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Lions vs. Packers Predictions – Player Props – Sept 28th 2023

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers – Thursday, Sept 28th 2023

Detroit Lions -1.5 | Over-Under 45.5

Green Bay Packers

1st HALF LINE – Lions -.5 | O/U 22

Team Totals – Lions O/U 23.5 – Packers O/U 21.5

Detroit Lions 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS

Green Bay Packers 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS

Thursday Night Player Props

Jordan Love Under 34 yards Longest Passing Play

Love has been solid in his first three starts for the Packers but has not hit on many big plays. Detroit ranks 10th (62.7%) in opponent completion percentage and Love is only completing 53% of his passes anyway. At 6.8 yards per attempt it shows his willingness to throw underneath and settle for short gains. In a short week, with multiple offensive playmakers questionable, we expect Love to continue to focus on short passes that keep Green Bay ahead of the chains. 

Romeo Doubs Over Anytime TD

Doubs has 3 touchdowns in 3 games in 2023. He has been the main redzone target for Jordan Love and feels like the Davante Adams replacement for Matt LaFleuer in that area. Aaron Jones is the only other reliable redzone threat for the Packers and his status is up in air. AJ Dillion has been flat out terrible in Jones’ absence so look for Doubs to again capitalize when Green Bay gets into scoring territory. 

Jared Goff Over .5 INTs

Having thrown an interception in both of his previous two games, we feel the trend continues on a short week. Overall, Goff has been a good if not great QB since becoming the starter in Detroit. The passing volume that has increased due to his play brings in more opportunity for mistakes however. Green Bay has a +2 turnover differential so far while Detroit has a -3 differential. Goff has thrown 30+ passes in all three games this year, so a high volume night is likely in store again, leaving plenty of room for a mistake in front of a rocking Lambeau Field crowd.  

Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 72.5 Rec Yards 

Averaging over 91 yards per game this season, Amon-Ra will benefit greatly if Jaire Alexander misses his second straight game. Regardless, the Lions will target St. Brown early and often and love hitting him on deep crossing routes off of play action. He is becoming one of the elite WRs in the league and a true number one for the Lions. Green Bay ranks 10th in passing yards allowed per game, but that number is skewed from playing some of the worst QBs in the league the first three weeks. Another 100 yards day could be in store for St. Brown, but 73 yards is very attainable even against a Packers defense that has played well to start the year. 

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MNF Prop Bets | Bills vs. Jets Player Props

MNF Prop Bets on the Buffalo Bills vs. NY Jets game – Sept 11th 2023

UNDER 70.5 RECEIVING YARDS – BUFFALO BILLS WR STEFON DIGGS – Last season Diggs averaged 89.1-Yards Receiving per game with a 154 total targets on the season. In two games against the Jets, he was held to an average of 4 receptions per game and 65-Yards receiving. Diggs faded down the stretch last season, averaging under 67.5 receiving yards in four of the Bills last six games. Last season the Jets defense ranked 3rd in passing yards allowed at 189.4YPG. Buffalo averaged 261.4-Passing Yards Per Game a year ago which was 5th best in the NFL. In the two games against this Jets defense last year, Allen and Bills threw for just 352-total yards.  

OVER 35.5 RUSHING YARDS – BUFFALO BILLS QB JOSH ALLEN – Allen was 2nd on the Bills team last year in rushing at 762 total rushing yards. That’s an average of 47.6-Rushing Yards Per Game. He has rushed for over 760-Yards in each of the last two seasons. Against a Jets defense that is extremely tough to pass on, it should lead to more rushing opportunities for Allen when his receivers are covered downfield. In the two games against this Jets D a year ago he rushed for 47 and 86 yards respectively.

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NBA Prop Bets – Friday, March 17th

NBA Player Prop Bets are an AMAZING 105-73 on the season when you combine pay and free bets!

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 32.5 PTS+REBS+ASS – CJ McCollum – New Orleans Pelicans

McCollum gets a favorable match up here against a Rockets team that allows the most points to Point Guards in the NBA at 26.8PPG. The Rockets also give up the 5th most assists to PG’s on the season at 8.7. McCollum could get to 32.5 with just Points+Assists so the rebounds are just a bonus. In 5 of his last seven games he has totaled 36 or more Pts+Rebs+Ass. In his last ten games he is averaging 31.8 Pts+Rebs+Ass which is slightly below tonight’s total and not he faces a bad defense in Houston.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 11.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Patrick Beverly – Chicago Bulls

This is a great spot to bet P-Bev who isn’t known for his scoring but he’ll be extra motivated tonight against his former team. The Wolves allow the 3rd most points in the league to PG’s this season at 26.2PPG. The Bulls and Beverly just faced a similar Rockets defense and P-Bev scored 16 points. We expect a double-digit scoring night for Beverly. Let’s throw in his rebounding numbers as he’s averaged 6.3RPG in his last ten games and has grabbed 10 and 11 in his last two games.

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Player Prop Bets Sunday, Feb 12th

ASA has you covered today with a pair of Player Prop Bets. 1 in the NFL and 1 in the NBA

OVER 3.5 RUSH ATTEMPTS – QB Patrick Mahomes – KC Chiefs

Mahomes has had 2 more weeks to get closer to 100%.  He had 3 rush attempts in both Jax (missed some of game and came back injured) and vs Cincinnati on bad ankle.  Mahomes carried the ball 4 or more times in in 10 of 19 games this season and with the Eagles pass rush (most sacks in the NFL), Mahomes may have more opportunities to scramble for yardage.  In his 3 Super Bowl appearances Mahomes has 21 rushing attempts (7 per game average) and hasn’t had less than 5 attempts in any of those games.

ASA player prop OVER 31.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Pascal Siakam – Toronto Raptors

Siakam is on a miny-tear right now and has put up two straight impressive games against the Spurs and Jazz. Today he gets a very favorable matchup against a Pistons team that struggles to stop Power Forwards. Detroit allows the 2nd most points and rebounds to PF’s on the season at 23.9PPG and 12.1RPG. Siakam is averaging 31.8Pts+Rebs his last ten games and has put up 47 and 41 in the past two games. We are betting he has a big game today.

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NFL Player Prop MNF – Sept 26

PROP BETS – OVER 14.5 RECEIVING YARDS – JAKE FERGUSON – COWBOYS

ASA’s NFL Player Prop bets for the Cowboys vs. Giants game. The news out of Dallas is that starting tight end Dalton Schultz is NOT expected to play. Before making this wager be sure to watch the pre-game warmups and see if he is active. If Schultz doesn’t play, we like Jake Ferguson to see plenty of action at the TE position. Last season Schultz was the 6th highest targeted TE in the NFL with 6.1 looks per game. The inexperienced QB Cooper Rush will likely check down to his underneath option or Ferguson in this case. In the preseason Ferguson led the TE’s with 7 targets for 76-yards. In the two meetings last season the Cowboy tight ends caught 16 passes for 167 total yards. Again, this is dependent on Schultz not suiting up.