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NHL Bet | Blues vs Jets Prediction | Game 7 2025

ASA NHL Betting Prediction: St. Louis Blues +130 vs Winnipeg Jets – 7pm ET(Game 7, May 4, 2025)

The St. Louis Blues are a live underdog to upset the Winnipeg Jets in Game 7 in Winnipeg (+130 moneyline). Despite Connor Hellebuyck’s strong home play (3-0, 2.33 GAA in this series), his playoff struggles (5-11, .860 SV% over three postseasons) and a 4.22 GAA against the Blues is concerning and clearly a trend. Meanwhile, Blues Netminder Jordan Binnington (2.69 GAA, .910 SV% since February) has a proven playoff pedigree, including a 2019 Game 7 road win in Boston. The Blues, led by Robert Thomas (40 points in 26 games), have won 4 of their last 5 as underdogs and boast a battle-tested 2019 Cup core. St. Louis’ ability to exploit Winnipeg’s penalty kill (79.4%) and Hellebuyck’s postseason demons makes them a value bet and live underdog. We would also consider a NHL prediction on the OVER 5.5 goals Blues vs Jets.

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NBA Predictions | Pacers vs Cavaliers | Round 2 | 2025

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ASA’s NBA Playoff Betting Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers Series – Over 5.5 Games (-115)

The 2025 NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals pit the top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers (68-18) against the No. 4 Indiana Pacers (54-33) in what promises to be a thrilling, high-octane series. With the series tipping off on May 4, 2025, at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, we are eyeing the Over 5.5 games prop at -115 odds as a solid series investment. Here’s why this series is likely to extend to at least six games.

Why the Series Could Go Long

Cleveland’s Dominance Meets Indiana’s Resilience

The Cavaliers have been the class of the NBA, sweeping Miami in the first round with a historic +122 point differential and boasting a league-best half-court offense and defense. Donovan Mitchell (23.8 PPG vs. Miami), Defensive Player of the Year Evan Mobley, and Darius Garland form a star trio, with Jarrett Allen anchoring the paint. Cleveland’s 68-18 record and home-court advantage make them heavy favorites (-480 to advance).

However, the Pacers are no pushovers. Fresh off a 4-1 rout of Milwaukee, Indiana’s high-octane offense (7th in NBA, 117.4 PPG) and improved half-court defense (14th post-2025) make them dangerous. Tyrese Haliburton (17.6 PPG, 11.6 APG) drives their relentless pace, while Pascal Siakam and Myles Turner stretch defenses. Indiana’s 3-1 regular-season edge over Cleveland (albeit with the Cavs resting stars in two games) and their 9-2 playoff record since 2023 show they can hang with elite teams.

Key Matchups Favor a Competitive Series

This series hinges on pace versus precision. Indiana’s transition-heavy attack will test Cleveland’s ability to slow the game, while the Cavs’ half-court dominance challenges Indiana’s bottom-10 half-court defense. Haliburton’s playmaking faces pressure from Garland and Mitchell, but Andrew Nembhard’s defense on Mitchell could keep games close. In the frontcourt, Mobley and Allen must contain Siakam and Turner, whose spacing creates mismatches.

Indiana’s depth—featuring Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, and Obi Toppin—matches Cleveland’s bench, led by Ty Jerome and De’Andre Hunter. Both teams excel in clutch situations (Cavs: 29.8 PPG in 4th; Pacers: 29.3 PPG), suggesting tight contests that could extend the series.

Historical and Betting Trends

The Pacers pushed Cleveland to seven games in their 2018 playoff meeting, and their current streak (19-4 including the playoffs) is a great indicator of just how well this team is playing. Don’t be surprised if Indiana’s steals at least one game in Cleveland and hold serve at home, pushing the series to six or beyond.

Betting Recommendation

Pick: Over 5.5 Games (-115) /

Smaller wager: Exact number of games (6) +270

The Cavaliers are the better team, but Indiana’s offensive firepower, depth, and playoff experience make this a dogfight. Expect the Pacers to snag at least one road win and leverage their 29-11 home record to force a Game 6 or 7. At -115, the Over 5.5 games bet is a smart play for a series that’s closer than the odds suggest.

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NBA free bet today | Cavs vs Heat | Game 3 April 26th

NBA free bet today: ASA play on Miami Heat +5.5 vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 1pm ET

We are going to support the Heat plus the points in this one as we trust Miami head coach Spolestra to dial up a gameplan to get a home win in Game 3.

Miami played much better in the 2nd half of their last game, outscoring the Cavs 61-53 over the final 2 quarters of Game 2. The Heat won the rebound battle 38-34 and shot well at 52%.

The Cavs were dialed in from Deep by hitting 22-45 from beyond the Arc, but don’t expect shots to fall as easily on the road in Miami.

The Heat were home underdogs just 15 times this season and a profitable 9-6 ATS in those games with an average plus/minus of -3.7ppg (good enough for a cover here).

Cleveland was very good as a road chalk this season at 20-14 ATS but they are just 2-5 ATS in that role their last seven. Miami shoots it much better at home than they do on the road with the 4th best 3PT% on their home court in the NBA.

