Tag: scott rickenbach

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NFL Player Props for Oct 9th

NFL Player Props for Week 5 in the NFL – ASA

Kenny Pickett Over 18.5 Rush Yards (-115)

Last week Pickett rushed for 15 yards on 6 carries, also punching in 2 rushing touchdowns. Additionally, the rookie from Pitt threw 3 Ints on his 13 pass attempts. With a full week of first team reps, Pickett will lead the Steelers into Buffalo for a baptism by fire. Mike Tomlin will pull out all the stops to get his team off a 3 game losing streak, including utilizing his QBs running ability to limit turnovers. Pickett will need to scramble regularly in a game that the Steelers should be playing from behind. 

Cooper Kupp Over 8.5 Recs (-105)

Kupp is arguably the best WR in football currently, averaging 10.5 receptions per game so far this year. Sean McVay schemes Kupp open and Matthew Stafford rarely looks to go elsewhere with the ball. Dallas has been stingy against the pass, ranking 6th in pass yards per game in 2022. However, Kupp should continue to see massive volume in the short and intermediate route concepts that will allow the Rams to get the ball out quick. 

DJ Moore Under 50.5 Rec Yards (-115)

The Panthers offense has been abysmal this year, ranking dead last in yards per game. Everyone thought Baker Mayfield would be an upgrade over Sam Darnold, but we’ve seen much of the same. DJ Moore is averaging 34.5 yards per game, and is fresh off an uninspiring 6 for 50 against the Cardinals depleted secondary. San Francisco’s defense ranks first in both sacks and points allowed, making for a long afternoon for Carolina’s offense.   

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NFL Player Prop MNF – Sept 26

PROP BETS – OVER 14.5 RECEIVING YARDS – JAKE FERGUSON – COWBOYS

ASA’s NFL Player Prop bets for the Cowboys vs. Giants game. The news out of Dallas is that starting tight end Dalton Schultz is NOT expected to play. Before making this wager be sure to watch the pre-game warmups and see if he is active. If Schultz doesn’t play, we like Jake Ferguson to see plenty of action at the TE position. Last season Schultz was the 6th highest targeted TE in the NFL with 6.1 looks per game. The inexperienced QB Cooper Rush will likely check down to his underneath option or Ferguson in this case. In the preseason Ferguson led the TE’s with 7 targets for 76-yards. In the two meetings last season the Cowboy tight ends caught 16 passes for 167 total yards. Again, this is dependent on Schultz not suiting up.

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FREE college football bet | Sept 25

POINT TRAIN WAGER – #376 OREGON STATE +6 vs. USC @ 9:30PM ET

WAGER – OREGON STATE +6

  • Free college fotball – This is one of those games I keep going back to for one specific reason. The line on this game opened with USC a touchdown favorite and more money/tickets are being bet on the Trojans, yet the line moved off that key number.
  • My computers have USC as a 4.2-point favorite on a neutral field so you can see for yourself this number is slightly inflated.
  • Both have played Fresno State this season and won. OSU went to Fresno and won 35-32 as a 1-point dog. USC hosted the Bulldogs last week and won 45-17.
  • Oregon State was a 10-point road dog a year ago in So Cal and won 45-27 with a plus +109-yards differential.
  • USC is loaded on offense with some high-profile transfers but the Beavers aren’t far behind with an offense putting up 45.7PPG and averaging 12.6-Yards Per Point.
  • Defensively the Beavers were slightly better a year ago and the two units are about even this season.
  • There is value with the home dog in this one.
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College Football Free Bet – Friday Sept 23

POINT TRAIN FRIDAY OPINION PLAY ONLY: Boise State @ UTEP @ 9PM ET

WAGER – BOISE STATE -16

RATING – Opinion

  • This is one of those games you end up over-thinking and not betting the Side you should which is Boise State in this case.
  • Both teams have played New Mexico with drastically different outcomes. Boise beat UNM 31-14 in New Mexico and outgained them by +175-total yards as a 17-point favorite.
  • UTEP was at UNM last weekend and lost 10-27 as a 2-point favorite. The Miners outgained Lobos by 55-yards.
  • Last year at home the Broncos were -25-point favorites at home and won 54-13 with +130-yard advantage.
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NFL Player Props Thursday NFL Steelers vs. Browns

NFL player prop bets for Thursday, Sept 22nd 2022

KAREEM HUNT – OVER 16.5 RECEIVING YARDS – Hunt had 16 receiving yards last week against the Jets and 24 the week before versus Carolina. Dating back to last season he has averaged 23-receiving yards per game. Hunt has been targeted 6 times in two games and should see his fair share of looks in this game. Pittsburgh was 14th in the NFL a year ago in receiving yards allowed to running backs at an average of 38.2 per game. With the high winds in Cleveland tonight expect plenty of check-downs to the backs.

NICK CHUBB – OVER 6.5 RECEIVING YARDS – Pittsburgh was 14th in the NFL a year ago in receiving yards allowed to running backs at an average of 38.2 per game. With the high winds in Cleveland tonight expect plenty of check-downs to the backs. Chubb literally needs just one ball thrown his way to eclipse this number. Last week he had 26-receiving yards on 3-receptions with 3 targets. Last season Chubb averaged 1.7 receptions per game and 12.4-receiving yards per contest.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS – UNDER 16.5 POINTS – The Steelers are averaging 18.5PPG which is 22nd in the NFL. That average is misleading though as they have just 1 offensive TD on the season. Pittsburgh is 30th in both yards per game gained and Yards Per Play at 4.3. The Steelers have just 2 Red Zone attempts this season and have benefitted with great field position with turnovers forced by their defense (6 in two games). The Steelers current estimated points per game is 14.5, one of the lowest numbers in the NFL. The windy conditions certainly won’t help in this one. Bet Under.

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