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NBA free prediction | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Phoenix Suns | 4-3-24

ASA NBA free bet on Phoenix Suns (-) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 10PM ET

Scheduling has a lot to do with this NBA free prediction as the Cavs are in a tough spot here having played in Utah last night. Not only that, but the Cavaliers are playing their 3rd game in four days and 4th game in six days. The Suns are rested as their last game came on April 1st, a win in New Orleans.

Phoenix is facing a brutal 3-game stretch coming up against Western Conference contenders which makes this game extremely important.

The Suns are also 14-6 SU with an average +/- of +6.4PPG when they hold a rest advantage over their opponents. Cleveland is 5-7 ATS when playing without rest and has a negative point differential in those games of minus -3.2PPG.

When we evaluate each teams last ten games we find the Suns have a +3.0 Net differential, the Cavs are minus -5.2 AND the Suns have faced a much tougher schedule over that 10-game span. In this must-win situation we like the Suns by double-digits as this NBA free pick.

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NBA free bet | 1-28-24 | Raptors vs Hawks prediction

ASA play on Toronto Raptors +7 at Atlanta Hawks, 6PM

The Atlanta Hawks shouldn’t be laying this many points to anyone in the NBA not named the Pistons, Spurs, Wizards or Hornets. This team is lacking effort on the defensive end of the court that is obvious to a casual observer, let alone statisticians. For the season the Hawks rank 27th in defensive efficiency allowing 1.204-points per possession. They just gave up 73-points to Luka Doncic and 148 to the Mavericks as a team. They have allowed 122, 134 and 148 in their last three games. Part of the problem seems to be several trade rumors involving this team which are impacting their on the court chemistry. Atlanta is 8-13 SU at home with a negative differential of minus -3.4PPG.  Toronto made their trade when they shipped Siakam to the Pacers for Bruce Brown who should start for the injured Quickly in this one. The Raptors have lost 4 straight games they came against a hot Bulls team, the Knicks and Clippers. The one bad loss in that stretch was at home to the Grizzlies by 8-points. The Raptors were recently +7.5-points at New York and the Knicks are far superior to this Hawks team. Atlanta was an -8.5-point favorite at home against the 10-36 Spurs and the Raptors rate more than 2.5-points better than San Antonio. These two teams have similar offensive efficiency ratings but the Raptors are much better defensively. Grab the points.

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NBA Player Prop Bets – Friday, April 7th

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 27.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Alperen Sengun – Houston Rockets

The Hornets are sitting a host of starters in this one so expect the Rockets starters to feast on weaker competition. Sengun is on tap for a big stat night against a Hornets team that allows the 3rd most points to Centers on average at 25.1PPG and also give up the 3rd most rebounds per game at 16.6. Sengun has totaled 28+ Pts+Rebs in 4 straight games. Easy OVER call here.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 14.5 POINTS – James Wiseman – Detroit Pistons

The Pistons are using these late season games to evaluate Wiseman and how he fits this roster moving forward. It has led to improved production and additional minutes in recent weeks. Wiseman has scored 14 or more points in 8 of his last ten games and gets a favorable matchup with the Pacers tonight. Indiana allows the 5th most average points to Centers at 24.6PPG. The Pacers allow 53.3PPG in the paint on the season which is the 26th highest number in the league. Bet OVER here.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 14.5 POINTS Jabari Smith Jr. – Houston Rockets

Smith Jr. has is averaging 14.2PPG over his last ten games and has scored 14 or more points in 6 of his last nine games. His usage and minutes have remained constant even with the Rockets season a shambles. In fact, his field goat attempts have gone up so we can bank on him getting enough looks in this game to go over his scoring total. The Hornets allow on average 24.3PPG to Power Forwards on the season which is the 2nd highest average allowed in the league.

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NBA Players Prop Bets – April 5th

ASA player prop OVER 25.5 POINTS+ASSISTS – Russell Westbrook – LA Clippers

Russ gets to face his former team tonight and we expect a big night in terms of scoring and assists. To begin with the Lakers give up the 2nd most points to PG’s on the season at 26.4PPG and rank 17th in Assists allowed per game at 8.1. Westbrook is averaging 24.8 Pts+Ass in his last ten games and is coming off a 34Pts+Ass game versus the Pelicans on Saturday. With extra rest and motivation we like a big game from Russell tonight.

ASA player prop UNDER 6.5 REBOUNDS – Brook Lopez – Milwaukee Bucks

The Bulls are the #1 team in the NBA when it comes to rebounds allowed to Centers at 13.3 per game. Lopez averages 6.66 per game on the season but has been held to 6 of less in 3 straight games and 5 of his last nine. There is a good chance the Bucks rest starters which would also limit his production tonight.

ASA player prop OVER 17.5 POINTS – Trey Murphy – New Orleans Pelicans

The Pelicans are in a must win mindset and are coming off a back loss last night to the Kings. In this setting we expect Murphy to have a big game against the Grizzlies. On the season the Grizzlies do a solid job of defending shooting guards as they allow 23.4PPG. In the last two weeks though they are giving up an average of 27.9PPG and they haven’t faced many great SG’s in that time frame. Murphy is averaging 18.3PPG in his last ten games and has scored 17 or more points in 6 of his last 8 games.

ASA NBA Player prop OVER 24.5 POINTS – Kyrie Irving – Dallas Mavericks

The Kyrie deal to the Mavs has certainly been a bust but that doesn’t enter into the equation here. The fact of the matter is the Mavericks are in a must-win situation tonight facing a Kings team locked into the 3 seed in the West. Irving should have a big scoring night against a Sacramento team that allows the 4th most points to shooting guards on the season at 24.9PPG. Irving is averaging 26.5PPG on the season.

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NBA Prop Bet – Dec 17

ASA is off to an INSANE START on NBA Prop Bets 42-23 YTD

ASA play prop OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS – Anfernee Simons – Portland Trailblazers

The Rockets are one of the worst overall defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 26th in defensive efficiency. They rank 19th in 3-point percentage D at 36.3% allowed. They also allow shooting guards to make an average of 3.6 3’s per game which is the 2nd highest number in the league. Simons is coming off a low scoring night and a poor game against the Mavs last night so expect a return to form here. Simons ranks 3rd in the NBA in 3-point attempts and averages over 4 makes per game this season. He has made 4 or more in 6 of his last ten games.