Tag: college football best bets

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Free Bet | Michigan State vs USC | Sept 20 2025

ASAwins FREE BET – OVER 55: Michigan State Spartans at USC Trojans โ€“ 11 PM ET

This Big Ten showdown screams fireworks and we predict a shootout in the Coliseum late this evening. USC’s offense ranks No. 1 nationally in total yards (604 per game) and No. 2 in scoring (55 points per game), led by QB Jayden Maiava’s โ€”989 passing yards, 6 TDs, and 0 INTs so farโ€”while averaging a blistering 9.6 yards per play (tops in FBS).

They gashed Purdue for 460 yards without punting last week, leaving points on the table in a 33-17 win, and their 12.8 yards per pass attempt (No. 2) should provide explosive plays with WR Jaโ€™Kobi Lane exploiting the Spartans secondary.

Michigan State’s secondary? A sieve, ranking 118th in passing yards allowed (273.3 YPG) and coughing up 25 completions per game through the air, with 5.4 yards per play surrendered overall (86th).

Flip to MSU’s side: Dual-threat QB Aidan Chiles has Sparty averaging 35.3 points per game, exploding for 42 and 41 in their last two outings behind a balanced attack (168 rushing YPG, 68th).

USC’s D, stout against the run (86.3 YPG allowed), ranks just 82nd in points allowed per play (0.4) and could bend under Chiles’ mobility.

ASAโ€™s Models projects 62 in this Big Ten showdown.

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Free CFB Bet | Texas vs San Jose State | ASA breaks it down

#324 ASA Free CFB PLAY ON Texas -36.5 over San Jose State, Saturday at 12 PM ET

The Spartans could be in for a long day in Austin on Saturday.  Texas lost 14-7 @ Ohio State last week but they outplayed the Bucks on the field with a +133 total yard advantage. 

They also dominated the Buckeyes on the ground averaging 4.5 YPC to just 2.3 YPC for OSU.  The Longhorn defense was stellar limiting Ohio State to just 203 total yards on 3.7 YPP on the road. 

San Jose State lost at home 16-14 last weekend vs a Central Michigan team that was traveling across the country with entirely new systems on both sides of the ball.  How is this SJSU offense going to put up points on the road vs one of the best defenses in the country, and with extra motivation coming off a loss? 

Defensively, the Spartans allowed the brand new CMU offense to average 5.7 YPP and put up 247 yards on the ground last week.  Now they face an angry offense that is ready to blow someoneโ€™s doors off after last week. 

While only scoring 7 points last week, Texas did put up 336 total yards and 170 yards rushing on one of the best defenses in the country.  Huge step down here taking on SJSUโ€™s stop unit. 

The Longhorns similar type opponent non-conference home games last year vs Colorado State, UTSA, and UL Monroe, they outscored those 3 opponents 159-10! 

After hearing all week how they blew last weekโ€™s game vs OSU, theyโ€™ll want to run this one up and get QB Manning rolling with confidence.  Texas has UTEP on deck so no lookahead for them.  Lay it. 

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College Football Week 0 Previews | By ASA

Florida State vs. Georgia Tech Betting Preview

THE GAME

Florida State (13-1 SU & 8-6 ATS last season) vs

Georgia Tech (7-6 SU & 8-5 ATS last season)

Saturday, Aug 24th at 12 PM ET – @ Dublin, Ireland

THE LINES – Florida State (-10.5) / O/U [55.5] 

FLORIDA STATE OFFENSE โ€“ 32.8 PPG (23rd) / 392.2 YPG (54th) / 6.0 YPP (36th) / 12.0 YPPT (12th)

FSU OFFENSIVE NOTES  – FSUโ€™s starting QB this year is DJ Uiagalelei who previously was the starter at Clemson and Oregon State / FSU is ranked 81st in returning offensive production per ESPN S&P+ / FSU lost top 2 WRโ€™s Coleman & Wilson both to the NFL โ€“ new starting WRโ€™s are transfers from Bama who had 162 yards receiving last year & LSU who did not play last year / The Seminoles return 4 starters on the offensive line and theyโ€™ve combined to start 190 career games which is 3rd most nationally.

FLORIDA STATE DEFENSE โ€“ 19.8 PPG (17th) / 340.2 YPG (31st) / 4.9 YPP (23rd) / 17.2 YPPT (12th)

FSU DEFENSIVE NOTES โ€“ FSU returns 5 starters on defense and loses 6 of their top 9 tacklers from last season / The Noles bring back 50% of their overall tackles from last season which is 95th in the country / Florida State lost 5 starters in their defensive front 7 but pulled in replacement transfers from Georgia (DE who had 12 tackles last season) and Auburn (LB who had 28 tackles last season) / FSU finished in the top 20 nationally in pass defense last year but outside the top 60 in rush defense.