The Cavs road 3PT% defense ranks 18th. If the Heat are going to win a game in this series it could be this one. Regardless, we expect a close game and will grab the points.

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NBA prediction | Timberwolves vs Lakers | Series Prediction

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NBA prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves (+175) to Win Series vs. LA Lakers: Betting Prediction

The Minnesota Timberwolves at +175 offer compelling value to win their first-round playoff series against the LA Lakers. Statistical trends and recent performance strongly favor the Wolves, despite their underdog status.

Statistical Support for the Timberwolves

  • Recent Form: Since January 6, 2025, the Wolves have been one of the NBA’s elite, posting a 32-16 record. Over their last 15 games, they’re 11-4 straight-up (SU) with a +9.8 Net Rating (4th in the NBA), showcasing their ability to dominate on both ends. In contrast, the Lakers are 8-7 SU in their last 15, with a -0.7 Net Rating, indicating inconsistency.
  • Offensive Efficiency: Minnesota boasts one of the NBA’s most efficient offense (6th) at 116.6 points per possession (PPP), outpacing the Lakers’ 115.9 PPP (12th). The Wolves’ attack, led by Anthony Edwards 27.6ppg, has the 3rd best Offensive Net rating over the past 5 games.
  • Defensive Prowess: The Wolves rank 6th in Defensive Efficiency, allowing 111.5 PPP, compared to the Lakers’ 114.7 PPP (15th). Minnesota’s length and versatility, anchored by Rudy Gobert, disrupts opponents’ rhythm, particularly in the paint.
  • Road Performance: The Wolves excelled away from home this season, going 24-17 with a +2.9 points per game (PPG) differential. This is critical in a playoff series where stealing road games is key. The Lakers, however, struggled on the road, posting a 19-22 SU record with a -2.4 PPG differential, a below average MOV in the league.

Minnesota’s superior efficiency on both offense and defense gives them an edge in a seven-game series. Their road resilience (24-17, +2.9 PPG) mitigates the Lakers’ home-court advantage, especially given LA’s poor road record (19-22, -2.4 PPG). The Wolves’ recent dominance (32-16 since January, 11-4 in last 15) contrasts with the Lakers’ mediocrity (8-7, negative Net Rating). Minnesota’s ability to control pace and defend the interior should neutralize LeBron James and Luka Doncic, while their top-ranked offense exploits LA’s middling defense.

Potential Concerns The Lakers’ star power (LeBron and Luka) can swing games, and their home court could pose challenges. However, LA’s road struggles and inconsistent supporting cast limit their upside against a deep, disciplined Wolves squad.

Prediction The Timberwolves’ statistical advantages—elite offensive and defensive efficiency, strong road performance, and recent form—make them the likely series winner. At +175, the betting value is undeniable for a team that matches up well and has been trending upward.

Pick: Timberwolves (+175) to win the series in 6 or 7 games.

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Masters Betting Preview | 2025 | April 10th

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2025 Masters Betting Preview by ASA

The 2025 Masters Tournament, set to tee off on Thursday, April 10 at Augusta National Golf Club, promises to deliver another thrilling chapter in golf’s most prestigious event. With a star-studded field, a $20 million purse, and the coveted green jacket on the line, bettors have plenty of options to consider. From dominant favorites to intriguing longshots, here’s a comprehensive betting preview, including current odds for the top 10 players and a few longshot predictions.

Current Odds for the Top 10 Players

As of April 9, 2025, the betting odds reflect a mix of recent form, Augusta history, and star power. Here are the top 10 favorites according to the latest odds (sourced from various sportsbooks like FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM):

  1. Scottie Scheffler (+400)
    The world No. 1 and defending champion is the clear favorite. Scheffler’s two Masters wins (2022, 2024) and his relentless consistency this season make him a formidable force. However, his putting struggles (79th in one-putt percentage, 86th in strokes gained: putting) could open the door for others if he falters on Augusta’s slick greens.
  2. Rory McIlroy (+650)
    McIlroy’s quest for the career Grand Slam continues, bolstered by wins at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Players Championship in 2025. Despite his strong form, his Augusta record remains inconsistent, with two missed cuts in the last four years and a T22 in 2024, making his short odds a risky proposition.
  3. Jon Rahm (+1400)
    The 2023 Masters champion has been solid on the LIV Golf circuit, but his move away from the PGA Tour introduces some uncertainty about his preparation. At 14-1, he’s a value play for those who trust his major pedigree and Augusta affinity.
  4. Ludvig Åberg (+1600)
    The young Swede, now a proven winner on both the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, showed his mettle with a runner-up finish at the 2024 Masters. His length off the tee and precision make him a trendy pick at 16-1.
  5. Collin Morikawa (+1600)
    Morikawa’s odds have tightened thanks to his elite ball-striking and a strong 2025 season. His T3 finish at the 2024 Masters suggests he’s figuring out Augusta, making him a compelling option at this price.
  6. Xander Schauffele (+1800)
    Schauffele’s consistency in majors (he’s rarely outside the top 20) and his length off the tee suit Augusta well. He’s yet to break through for a green jacket, but 18-1 feels like fair value for a player of his caliber.
  7. Bryson DeChambeau (+2000)
    The LIV Golf star’s T6 finish in 2024 proved he can tame Augusta despite his unconventional approach. At 20-1, he’s a polarizing but intriguing bet, especially if his short game holds up.
  8. Justin Thomas (+2200)
    Thomas brings major championship experience (two PGA titles) and a solid Masters track record (three top-12 finishes in his last six starts). His early 2025 form, including runner-up finishes at The American Express and Valspar Championship, supports his 22-1 odds.
  9. Joaquin Niemann (+2800)
    The LIV Golf standout has been a betting liability for sportsbooks (per X posts), with his length and approach play tailor-made for Augusta. At 28-1, he’s a dark horse with upside.
  10. Hideki Matsuyama (+2800)
    The 2021 Masters winner remains a steady contender at Augusta, with his precise iron play and short game. His 28-1 odds reflect a solid but unspectacular 2025, though his history here keeps him in the conversation.

