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NHL Free Bet | Leafs vs Senators | April 29 2025

ASA NHL play on Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 goals vs. Ottawa Senators – 7pm ET April 29, 2025

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Ottawa Senators in Game 5 of their 2025 NHL Playoffs first-round series at Scotiabank Arena, leading 3-1.

The Maple Leafs are a strong bet to close out the series tonight at -170 but we don’t want to get involved in that hefty price so we will be the puck line here. Toronto has a 29-13-1 home record this season (.674 winning percentage), with a +0.95 goal differential at home, scoring 3.25 goals per game (7th in the NHL) and allowing 2.30 (8th in the league).

Ottawa, is 18-20-5 on the road (.465 winning percentage), with a -0.42 goal differential, scoring 2.90 goals per game (21st) while allowing 3.32. 

Goaltending favors Toronto, with Anthony Stolarz posting a 2.14 GAA and .926 save percentage in the regular season (34 games), ranking first in save percentage among goalies with 20+ starts. Ottawa’s Linus Ullmark has a .910 save percentage and has struggled in the series, allowing six goals on high-danger chances.

With Ottawa down 3-1, they may pull their goalie late, potentially leading to a multi-goal Toronto win via an empty-netter. Maple Leafs Money Line Puck Line (-1.5, +155). Play on Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 goals vs. Ottawa Senators – 7pm ET April 29, 2025

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