Tag: ASA

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NFL Player Props for Oct 9th

NFL Player Props for Week 5 in the NFL – ASA

Kenny Pickett Over 18.5 Rush Yards (-115)

Last week Pickett rushed for 15 yards on 6 carries, also punching in 2 rushing touchdowns. Additionally, the rookie from Pitt threw 3 Ints on his 13 pass attempts. With a full week of first team reps, Pickett will lead the Steelers into Buffalo for a baptism by fire. Mike Tomlin will pull out all the stops to get his team off a 3 game losing streak, including utilizing his QBs running ability to limit turnovers. Pickett will need to scramble regularly in a game that the Steelers should be playing from behind. 

Cooper Kupp Over 8.5 Recs (-105)

Kupp is arguably the best WR in football currently, averaging 10.5 receptions per game so far this year. Sean McVay schemes Kupp open and Matthew Stafford rarely looks to go elsewhere with the ball. Dallas has been stingy against the pass, ranking 6th in pass yards per game in 2022. However, Kupp should continue to see massive volume in the short and intermediate route concepts that will allow the Rams to get the ball out quick. 

DJ Moore Under 50.5 Rec Yards (-115)

The Panthers offense has been abysmal this year, ranking dead last in yards per game. Everyone thought Baker Mayfield would be an upgrade over Sam Darnold, but we’ve seen much of the same. DJ Moore is averaging 34.5 yards per game, and is fresh off an uninspiring 6 for 50 against the Cardinals depleted secondary. San Francisco’s defense ranks first in both sacks and points allowed, making for a long afternoon for Carolina’s offense.   

  • NFL Win Total Bets | Commanders & Steelers
    NFL WIN TOTAL BETS 2026-27 – By Marty – Point Train Consultants Washington under 7.5 wins and Pittsburgh over 8.5 wins is a futures pairing with a simple story: one team spent 2025 proving the 2024 magic was rented, the other spent 2025 quietly cashing the same 10-win ticket it always cashes. Speaking of these… Read more: NFL Win Total Bets | Commanders & Steelers
  • 49ers Player Prop Bet vs Rams | Week 1
    49ers Player Prop Bet | CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY ANYTIME TD SCORE – YES – -$148 Our model has a prediction percentage on this of 71%. We are not as high on that number as our computer, but we do feel McCaffrey has a solid shot to score in this game. He’s had a tough time running… Read more: 49ers Player Prop Bet vs Rams | Week 1
  • Ram vs 49ers Week 1 betting Preview
    Rams vs. 49ers Week 1 betting preview (Thursday, Sept. 10, 2026, 8:35 p.m. ET at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Australia). Neutral-site international opener on Netflix. Opening vs. current numbers Opening consensus (mid-summer books): Rams -2.5, total 49.5. Current consensus (as of Thursday): Rams -3.5, total 48.5. Moneylines generally sit around Rams -190 to -210 / 49ers… Read more: Ram vs 49ers Week 1 betting Preview
  • NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview
    NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview: Opening vs. Current Spreads and Expanded Game Analysis (Sept. 9-14) The 2026 NFL season opens Wednesday with a Super Bowl LX rematch and the league’s first regular-season game in Australia. Sixteen games span four days. Opening lines posted in May have moved on several key numbers. Current spreads reflect… Read more: NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview
  • ACC Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction 2026
    ASA’s ACC Sleeper Team in 2026: Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction The ACC is deeper and more unbalanced than it used to be: 17 football programs, a new nine-game league slate for most of them, and several rebuilt staffs chasing the same bowl spots. Miami, Clemson, and SMU will get the preseason headlines. Virginia Tech is… Read more: ACC Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction 2026
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Free College Bet Kent State vs Miami OH prediction

Free College Bet – Kent State -5.5 at Miami OH, 3:30PM ET

Free college bet brought to you by ASA. These were the two favorites to win the MAC East this season, but Miami lost their starting QB Gabbert and have struggled without him. Backup Aveon Smith is a capable runner, but he’s thrown for under 155 passing yards in every start this season which makes Miami one-dimensional on offense.  If you happened to miss it, last week Kent State put up over 735 total yards of offense in a win over Ohio U. The 31-points they scored in that game should have been more, but key turnovers or fumbles cost them multiple points. Kent has played one of the toughest schedules in college football with three games against Oklahoma, Washington and Georgia. That’s a big reason why you can throw out their defensive rankings for the season which have them near the bottom in several key categories. Interestingly enough, the Redhawks have some dismal defensive numbers of their own, but they haven’t faced near the schedule Kent has. Miami’s two toughest games were against Kentucky and Cincinnati which they lost by 24 and 21-points respectively. Last week the Golden Flashes RB Marquez Cooper had 240-rushing yards against Ohio U and we expect another big game from him here.

