ASA’s NHL Predictions 2025: Play: Stars Over, Leafs Under, Knights Cup Run
The Picks: Dallas Stars Over 51.5 wins (+100), Toronto Maple Leafs Under 46.5 wins (-110), and Vegas Golden Knights to win 2025-26 Stanley Cup (+900).
Dallas crushed it in 2024-25 despite chaos—50 wins and 106 points even after dropping their final seven games, with key injuries sidelining Tyler Seguin and Miro Heiskanen for chunks of the season. They still ranked 3rd league-wide in goals for (275) and 6th in goals against (222), boasting a +53 differential. Full health plus Mikko Rantanen (projected 88+ points) and new (old) coach Glen Gulutzan returning for his 2nd stint with Dallas? Easy push to 53+ wins in a winnable Central.
Toronto’s core sparkled offensively last year (7th in GF at 267), but losing Mitch Marner craters their top-six production—his 102+ point pace leaves a gaping hole, especially with defensive lapses persisting (8th in GA at 229). Coach Craig Berube in his 2nd season stabilizes, but without Marner’s playmaking, expect regression to 44 wins max in a shark tank Atlantic.
Vegas reloaded masterfully, snagging Marner (741 points since ’16-17) to pair with Jack Eichel’s rising star power, offsetting 2024-25’s injury-riddled second-round exit (despite a 4-2 first-round W). Offensively this team was 4th in total shots on goal, 5th in goals scored and 2nd in power play percentage. Their defense (led by Shea Theodore – 3RD in GA 214) and depth scream contender—+900 is steal value for a proven Cup squad (2023 champs) primed for a deep Pacific run. Fade the doubters; Knights hoist it in June.
The NHL starts Tuesday, October 7th – get your action in before the puck drops.
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