnes to Arizona. Bullpen: Solid, no major upgrades. Batting: Young core (Henderson, Rutschman) excels, but Henderson starts on IL. Projection: 84 wins (Burnes impossible to replace).
Boston Red Sox: 2024 Wins: 81. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Garrett Crochet adds strikeouts, Buehler from Dodgers helps, but rotation depth is thin. Bullpen: Average. Batting: Resurgent with Casas, Yoshida (starts on IL), plus Bregman (24+ HRs in 5 of last 6 full seasons). Projection: 85 wins (key pitching adds lift from 2024).
New York Yankees: 2024 Wins: 94. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 88.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Rodรณn returns, Cole lost for season, Fried (3.07 lifetime ERA) from Atlanta a big add. Bullpen: Reliable, not elite. Batting: Sotoโs exit stings, Judge carries. Projection: 87 wins (-7, Soto and Cole losses hurt).
Tampa Bay Rays: 2024 Wins: 80. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 80.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Steady but unspectacular, ace McClanahan starts on IL (post-Tommy John, no 2024 innings). Bullpen: Top-10 ERA. Batting: Dรญaz leads a so-so lineup. Projection: 83 wins (+3, consistent 86+ wins in 5 prior full seasons).
Toronto Blue Jays: 2024 Wins: 74. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 79.5
Chicago White Sox: 2024 Wins: 41. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 54.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Crochet gone, weak rotation, top 4 starters have 5 or fewer career wins. Bullpen: Poor (2nd highest WHIP, 3rd highest ERA). Batting: Last in HRs and OPS, no power adds. Projection: 52 wins (+11, regression to mean).
Cleveland Guardians: 2024 Wins: 92. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 82.5
Detroit Tigers: 2024 Wins: 86. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 83.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Skubal elite, Flaherty back from Dodgers adds depth. Bullpen: Very good (2nd in ERA). Batting: Young upside, but Meadows (CF) on 60-day DL, Vierling out early. Projection: 86 wins (steady playoff contender).
Kansas City Royals: 2024 Wins: 86. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Ragans, Lugo, Wacha top AL trio. Bullpen: Average, Estรฉvez from Phillies boosts. Batting: Witt Jr. MVP caliber (4th in OPS), India from Reds adds. Projection: 86 wins (good, tough division).
Minnesota Twins: 2024 Wins: 87. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 84.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Lopez, Ryan, Ober return, no big adds. Bullpen: Decent, Coulombe from Orioles helps. Batting: Quiet offseason, Lewis and Lee out early. Projection: 83 wins (minimal roster improvement).
AL West
Houston Astros: 2024 Wins: 88. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Valdez, Brown solid, Garcia and McCullers unlikely to return. Bullpen: Solid, Hader closes, Abreu, Scott, King back. Batting: Altuve to OF, Alvarez (35 HRs), Walker from D-backs added. Projection: 84 wins (pitching depth shaky).
Los Angeles Angels: 2024 Wins: 63. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 72.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Kikuchi from Houston key, Anderson, Soriano okay, rotation thin. Bullpen: Average, Jansen (447 saves) from Boston closes. Batting: Troutโs health critical, Moncado (3B) may miss early games. Projection: 73 wins (better with Trout).
Oakland Athletics: 2024 Wins: 69. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 71.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Severino (Mets), Springs (Rays) lead, Sears, Bido back. Bullpen: Miller elite, rest walked 233 (5th most). Batting: 8th in HRs, top 4 (22+ HRs each) return, small Sacramento park. Projection: 74 wins (improved roster).
Seattle Mariners: 2024 Wins: 85. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 85.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Castillo, Gilbert strong, Kirby (shoulder) could make rotation elite. Bullpen: Strong (4th best WHIP), lost Brash. Batting: .224 BA (2nd worst), most strikeouts. Projection: 84 wins (pitching carries, offense limits).
Texas Rangers: 2024 Wins: 78. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5
Atlanta Braves: 2024 Wins: 89. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 93.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Sale, Strider (due back early April) lead a deep staff. Bullpen: Top-tier. Batting: Acuรฑa, Olson power. Even with franchise studs in Spencer Strider and Ronald Acuna Jr. missing most of 2024 this team still won 89 reg ssn games. Projection: 93 wins (+4, healthy core).
