Tag: NBA player props

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NBA Prediction or FREE BET | Suns vs Heat | Jan 29th 2024

ASA FREE NBA BET on Miami Heat -3 vs Phoenix Suns, 7:30PM ET

This is the ‘fishy’ line of the day as the Heat are favored despite losing 6-straight games against a Suns team that is 7-2 SU their last nine games.

The scheduling advantage for the Heat is clear as they are rested for this game while the Suns come off a game last night versus the Magic. Not only is this the Suns 2nd of a back-to-back, but also their 3rd game in four nights and 6th game in nine days.

In the loss last night to the Magic the Suns starters logged heavy minutes with Booker, Beal and Durant all playing 35+ minutes. The Heat have lost extended minutes to multiple starters this season but are now finally getting healthy with a full complement of players tonight.

Phoenix as a road underdog this season is 4-4 ATS with an average margin of victory in those games of minus -5.1PPG. Miami is below .500 as a home favorite at 8-9 ATS but they do have a positive differential of +2.6PPG AND have also covered 5 of their last seven at home as a favorite.

HOUSTON ROCKETS – FRED VANVLEET OVER 14.5PTS

VanVleet is averaging over 17PPG on the season and 17.2PPG in his last ten games. He has totaled more than 14.5 points in 6 of his last ten games. Tonight VanVleet should have a big scoring night against a Lakers team that allows the 4th most points to PG’s on the season at 26.6PPG. The Lakers have been especially bad defending Point Guards in the last two weeks allowing 30.5PPG in that stretch.

WASHINGTON WIZARDS – TYUS JONES OVER 20.5 POINTS+ASSISTS

Jones is inline for a solid game tonight against a Spurs defense that has issues containing opposing Point Guards. San Antonio allows the most points to PG’s this season at 27.5PPG and the 6th most Assists per game at 9.1. In Washington’s last ten games they have faced teams that rank top 12 in fewest points allowed to PG’s and his average in that stretch of games is still 20.8. Jones recently faced the Spurs and his brother Tre and he put up 19 Points+Assists. In two recent games against a Pistons team that is similar to the Spurs defensively he finished with 21 and 29 P&A’s.

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NBA Free Bet | Grizzlies vs Hawks prediction | Dec 23rd

ASA’s NBA FREE BET play on Memphis Grizzlies +1 vs Atlanta Hawks, 7:40PM ET

The Grizzlies are significantly better with Ja Morant on the floor as evidenced by their two wins with him back in the lineup. Today they face a Hawks team off a game last night in Miami. Atlanta is 5-13 SU their last 18 when playing without rest and they’ve lost those games by an average of minus -2.7PPG. Going back to the start of last season the Grizzlies have an average point differential of +5.1PPG when holding a rest advantage over their opponents and a 16-12 record. Atlanta took a hit when they lost up-and-coming Jalen Johnson and have just 3 wins in their last ten games. This is the Hawks 3rd game in four nights and 4th in six days so fatigue will be a factor. Memphis has two quality wins over the Pelicans and Pacers in their last two games and the numbers have not caught up with them yet.

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NBA Prop Bets – Monday, Nov 27th

ASA’s 2 NBA Players Prop bets in the NBA for Monday, November 27th

WASHINGTON WIZARDS TYUS JONES – OVER 11.5 POINTS

Jones is coming off a 4-point outing against the Hawks but should get right in this match up versus the Pistons. Jones is averaging 10.8PPG over his last ten games but in three of those games he managed just 6-total points. In the other seven games over that ten game stretch he has averaged 14.5PPG. Tonight, the Wiz face a Detroit team that allows the most points to Point Guards this season at 28.5PPG. Detroit is 24th in defensive efficiency allowing 1.178 points per possession on the season and allow opponents to shoot 50.3% on the season which is 30th or last in the league. Tyus Jones is coming off a poor shooting night against the Hawks, but he had shot 64.3%, 46.2%, 69.2%, 57.1% and 85.7% in his previous five games. Lastly, the Total on this game is 236 total points which means a high scoring game for both teams with more than average scoring opportunities for both teams.

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS MALCOLM BROGDON – OVER 19.5 POINTS

What we know about Malcolm Brogdon going back to his Virginia days is that he likes to get his. Brogdon is working hard this season to put up numbers to showcase his skills before the trade deadline. He is second on the teams in field goal attempts at 15.8 and averages 17.7PPG on the season. In the last three games he has scored 18, 20 and 19 points. He has scored 18+ in 7 of his last ten games and will have a great opportunity to put up a big scoring night against the Pacers. Indiana averages the most possessions per game at 104.1 and attempt 95.1 field goals per game which is also first. That means this is going to be a faster paced game with plenty of scoring opportunities for the Blazers and more specifically Malcolm Brogdon. Brogdon is shooting 36.5% from beyond the Arc this season and the Pacers defense allows opponents to shoot 39.1% from the 3-point line which is 3rd worst in the league. Brogdon should put up a big scoring night against a Pacer defense that is 29th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and allow the 4th most points to Point Guards in the league.

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NBA free bet – Ivica Zubac – Player Prop Oct 27th

ASA NBA Player Prop bet – OVER 10.5 POINTS – Ivica Zubac – LA Clippers

Zubac is coming off a solid 20-point game in the Clippers opener against the Blazers and while we doubt he’ll get to 20 tonight, we do expect him to eclipse 11. Against the Blazer Zubac had 10 field goal attempts with 5 offensive rebounds. The Jazz struggled to defend centers last season allowing the 7th most points to that position at 23.8PPG. Last season the Jazz allowed the 5th most offensive rebounds to opponents which means Zubac should get a few easy put-backs here. In all four meetings last season, Zubac managed 12+ points in every meeting. Bet OVER 10.5 POINTS Ivica Zubac.

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NBA Player Prop – Dennis Schroder – Toronto Raptors

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP – OVER 16.5 POINTS+ASSIST – Dennis Schroder – Toronto Raptors

The Raptors host the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight and we expect a big game from the Raptors’ new starting PG Dennis Schroder. Toronto brought in the veteran Schroder to shore up their backcourt after losing Fred VanVleet in the offseason. He is inline for a big game tonight at home against a porous T-Wolves defense that was 20th overall in defensive efficiency ratings. Defending point guards was especially problematic for the Wolves as they were 3rd worst in the league a year ago in that department. Last year as a Lakers, Schroder totaled 18 and 17 points+assists in two games against the T-Wolves and one of those games was as a reserve in just 22 minutes of play. Last season Schroder averaged 17.1 points+assists per game, and as we mentioned those numbers come with him not being a full-time starter. In the Raptors last two preseason games he had 19 and 19 Pts+Ass in 23 and 28 minutes. In this home opener we expect Schroder to really focus on getting all of his teammates involved which will lead to a big assists number and the points are an added bonus. NBA player prop Over Points + Assists Dennis Schroder.

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