Category: Freepicks

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NFL Free Bet today | Patriots vs Jets prediction | Sept 19 2024

POINT TRAIN NFL free bet today – Patriots vs Jets – Thursday Night Football

New England Patriots TEAM TOTAL UNDER 16.5 POINTS

RATING – Beer & Pizza

  • I can’t get involved with a team or side here as the jury is still out on Rodgers/Jets offense and the Patriots have key injuries on their offensive line.
  • I will sprinkle a few shillings on the UNDER in the Patriots team total.
  • New England has taken a very conservative approach offensively with the 8th fewest pass attempts per game. They run it at a very high rate and QB Brissett has just 270-total passing yards in two games.
  • The Pats will commit to the run early and often and if their defense can contain the Jets offense early on, they’ll be content to play field position and hope to win late.
  • New England has scored 3, 15 and 10-points in the last three meetings with New York.
  • I don’t see the Patriots scoring more than 2 touchdowns in this one.

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WNBA Free Bet | Lynx vs Sun | Sept 17th 2024

ASA WNBA free bet on Connecticut Sun -1 vs. Minnesota Lynx, 7PM ET

**GET A SALE PRICED PLAYOFF PACKAGE TODAY!* AS OF THIS POSTING ASA IS KILLING IT IN THE WNBA THIS SEASON WITH A CURRENT 24-10 STREAK AS OF SEPT 17TH. O/U BETS ARE ON AN INSANE 16-4 RUN!

This is a big game for both teams as they sit 2nd and 3rd in the overall playoff standings. The Lynx have a 2 game lead over the Sun with two games remaining. Minnesota has the Sparks on deck so even if they split, they will lock up the 2-seed if the Sun goes 2-0.

We have Minnesota graded slightly higher than NY as the best team in the W. With the #2 seed essentially locked up we expect them to rest players and get ready for a playoff run.

Connecticut mathematically can move up to the #2 seed (unlikely as the Lynx would have to lose 2 straight) or could fall to the #4 seed behind the Aces.

A letdown here by the Lynx would be understandable considering they are coming off a huge win against the Liberty on Sunday. The Sun are coming off a loss in Las Vegas and should be motivated here back at home.

Connecticut has won 4-straight in the series and 8 of the last ten. The Sun are 26-12 SU the last two seasons at home with an average +/- of +6.2PPG. Our WNBA free bet is on the Connecticut Sun to win against the Minnesota Lynx.

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NFL Prop Bets | Bijan Robinson | Sept 16th 2024

ASA 2 free player prop bets – Atlanta Falcons – Bijan Robinson

OVER 64.5 RUSHING YARDS Bijan Robinson – Atlanta Falcons

OVER 29.5 RECEIVING YARDS Bijan Robinson – Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta attempted the 3rd most rushing attempts per game in 2023 at 30.7. In the opener against the Steelers the Falcons fed Robinson 18 times for 68 yards. He also had 43 receiving yards on 7 targets. Robinson obviously has breakaway or big play ability with two 30+ yards rushing plays and one 40+. He will face an Eagles defense that allowed 163 rushing yards at 7.8-yards per rush in the opener to the Packers. Last season the Eagles ranked 11th in rushing yards per game allowed and 19th in rushing yards per attempt. Philadelphia was 30th in passing yards allowed per game in 2023, giving up 255.7PYPG. Robinson has gone Over 100 total rushing/receiving yards in 5 of his last nine games. With the Falcons trying to protect an immobile QB Cousins we expect a heavy usage rate for Robinson here.

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WNBA Free Bet | Mystics vs Sky Prediction | Sept 11 2024

ASA WNBA free play on Washington Mystics +1 at Chicago Sky, 8PM ET

These two teams have near identical records with the Mystic 14-24 SU, the Sky are 13-22 SU. The Mystic though have been under-valued by the oddsmakers all season long with a 23-11-1 ATS record compared to the Sky who are 16-19 ATS.

Washington has played well of late with a 5-2 SU record their last seven games which includes several quality wins. The two losses in that stretch came to the Lynx and Sun who are two of the best four teams in the league. Also included in that stretch is a road win against this same Sky team with Angel Reese in the lineup for Chicago.

The Sky had lost 7 straight games prior to winning their last two against the Sparks and Wings. The most recent win was an upset as they were without Reese (injured out for the season) yet won 92-77 at home over the Wings as a +4-point dog.

Since the Olympic break the Mystics have played much better than the Sky with a Net rating of -1.8 compared to the Sky who have a Net rating of -5.2.

This will be a tight game but we like the Mystic to prevail by single-digits.

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NFL Free Bet | Cardinals Prediction | Sept 8 2024

NFL free bet – ARIZONA CARDINALS Team Total OVER 20.5

Free pick brought to you by ASA

Let’s start with theBuffalo defense. The Bills defense slipped last season going from 2nd in 2022 to 12th in 2023 in our rankings when you factor in overall schedule and strength of opposing offenses face.

Arizona has some ups and downs last season but the Cardinals were  a much better team with a healthy QB Murray under center towards the end of the season. Arizona put up 24, 29, 16, 35 and 20-points respectively in their last five games.

Arizona will be much better offensively this season and have a legitimate receiving threat in rookie Harrison Jr. along with 3rd year TE Trey McBride. The Bills allowed 20+ points in 9 of their seventeen regular season games last season.

This team total has bounced around with betting tickets hitting this number so shop around and find that key number of 20.5 and bet it OVER.

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