Miami Marlins: 2024 Wins: 62. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 62.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Weak after trades and donโt expect Sany Alcantara (2022 Cy Young) to be on the roster past July. Bullpen: Mediocre at best. Batting: Thin roster. 3rd worst run differential in the Majors last year -204. Projection: 64 wins (+2, young talent emerges).
New York Mets: 2024 Wins: 89. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 90.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Manaea 11th Cy Young voting last year, Holmes key. Bullpen: Solid. Batting: Soto transforms lineup with his 160OPS+, an average of 34 homers, 132 walks and 106 runs over the past 3 seasons. Projection: 87 wins (-2, pitching questions).
Philadelphia Phillies: 2024 Wins: 95. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 90.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Wheeler has finished top 10 in Cy Young voting in 3 of the past four seasons, Nola strong. Bullpen: Solid but has lost Hoffman and Estevez in the offseason. Batting: Harper, Turner led this team to 4.8 runs p/game in 2024, 5th most. Projection: 87 wins (-8, regression expected).
Washington Nationals: 2024 Wins: 71. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 72.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Gore, Irvin decent. Bullpen: Average. Batting: Dylan Crews has the potential to earn NL Rookie of the Year with a stat stuffing season. James Wood, Luis Garcia Jr and CJ Abrams add pop. Projection: 75 wins (+4, youth movement).
NL Central
Chicago Cubs: 2024 Wins: 83. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 84.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Imanaga solid, Boyd adds. Bullpen: Pressly helps but not a top 15 unit. Batting: Kyle Tucker could be a 30/30 guy for the Cubs in 2025. Cubs scored the 6th fewest runs last season. Projection: 82 wins (-1, more of the same).
Cincinnati Reds: 2024 Wins: 82. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 80.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Greene 1.02 WHIP in 2024, Singer talented 9-13 record with 3.71 ERA with KC last season. Bullpen: Middling. Batting: De La Cruz electric! .259 average w/25 HRโs in 2025. Steer chipped in 92 RBIโs. Projection: 78 wins (-4, health risks).
Milwaukee Brewers: 2024 Wins: 92. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 83.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Steady with Peralta, Cortes and Myers. The return of Woodruff could be a huge boost. Bullpen: Lost Williams but added lefties Cortes Jr and Quintana. Batting: Contreras carries the load, and Jackson Chourio is an up-and-comer. Projection: 89 wins (-3, slight regression).
Pittsburgh Pirates: 2024 Wins: 76. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 77.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Skenes dominates in a rotation that has a ton of potential. Bullpen: Average, Bednar off a disappointing season 5.77 ERA, 58 Kโs and 28 BB. Batting: Weak offseason, 9.30 SOโs p/game in 2024 (27th most). Projection: 78 wins (+2, Skenes effect and solid young staff).
St. Louis Cardinals: 2024 Wins: 83. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 76.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Gray leads w/13-9 record LY, 3.84 ERA, depth is okay. Bullpen: Helsley strong as the Cards closer. Batting: Arenado aging, Contreras solid but just 84 games in 2024. Projection: 73 wins. The Cards were +12 in wins from 2023-24 but expect a regression. (-10, may selloff at trade deadline).
NL West
Arizona Diamondbacks: 2024 Wins: 89. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 87.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: the Corbin Burnes signing was huge, Zac Gallen and the rest of the staff is elite. Bullpen: Good. Batting: Marte finished top 3 in MVP voting in 2024 w/.292 average, 36 HRโs and .932 OPS. Corbin Carroll and Josh Naylor add depth to this lineup. Projection: 90 wins (+1, tough division, but potentially a great rotation).
Colorado Rockies: 2024 Wins: 61. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 61.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Awful. Bullpen: Weak. Batting: Some power with Bryant who hit 30 HRโs last season, no support. This team has been near the bottom of the league for the past 5 years. Projection: 61 wins (NA, no improvement).
