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NFL Players Props – Packers vs. Raiders, Oct 9th 2023

Josh Jacobs Over 72.5 Rush Yards (-115)

Green Bay was run all over by David Montgomery their last outing and has historically been awful against the run in recent years. The Packers are giving up 155 ypg (31st) on the ground in 2023 which is an ideal matchup for Jacobs who led the entire NFL in rushing last season. Despite some slow games for Jacobs so far, expect him to see heavy usage, especially with Davante Adams being questionable with a shoulder injury. Jacobs is one of the most explosive and physical runners in football and his talent will eventually lead to production this year. 

Jimmy Garoppolo Over 1.5 Pass TDs (+105)

With Davante Adams Questionable, Jimmy’s props and the Raiders receiving props are all in question. Adams seems to be trending towards playing and will no doubt be a dominating force in this game if he does. Adams is virtually unstoppable in the redzone where he can win routes in a phone booth. Garoppolo has two passing TDs in two of three games so far this year, and with a full WR corps, he has a great chance to throw two once again. Keep an eye on Adams throughout Monday for clarity on his status. 

Jordan Love Over .5 INTs (-125)

Love has thrown three picks in the last two games and the offense has struggled heavily in those outings. Green Bay ranks 31st in rushing yards per game, meaning Love has to throw more than they would want. Love has the 7th highest percentage of turnover-worthy throws on passes 20 yards or more according to Jacob Morley. Inaccuracy with deep passes is the easiest way to rack up INTs in the NFL. A first year starting QB will always make mistakes and on primetime TV last Thursday, Love made a few. We expect that trend to continue this week. 

Romeo Doubs Over 3.5 Recs (-155)

Coming off a nine catch game against Detroit, Doubs is the most reliable receiver in Green Bay. Sure handed and a precise route runner, Doubs is averaging five catches a game in 2023. 25 targets in the past two games, shows the trust Love has in Doubs and 4+ receptions for him on MNF should be a walk in the park. Christian Watson is questionable and if he is limited at all, it leaves even more opportunity for Doubs. 

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MNF Prop Bets | Bills vs. Jets Player Props

MNF Prop Bets on the Buffalo Bills vs. NY Jets game – Sept 11th 2023

UNDER 70.5 RECEIVING YARDS – BUFFALO BILLS WR STEFON DIGGS – Last season Diggs averaged 89.1-Yards Receiving per game with a 154 total targets on the season. In two games against the Jets, he was held to an average of 4 receptions per game and 65-Yards receiving. Diggs faded down the stretch last season, averaging under 67.5 receiving yards in four of the Bills last six games. Last season the Jets defense ranked 3rd in passing yards allowed at 189.4YPG. Buffalo averaged 261.4-Passing Yards Per Game a year ago which was 5th best in the NFL. In the two games against this Jets defense last year, Allen and Bills threw for just 352-total yards.  

OVER 35.5 RUSHING YARDS – BUFFALO BILLS QB JOSH ALLEN – Allen was 2nd on the Bills team last year in rushing at 762 total rushing yards. That’s an average of 47.6-Rushing Yards Per Game. He has rushed for over 760-Yards in each of the last two seasons. Against a Jets defense that is extremely tough to pass on, it should lead to more rushing opportunities for Allen when his receivers are covered downfield. In the two games against this Jets D a year ago he rushed for 47 and 86 yards respectively.

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