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Masters Betting Preview | 2025 | April 10th

MASTERSPREVIEW2025

2025 Masters Betting Preview by ASA

The 2025 Masters Tournament, set to tee off on Thursday, April 10 at Augusta National Golf Club, promises to deliver another thrilling chapter in golf’s most prestigious event. With a star-studded field, a $20 million purse, and the coveted green jacket on the line, bettors have plenty of options to consider. From dominant favorites to intriguing longshots, here’s a comprehensive betting preview, including current odds for the top 10 players and a few longshot predictions.

Current Odds for the Top 10 Players

As of April 9, 2025, the betting odds reflect a mix of recent form, Augusta history, and star power. Here are the top 10 favorites according to the latest odds (sourced from various sportsbooks like FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM):

  1. Scottie Scheffler (+400)
    The world No. 1 and defending champion is the clear favorite. Scheffler’s two Masters wins (2022, 2024) and his relentless consistency this season make him a formidable force. However, his putting struggles (79th in one-putt percentage, 86th in strokes gained: putting) could open the door for others if he falters on Augusta’s slick greens.
  2. Rory McIlroy (+650)
    McIlroy’s quest for the career Grand Slam continues, bolstered by wins at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Players Championship in 2025. Despite his strong form, his Augusta record remains inconsistent, with two missed cuts in the last four years and a T22 in 2024, making his short odds a risky proposition.
  3. Jon Rahm (+1400)
    The 2023 Masters champion has been solid on the LIV Golf circuit, but his move away from the PGA Tour introduces some uncertainty about his preparation. At 14-1, he’s a value play for those who trust his major pedigree and Augusta affinity.
  4. Ludvig Åberg (+1600)
    The young Swede, now a proven winner on both the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, showed his mettle with a runner-up finish at the 2024 Masters. His length off the tee and precision make him a trendy pick at 16-1.
  5. Collin Morikawa (+1600)
    Morikawa’s odds have tightened thanks to his elite ball-striking and a strong 2025 season. His T3 finish at the 2024 Masters suggests he’s figuring out Augusta, making him a compelling option at this price.
  6. Xander Schauffele (+1800)
    Schauffele’s consistency in majors (he’s rarely outside the top 20) and his length off the tee suit Augusta well. He’s yet to break through for a green jacket, but 18-1 feels like fair value for a player of his caliber.
  7. Bryson DeChambeau (+2000)
    The LIV Golf star’s T6 finish in 2024 proved he can tame Augusta despite his unconventional approach. At 20-1, he’s a polarizing but intriguing bet, especially if his short game holds up.
  8. Justin Thomas (+2200)
    Thomas brings major championship experience (two PGA titles) and a solid Masters track record (three top-12 finishes in his last six starts). His early 2025 form, including runner-up finishes at The American Express and Valspar Championship, supports his 22-1 odds.
  9. Joaquin Niemann (+2800)
    The LIV Golf standout has been a betting liability for sportsbooks (per X posts), with his length and approach play tailor-made for Augusta. At 28-1, he’s a dark horse with upside.
  10. Hideki Matsuyama (+2800)
    The 2021 Masters winner remains a steady contender at Augusta, with his precise iron play and short game. His 28-1 odds reflect a solid but unspectacular 2025, though his history here keeps him in the conversation.

Who are a few Longshots to consider?

Case for Tommy Fleetwood at +4000

Tommy Fleetwood at +4000 is a bet worth serious consideration, supported by his Augusta track record, recent form, and expert endorsements. Here’s why he’s a smart play:

  • Masters History: Fleetwood is entering his ninth Masters appearance with an impressive resume. He’s made the cut in seven of eight starts, including four top-20 finishes. His standout performance came last year with a T3 finish—his best at Augusta—proving he can contend on Sunday. Over the last eight years, he’s also notched seven top-5 finishes in majors, showcasing his big-stage pedigree.
  • Skill Set: Fleetwood’s game aligns beautifully with Augusta’s demands. His elite iron play (above-average strokes gained: approach) and accuracy off the tee give him an edge on a course that punishes wayward shots. While his putting can be inconsistent, his T3 in 2024 suggests he’s capable of figuring out Augusta’s tricky greens. His around-the-green play is also above average, a critical factor at a venue where scrambling often separates contenders from pretenders.
  • Recent Form: Though his T62 at the Valero Texas Open last weekend was a stumble (capped by an 81 on Sunday), it’s an outlier. Fleetwood finished 16th or better in five of his first six starts this season, including a T5 at The Players Championship. This consistency indicates he’s in form heading into Masters week, with the Valero result likely a blip rather than a trend.
  • Expert Backing: Renowned coach Butch Harmon recently tipped Fleetwood to win the Masters and emerge as golf’s next global superstar (per a Mirror Sport exclusive on X). Harmon’s endorsement carries weight, given his track record with major champions like Tiger Woods. Posts on X also highlight Fleetwood as a popular longshot, with betting previews noting his +4000 odds as offering value compared to sharper lines (e.g., Pinnacle’s +3627).
  • Betting Value: At 40-1, Fleetwood sits in a sweet spot—long enough to offer a significant return but short enough to reflect his realistic chances. SportsLine’s model, which has nailed 13 majors, pegs him at 35-1 on FanDuel and projects value, while X posts show him as a top-5 liability for some books, suggesting sharp money is on him.

Fleetwood has yet to win a major, but his near-misses (including a runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open) and his upward trajectory at Augusta make him a prime candidate to break through. A $10 bet at +4000 would return $400, and his odds for a top-10 finish (likely around +400 to +500) could be a safer hedge. If he can replicate his 2024 Masters performance and capitalize on a weak Sunday from the favorites, Fleetwood could don the green jacket on April 13.

Another consideration with longer odds: Corey Conners (+6000)

For those seeking a big payout, Corey Conners at +6000 stands out as a viable longshot. The Canadian has a stellar Masters record, with top-10 finishes in three of his last five appearances (T6 in 2022, T10 in 2021, T10 in 2020). His elite ball-striking—consistently ranking among the PGA Tour’s best in strokes gained: approach—suits Augusta’s demanding layout. While his putting can be a liability, Conners has shown he can get hot on these greens, as evidenced by his past performances. His 2025 season has been quietly strong, with multiple top-20 finishes, and at 75-1, he offers tremendous value for a top-10 bet or an outright sprinkle. If he can avoid a cold putter, Conners could shock the golfing world and become one of the longest longshot winners in Masters history.

Final Thoughts

The 2025 Masters is shaping up as a battle between proven champions like Scheffler and McIlroy and a hungry chasing pack. Scheffler’s favoritism is justified, but his putting woes and short odds make him a fade for some bettors. McIlroy’s Grand Slam narrative is compelling, yet his Augusta struggles temper enthusiasm. For value, Thomas (+2200) and Niemann (+2800) stand out among the mid-tier, while Conners (+6000) is the longshot to watch. However, Tommy Fleetwood at +4000 combines form, course fit, and narrative into one of the best bets on the board. Whether you’re chasing a big payout or playing it safe with a top-10 wager, this year’s Masters offers something for every golf betting enthusiast.

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