Tag: ASA

Posted on by

Notre Dame vs Texas A&M Preview | 8-31-24 | By ASA

College Football Preview Notre Dame takes on Texas A&M – By ASA

On Saturday, August 31st, at 7:30 PM ET, Texas A&M will face Notre Dame in a highly anticipated matchup. The Aggies are favored by 3 points, with an over/under set at 46.5.

Texas A&M finished the 2023 season with a 7-6 record (6-6-1 ATS) and enters this season under new head coach Mike Elko, who was 16-9 in his last two seasons at Duke. The Aggies also have a new offensive coordinator, Collin Klein, and will be led by quarterback Conner Weigman. The running game will feature Rueben Owens, Le’Veon Moss, and EJ Smith, but the offensive line is a concern with three new starters.

On the defensive side, Texas A&M boasts one of the best defensive lines in college football, but the secondary was a weakness a year ago giving up to many big plays. Last season, the Aggies impressed offensively, averaging 32.9 PPG (21st) and ranking 11th in yards per point at 12.3. Defensively, they excelled on third downs, allowing a 32.7% conversion rate (20th) and were strong against the run, giving up just 110.3 rushing yards per game (13th).

Notre Dame, coming off a 10-3 season (9-3-1 ATS), has high expectations under third-year head coach Marcus Freeman. The Irish have a new starting quarterback, Riley Lincoln, a transfer from Duke, and a new offensive coordinator, Mike Denbrock, who comes from LSU. The offensive line is a potential concern, with several freshman and sophomore starters, but running backs Jadarian Price and Jeremiyah Love are expected to play significant roles. Notre Dame also added key wide receivers through the transfer portal.

Defensively, the Irish have one of the top defensive lines in college football. While there are some questions at linebacker, the secondary is as strong as the D-line. Last season, Notre Dame’s offense was potent, ranking 8th in scoring with 37.8 PPG and 10th in yards per play at 6.7. Defensively, they were formidable, allowing just 17 PPG (9th) and 288 total yards per game (7th).

This matchup promises to be a clash of two strong programs with new leadership and high expectations.

BEST BETTING PICKS

BETTING ARTICLES

Posted on by

NFC East Prediction | Eagles Under 10.5 Wins | By ASA

ASA’s NFC EAST WIN TOTAL PROJECTION

Philadelphia Eagles – UNDER 10.5 Wins (+110)

The Eagles fell off a cliff at the end of last season losing 5 of their last 6 regular season games before getting blasted 32-9 in the Playoffs by the Tampa Bay Bucs.  That just might be a signal of things to come this season. 

When sifting through their schedule last year you’ll also notice that a number of the Eagles wins could have gone either way.  In fact, 8 of their 11 wins came by 8 points or fewer and historically those numbers are tough to repeat the following season.  Since 2001 there have been 23 teams that finished the regular season with 8 or more wins by one score or less and in the following season 19 of those teams finished with a worse record. 

Philly lost both their offensive and defensive coordinators for the 2nd straight season which is never a good thing for continuity. 

Despite their 11-6 record last year, Philly was just +5 on the season in point differential and they were outgained in total yardage which made their expected win total just 8.5. 

QB Hurts numbers fell off big time last season as he threw 15 interceptions, after throwing 18 his first 3 seasons combined, and his QBR went from top 5 in 2022 to middle of the pack in 2023. 

The defense has a lot of work to do as well after finishing in the bottom 8 in YPG, YPP, and PPG allowed last season.  Historically, the last 8 times Philadelphia’s win total has been posted at 10 or higher, they’ve gone Under 7 times.  This team should be solid, but they are not an 11 win team in our opinion.    

BETTING PICKS

BETTING ARTICLES

Posted on by

NFL Rookie of the Year Prediction | By ASA | 8-26-24

NFL ROOKIE OF THE YEAR – +500 QB JAYDEN DANIELS – WASHINGTON COMMANDERS

The Washington Commanders are entering the 2024 season with a renewed sense of optimism, driven by the arrival of rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels and the fresh leadership of head coach Dan Quinn and offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury. Daniels, a dynamic dual-threat quarterback out of LSU, was a highly-touted prospect in the 2024 NFL Draft, and the Commanders are betting on his talent to be the future of the franchise. We like a future bet on Daniels to win NFL Rookie of the Year.

