Tag: college predictions

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Free Bet Today | Sun Belt Showdown | Sept 27 2025

ASAwins Free Bet Today: #179 Marshall -1.5 at Louisiana Lafayette, 8pm ET

ULL has some major concerns at the quarterback position after the loss or QB Walker Howard, who was injured in the season opener against Rice. Daniel Beale has filled in but has been less than effective with 313 total passing yards on 50.7% completions with 1 TD and 2 INT’s.

The O-line doesn’t help matters as they are one of the worst in the nation when it comes to efficiency stats with a sack percentage allowed of 7.23% (96th). The Cajuns are scoring just 17.7ppg, rank 129th in total yards per game (267) at 4.8 yards per play (107th).

ULL is coming off a road loss to Eastern Michigan who rates significantly lower in our ratings compared to Marshall. The Herd are coming off an impressive 42-28 win at Middle Tennessee State with QB Del Rio-Wilson completing 18/22 passes for 261 yards and 4 TD’s.

Marshall averaged 6.1YPP in that game against MTU and outgained the Blue Raiders by 75-total yards. The Herd are averaging 180 rushing yards per game (58th) this season and will face a ULL defense allowing 215 rushing yards per game (129th).

The Cajuns strength is also running the football at 199ypg, but the Herd defense allows the 35th fewest rushing yards per game at 102.5 and we already discussed their passing woes. Marshall went to Louisiana last season as a 5-point underdog and won 31-3, outgaining ULL by 155 total yards.

This one may be just as ugly. Take the road team as today’s free bet.

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Cincinnati vs Iowa State Prediction | Nov 16 2024 | Free bet

ASA free bet on Cincinnati +7.5 at Iowa State – 8pm ET

The Bearcats are the play here as the Cyclones have been exposed in their last two games. After starting the season 7-0, Iowa State has come back to Earth with a pair of losses to Texas Tech and Kansas. The Cyclones have a Yards Per Play differential in their last 3 games is a negative -0.5YPP and the defense has looked suspect in two straight games. Last week the Jayhawks rushed for over 220 yards against ISU, which plays into the Bearcats strength offensively. Cincinnati rushes for 170ypg and 4.8 yards per carry which both rank top 55 in the country. The Bearcats have a complimentary passing attack that averages 268ypg (31st) with QB’s completing 66.2% of their attempts (22nd). Cincinnati is coming off a loss last week to West Virginia, a game in which they dominated statistically with 24 FD’s to 10, a +9 minute TOP advantage and a 436 to 248 yardage advantage. We recommend a small play the Bearcats plus the points.

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CFB FREE BET | Sept 7 2024 | From ASA

#348 ASA CFB FREE BET ON Ole Miss -41.5 over Middle Tennessee State, Saturday at 4:15 PM ET

CFB Free bet today from ASA. Ole Miss can name the score here and head coach Lane Kiffin has shown he’s not opposed to running up huge numbers on inferior opponents.  Last week the Rebels beat FCS Furman 76-0 and they took their foot slightly off the gas after leading 73-0 in the 3rd quarter. 

You might say well that’s Furman an FCS team but the Paladins have a very solid program and entered the year ranked in the top 15 in the FCS poll.  One trusted FBS / FCS power rating system, Jeff Sagarin, has Furman and this Middle Tennessee state team rated almost dead even.  The 76 point win wasn’t a turnover laced fluke as Furman had only 1 turnover in the game.  Ole Miss outgained the Paladins by a ridiculous +600 yards (772 to 172 total yards) and the Rebels had 37 first downs to just 7 for Furman. 

While Mississippi was destroying one of the better teams at the FCS level, MTSU was struggling at home to simply win a game vs one of the worst FCS programs, Tennessee Tech.  The Blue Raiders were outgained in that 32-25 win, had fewer first downs and needed a TD with under 1:00 minute remaining to escape with a home win as a 24 point favorite. 

Tennessee Tech finished 4-8 last year and hasn’t won more than 4 games in any of the last 4 seasons.  For comparisons sake, this same Tennessee Tech team who almost beat MTSU last Saturday, played Furman last year (Mississippi’s opponent last week) and lost 45-10. 

The Blue Raiders are lost a ton of players from last year (just 7 starters back) and are working on new systems on both sides of the ball with new head coach Derek Mason. 

Heading to Oxford is not ideal for this MTSU team still trying to figure things out.  Unless Lane Kiffin decides to take it easy here, which he hasn’t in the past, this one will get really ugly and we like the Rebels as a CFB free bet.

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Florida vs Auburn Prediction | 2-10-24 | Free Bet today

#692 ASA Free pick ON Florida +2 over Auburn, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET

Auburn is in a potential flat spot here after getting their revenge over in state rival Bama earlier this season.  They did just that earlier this year after losing @ Alabama in late January the Tigers turned around and lost again @ Mississippi State a few days later.  While the Tigers were completely focused on knocking off the Tide on Wednesday, the Gators have had a full week off since losing by 1 point @ Texas A&M last Saturday. 

Florida was rolling nicely prior to the 1 point loss having won 5 of their previous 6 games.  They are 9-1 at home this year with their only loss coming by 2 points vs Kentucky, a game the Gators blew a double digit lead.  Florida was favored by 3.5 in that game and they’ve been favored in every home game this season until today.  Auburn is a perfect 12-0 at home, however on the road they are just 3-3 on the season and since the start of last season the Tigers have a SU record of 7-11 in true road games. 

Florida hits 50% of their shots at home and averages 90 PPG and they’ve beaten Auburn 14 straight times in Gainesville.  The last time the Tigers win @ Florida was in February of 1996.  We’ll take the points with the home team.  

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Free bet | George Mason vs Tennessee prediction | Dec 5th

ASA free play on: UNDER 137 George Mason at Tennessee, 6:30PM ET

The Volunteers are one of the very best defensive teams in college basketball under HC Barnes year in and year out and this season is no different. UT ranks 2nd in defensive efficiency ratings allowing .903 points per possession despite playing the 6th toughest schedule in college basketball. The Vols are coming off a game in which they allowed 100-points to North Carolina so we’re betting they will be in ‘lock down’ mode here against a very deliberate George Mason offense. The Patriots rank 331st in adjusted tempo and 301st in average possession length. GM is 313th in total field goal attempts per game at 55.8. They are above average in field goal percentage shooting, but they haven’t faced a defense of this quality and the Vols allow opponents to hit just 39.3% from the field. Tennessee isn’t a great shooting team themselves at 43.2% which ranks 256th and they are only slightly faster than average in pace. George Mason allowing 1.018 points per possession which ranks them top third in college hoops and they own the 37th best Effective FG% against.

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