Who are a few Longshots to consider?

Case for Tommy Fleetwood at +4000

Tommy Fleetwood at +4000 is a bet worth serious consideration, supported by his Augusta track record, recent form, and expert endorsements. Here’s why he’s a smart play:

  • Masters History: Fleetwood is entering his ninth Masters appearance with an impressive resume. He’s made the cut in seven of eight starts, including four top-20 finishes. His standout performance came last year with a T3 finish—his best at Augusta—proving he can contend on Sunday. Over the last eight years, he’s also notched seven top-5 finishes in majors, showcasing his big-stage pedigree.
  • Skill Set: Fleetwood’s game aligns beautifully with Augusta’s demands. His elite iron play (above-average strokes gained: approach) and accuracy off the tee give him an edge on a course that punishes wayward shots. While his putting can be inconsistent, his T3 in 2024 suggests he’s capable of figuring out Augusta’s tricky greens. His around-the-green play is also above average, a critical factor at a venue where scrambling often separates contenders from pretenders.
  • Recent Form: Though his T62 at the Valero Texas Open last weekend was a stumble (capped by an 81 on Sunday), it’s an outlier. Fleetwood finished 16th or better in five of his first six starts this season, including a T5 at The Players Championship. This consistency indicates he’s in form heading into Masters week, with the Valero result likely a blip rather than a trend.
  • Expert Backing: Renowned coach Butch Harmon recently tipped Fleetwood to win the Masters and emerge as golf’s next global superstar (per a Mirror Sport exclusive on X). Harmon’s endorsement carries weight, given his track record with major champions like Tiger Woods. Posts on X also highlight Fleetwood as a popular longshot, with betting previews noting his +4000 odds as offering value compared to sharper lines (e.g., Pinnacle’s +3627).
  • Betting Value: At 40-1, Fleetwood sits in a sweet spot—long enough to offer a significant return but short enough to reflect his realistic chances. SportsLine’s model, which has nailed 13 majors, pegs him at 35-1 on FanDuel and projects value, while X posts show him as a top-5 liability for some books, suggesting sharp money is on him.

Fleetwood has yet to win a major, but his near-misses (including a runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open) and his upward trajectory at Augusta make him a prime candidate to break through. A $10 bet at +4000 would return $400, and his odds for a top-10 finish (likely around +400 to +500) could be a safer hedge. If he can replicate his 2024 Masters performance and capitalize on a weak Sunday from the favorites, Fleetwood could don the green jacket on April 13.

Another consideration with longer odds: Corey Conners (+6000)

For those seeking a big payout, Corey Conners at +6000 stands out as a viable longshot. The Canadian has a stellar Masters record, with top-10 finishes in three of his last five appearances (T6 in 2022, T10 in 2021, T10 in 2020). His elite ball-striking—consistently ranking among the PGA Tour’s best in strokes gained: approach—suits Augusta’s demanding layout. While his putting can be a liability, Conners has shown he can get hot on these greens, as evidenced by his past performances. His 2025 season has been quietly strong, with multiple top-20 finishes, and at 75-1, he offers tremendous value for a top-10 bet or an outright sprinkle. If he can avoid a cold putter, Conners could shock the golfing world and become one of the longest longshot winners in Masters history.

Final Thoughts

The 2025 Masters is shaping up as a battle between proven champions like Scheffler and McIlroy and a hungry chasing pack. Scheffler’s favoritism is justified, but his putting woes and short odds make him a fade for some bettors. McIlroy’s Grand Slam narrative is compelling, yet his Augusta struggles temper enthusiasm. For value, Thomas (+2200) and Niemann (+2800) stand out among the mid-tier, while Conners (+6000) is the longshot to watch. However, Tommy Fleetwood at +4000 combines form, course fit, and narrative into one of the best bets on the board. Whether you’re chasing a big payout or playing it safe with a top-10 wager, this year’s Masters offers something for every golf betting enthusiast.

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