Daniels brings a unique blend of athleticism, arm strength, and poise to Washington’s offense. Known for his ability to extend plays with his legs and make accurate throws on the run, Daniels is expected to add a new dimension to the Commanders’ attack. His transition to the NFL will be guided by Kingsbury, who has a proven track record of developing young quarterbacks and creating high-powered offenses. Kingsbury’s system, known for its quick tempo and emphasis on spreading the field, should complement Daniels’ skill set and allow him to thrive early in his career.

Head coach Dan Quinn, known for his defensive prowess, brings a championship pedigree to Washington, having previously led the Atlanta Falcons to a Super Bowl appearance. While Quinn’s expertise lies on the defensive side of the ball, his leadership and experience will be crucial in shaping the overall culture and identity of the team.

The Commanders’ offense will feature playmakers like wide receiver Terry McLaurin and running back Brian Robinson Jr., providing Daniels with reliable targets and a solid run game to lean on. The offensive line, bolstered by key additions in the offseason, will need to give Daniels the protection he needs to make plays and develop as a rookie.

While the learning curve for Daniels will be steep, the combination of his raw talent, Kingsbury’s offensive creativity, and Quinn’s steady hand could set the stage for an exciting new era in Washington. The 2024 season will be a crucial year of development for Daniels and the Commanders, with the potential to lay the foundation for future success. With the starting QB job handed to Daniels we like his odds at +500 to be Rookie of the Year.

BETTING ADVICE

BETTING ADVICE

Posted on by

AFC Championship Bet | Cincinnati Bengals 9-1 odds | By Point Train

AFC Champions Longshot: Cincinnati Bengals +900 – By Point Train Consulting

Similar to our NFC prediction about the Falcons, scheduling plays a crucial role in our longshot pick for the AFC Champion, the Cincinnati Bengals. According to our metrics, the Bengals will face the 5th easiest schedule this season, a stark contrast to the tough schedule they had last year. Despite QB Joe Burrow being less than 100% for much of the season, the Bengals still managed to secure a 9-8 SU record. In 2023, they ranked 11th in total DVOA with an average point differential of -1.1 PPG.

We believe this season’s Bengals could resemble the 2022 team that went 12-4 SU in the regular season and narrowly lost to the Chiefs 20-23 in the AFC Championship game. That year, the Bengals were 4th in offensive DVOA and 7th in defensive DVOA. In today’s NFL, where offense reigns supreme, the Bengals have the firepower to challenge the Chiefs for the AFC title. With QB Burrow back from injury and two top-tier WRs in Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, the Bengals’ offense is a formidable force. Zack Moss, who rushed for 794 yards with the Colts last season, will take charge in the backfield.

While the Bengals’ defense regressed in 2023, much of that can be attributed to their tough schedule, with 11 of their 17 games against teams in the top half of the league in scoring. Despite this, they allowed just 22.6 PPG, below the combined average of 25.1 PPG of the league’s top 15 teams. Cincinnati made a few significant improvements on the defensive side of the football including a revamped secondary and should be a top 13 unit in 2024.

The Bengals’ primary challenge in winning the AFC North will be the Ravens, who won 13 games last season under John Harbaugh. However, within the division, both the Browns and Steelers have significant quarterback concerns and may struggle to maintain winning records. While the Chiefs, Bills, and Dolphins are serious contenders, the Bengals can match their offensive prowess if Burrow stays healthy. The Bengals have a legitimate shot at representing the AFC in the Super Bowl.

BEST BETS TODAY

BETTING ARTICLES

Posted on by

FREE WNBA bet | Mercury vs Sky Prediction | 8-15-24

ASA’s FREE WNBA bet on Chicago Sky +2 vs. Phoenix Mercury, 8PM ET

Are you looking for a free WNBA bet today? We have you covered with a light bet on the Chicago Sky plus the points at home against Phoenix. The USA Olympic team featured three Mercury players, which means they could suffer from an emotional hangover against the Sky. Chicago was not represented in the Olympics, and their young roster has been home practicing since the break.

Only 3 wins separate these two teams with Chicago having the better overall Net Rating of -2.6 versus the Mercury’s -3.0. One glaring question here is why are the Mercury favored on the road vs. Chicago? Phoenix is the better overall offensive team, but the Sky hold the advantage defensively.

In a recent home game, the Sky were +3.5 points at home against a Liberty team that is one of the 4 best teams in the league. That makes this line high by that comparison.

We like Chicago to get this home win as our free WNBA bet on Thursday, August 15th. We won’t use this as a rated bet considering the Sky’s bad home underdog record and the Mercury’s strong road chalk numbers. It’s still worth a light play based on the circumstances though.

Best Betting Options today

FREE BETS DAILY