Los Angeles Dodgers: 2024 Wins: 98. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 105.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Sasaki, Ohtani, Snell, Glasnow and Sasaki, find a deeper rotation. Bullpen: Elite w/ Kopech, Scott, Yates and Treinen. Batting: Ohtani, Betts unmatched. 4th best team batting average at .261, 1st in slugging at .445 and a run differential of +180. Projection: 99 wins (+1, still dominant).
San Diego Padres: 2024 Wins: 93. 2025 TOTAL WIN odds 85.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Cease, King strong, Darvish to start the season on the IL. Bullpen: Solid a top 13 unit. Batting: Tatis, Machado lead, can Bogaerts turn back the clock one more year. Last yearโs rookie sensation Jackson Merrill is a player to watch. Projection: 82 wins (-11, potential trades if the team decides to sell at the deadline).
San Francisco Giants: 2024 Wins: 81. 2025 TOTAL WIN odds 79.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Logan Webb when on is one of the best in the game. Will age catch up to Verlander? Bullpen: Doval rebounds. After 39 saves in 2023, Doval slipped to 23 a year ago. Batting: Adames adds punch with 32 HRโs last season and a .251 average. Ramos and Chapman also provide depth at the top of the lineup. Projection: 81 wins (steady).
Notes
Top Teams: The Dodgers and Braves have the highest win totals set by the oddsmakers due to elite pitching, bullpens, and batting. The Mets, Yankees, and Phillies follow with strong but slightly flawed rosters.
Bottom Teams: The White Sox remain weak, while the Rockies and Marlins struggle with pitching and depth.
Surprises: Guardians won 92 games a year ago, yet their win total is (82.5) due to losses; Angels rise with an O/U number of (72.5) after winning just 63 game a year ago.
ASA Free NBA player prop OVER 18.5 POINTS for CJ McCollum Hawks vs Knicks McCollum continues to see a high usage rate for the Hawks and is one of the few vets on this team with big game experience. He is coming off a 26-point scoring night in Game 1 of this series on 11โฆ Read more: NBA Player Prop bet | Over 18.5 Points | CJ McCollum – Hawks
NBA free player prop bet Game 1 Blazers vs Spurs, April 19th ASA NBA player prop bet โ Spurs DeโAaron Fox OVER 23.5 Points+Assists Of the Spurs โbig 3โ in San Antonio of Wembanyama, Castle and Fox, only DeโAaron Fox has playoff experience, and we like the vet to have a big game here. Inโฆ Read more: NBA free player prop bet | De’Aaron Fox | Spurs
ASA NHL Free Bet โ NJ Devils -110 at NY Rangers, 7pm ET Tonight’s Free NHL Betting Pick: New Jersey Devils ML over New York Rangers The New Jersey Devils remain a live playoff long shot and a team worth backing until they’re mathematically eliminated, especially against a struggling Rangers squad. New Jersey enters thisโฆ Read more: NHL Free Bet | Devils vs Rangers | March 31 2026
ASA NBA free bet on Indiana Pacers +8.5 vs. LA Clippers, 7:10pm ET Our model likes the value with the Indiana Pacers here at home tonight against the visiting LA Clippers. These two teams met in early March in Los Angeles which had the Clippers an -11.5-point favorite on their home court. The natural swingโฆ Read more: NBA free bet | Pacers vs. Clippers | March 27 2026
ASA NBA play prop bet OVER 4.5 Rebounds Baylor Scheierman โ Boston Celtics Scheierman has done a fantastic job on the board in recent games, going OVER his rebound prop in 6 straight games and grabbing 4 or more in 11 of his last thirteen games. He has gone OVER 4.5 rebounds in 14 ofโฆ Read more: NBA Player prop bet | Celtics vs Grizzlies | March 20 2026
Jordan Pope (ankle) has been deemed a "true game-time decision," but it looks like he's going to give it a go for Texas and try to at least gut it out.
Gotta love the @CBSSports "expert" analysts talking about the brackets with Clark Kellogg saying that High Point has experience and good size. Experience yes. Size what? They rank 329th in average height and don't have a single guy over 6'8 in their rotation #NCAAtourney
Spot the difference between the #NHL and #NBA? The toothless guy who lays it on the line for pride in his country or the guy that flops and fakes injuries all the time? #jackhughes @stoolpresidente @usahockey