  • NFL Win Total Bets | Commanders & Steelers
    NFL WIN TOTAL BETS 2026-27 – By Marty – Point Train Consultants Washington under 7.5 wins and Pittsburgh over 8.5 wins is a futures pairing with a simple story: one team spent 2025 proving the 2024 magic was rented, the other spent 2025 quietly cashing the same 10-win ticket it always cashes. Speaking of these… Read more: NFL Win Total Bets | Commanders & Steelers
  • 49ers Player Prop Bet vs Rams | Week 1
    49ers Player Prop Bet | CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY ANYTIME TD SCORE – YES – -$148 Our model has a prediction percentage on this of 71%. We are not as high on that number as our computer, but we do feel McCaffrey has a solid shot to score in this game. He’s had a tough time running… Read more: 49ers Player Prop Bet vs Rams | Week 1
  • Ram vs 49ers Week 1 betting Preview
    Rams vs. 49ers Week 1 betting preview (Thursday, Sept. 10, 2026, 8:35 p.m. ET at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Australia). Neutral-site international opener on Netflix. Opening vs. current numbers Opening consensus (mid-summer books): Rams -2.5, total 49.5. Current consensus (as of Thursday): Rams -3.5, total 48.5. Moneylines generally sit around Rams -190 to -210 / 49ers… Read more: Ram vs 49ers Week 1 betting Preview
  • NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview
    NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview: Opening vs. Current Spreads and Expanded Game Analysis (Sept. 9-14) The 2026 NFL season opens Wednesday with a Super Bowl LX rematch and the league’s first regular-season game in Australia. Sixteen games span four days. Opening lines posted in May have moved on several key numbers. Current spreads reflect… Read more: NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview
  • ACC Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction 2026
    ASA’s ACC Sleeper Team in 2026: Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction The ACC is deeper and more unbalanced than it used to be: 17 football programs, a new nine-game league slate for most of them, and several rebuilt staffs chasing the same bowl spots. Miami, Clemson, and SMU will get the preseason headlines. Virginia Tech is… Read more: ACC Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction 2026
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Free NFL play Bills vs. Ravens prediction – Oct 2

#257/258 ASA PLAY ON Over 50 Points – Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

Bills total vs Miami closed 54 or 55 and we were on that Over.  This week it’s just 51 when our numbers have it similar to last week’s closing total.  The Bills are the constant here so comparing Miami with Baltimore, the Ravens offense leads NFL in scoring (33 ppg) and efficiency scoring 1 point for every 11.5 yards gained and YPP at 6.9.  Those numbers are better than Miami’s offense.  The Ravens defense ranks 31st in YPP allowed 6.7, last in pass defense at 353 YPG (next worst is 297 YPG allowed), AND they allowed 68 points last 2 weeks vs Miami & New England.  After scoring 72 points in their first 2 games, the Bills had just 19 last week but gained 500 yards!  Buffalo crossed into Miami territory on EACH of their last 6 offensive possessions and scored only 3 points.  They had their chances to say the least.  The Ravens have scored 75 points in their last 2 games vs decent defenses (Miami and New England) and they should have success vs a Buffalo defense that remains very banged up especially in the defensive backfield where 5 of their 9 top DB’s (CB’s and safeties) are out or questionable.  Part of the reason this total is set lower than it should be is weather.  The remnants of Hurricane Ian could be in the area with possible rain and 10 to 15 MPH winds.  Something we’ll have to keep an eye on as we get closer to game time.

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NFL Player Prop MNF – Sept 26

PROP BETS – OVER 14.5 RECEIVING YARDS – JAKE FERGUSON – COWBOYS

ASA’s NFL Player Prop bets for the Cowboys vs. Giants game. The news out of Dallas is that starting tight end Dalton Schultz is NOT expected to play. Before making this wager be sure to watch the pre-game warmups and see if he is active. If Schultz doesn’t play, we like Jake Ferguson to see plenty of action at the TE position. Last season Schultz was the 6th highest targeted TE in the NFL with 6.1 looks per game. The inexperienced QB Cooper Rush will likely check down to his underneath option or Ferguson in this case. In the preseason Ferguson led the TE’s with 7 targets for 76-yards. In the two meetings last season the Cowboy tight ends caught 16 passes for 167 total yards. Again, this is dependent on Schultz not suiting up.

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FREE college football bet | Sept 25

POINT TRAIN WAGER – #376 OREGON STATE +6 vs. USC @ 9:30PM ET

WAGER – OREGON STATE +6

  • Free college fotball – This is one of those games I keep going back to for one specific reason. The line on this game opened with USC a touchdown favorite and more money/tickets are being bet on the Trojans, yet the line moved off that key number.
  • My computers have USC as a 4.2-point favorite on a neutral field so you can see for yourself this number is slightly inflated.
  • Both have played Fresno State this season and won. OSU went to Fresno and won 35-32 as a 1-point dog. USC hosted the Bulldogs last week and won 45-17.
  • Oregon State was a 10-point road dog a year ago in So Cal and won 45-27 with a plus +109-yards differential.
  • USC is loaded on offense with some high-profile transfers but the Beavers aren’t far behind with an offense putting up 45.7PPG and averaging 12.6-Yards Per Point.
  • Defensively the Beavers were slightly better a year ago and the two units are about even this season.
  • There is value with the home dog in this one.