GEORGIA TECH OFFENSE โ€“ 29.7 PPG (43rd) / 411.8 YPG (36th) / 6.0 YPP (36th) / 13.9 YPPT (49th)

GEORGIA TECH OFFENSIVE NOTES โ€“ GT is ranked 7th in the nation in returning offensive production per ESPN SP+ / QB Haynes King is back after throwing for over 2800 yards and rushing for over 800 yards last season / Tech led the ACC in rushing last year averaging 198 YPG / The Jackets bring back 4 starting offensive linemen who have combined for 128 career starts (13th in the country) / They return 86% of their offensive yards from last year which is 11th most in the nation.

GEORGIA TECH DEFENSE โ€“ 30.8 PPG (100th) / 449.3 YPG (123rd) / 6.2 YPP (118th) / 14.6 YPPT (58th)

GEORGIA TECH DEFENSIVE NOTES โ€“ Tech finished 130th last season (out of 133 teams) defending the run allowing 223 YPG on the ground / GT has new DC Tyler Santucci who came over from Duke so he has some familiarity with FSU / Santucci will mainly run an aggressive 4-2-5 scheme / His Duke defense finished 18th nationally last year allowing 20 PPG / The Yellow Jackets ranked 105th in returning defensive production per ESPN SP+ / The Tech defense allowed at least 400 total yards in 10 of their 13 games last year.

THE GAME

SMU vs. Nevada Betting Preview

SMU (11-3 SU & 8-6 ATS last season) vs

Nevada (2-10 SU & 6-6 ATS last season)

Saturday, Aug 24th at 8 PM ET

THE LINES – SMU (-24.5) / O/U [56]

SMU OFFENSE โ€“ 36.4PPG (10th) / 446.9YPG (18th) / 6.0YPP (37th) / 12.3YPPT (12th)

SMU OFFENSIVE NOTES โ€“  8 returning starters including QB Stone. SMU’s offense will be led by quarterback Preston Stone, who returns from a late season injury last season, after throwing for nearly 3,200YDS w/28 TDโ€™s to 6 INTโ€™s. With a talented receiving corps (averaged 270.4PYPG / 30th in 2023) and a solid offensive line, the Mustangs are expected to put up big numbers through the air. The Mustang return their three top rushers including Jaylan Knighton who rushed for over 750-yards last season. SMU averaged 176.5RYPG (35th).

SMU DEFENSE โ€“ 19.2PPG (14th) / 315.5YPG (14th) / 4.5YPP (7th) / 16.5YPPT (21st)

SMU DEFENSIVE NOTES โ€“ The Mustangs went from allowing 6.1YPP in 2022 to giving up just 4.5YPP in 2023 (7th). The defense returns 7 starters from last yearโ€™s unit that ranked top 21 in several key categories. SMUโ€™s defense did a great job getting off the field by holding opponents to 4.1 3rd down conversions per game (13th).

NEVADA OFFENSE โ€“ 18.4PPG (119th) / 303.1YPG (119th) / 4.3YPP (127th) / 16.5YPPT (109th)

NEVADA OFFENSIVE NOTES โ€“ The Wolfpack have struggled in recent years, including last season when they won 2 games, leading to a coaching change and an overhauled roster. Nevada had the 124th worst average point differential per game of minus -15.1PPG. QB Brendon Lewis returns for the Wolfpack who threw for 1,313 yards with 2 TD/6 INT and a passer rating of 33.3 (117th). The running game is their strength with their top two rushers (Dollars & Bianco) returning. The offensive line allowed 3.8 sacks per game last season (127th) and didnโ€™t provide the running backs many open holes as they averaged 3.3YPR (117th).  

NEVADA DEFENSE โ€“ 33.5PPG (114th) / 440.9YPG (118th) / 6.7YPP (131st) / 13.2YPPT (96th)

NEVADA DEFENSIVE NOTES โ€“ Head coach Jeff Choate has a solid background defensively and has his work cut out for him this season. The Wolfpack have two DL starters returning, along with their corps of linebackers. The secondary needs to be completely rebuilt and will be their defensive Achilles heel. Nevada allowed 348.5PYPG (96th), 64.7% completion percentage (111th) and 8.4 yards per pass attempt (118th).

YPP = Yards Per Play, YPPT = Yards Per Point

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