Category: Freepicks

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Free College Bet | Nevada vs Grand Canyon | March 12th

#763/764 ASA FREE college bet on Under 138.5 Points – Nevada vs Grand Canyon, Thursday at 5:30 PM ET

Both teams are middle of the pack in pace in the Mountain West and we only expect possessions in the mid 60’s here.  In their 1 meeting this year they had 72 total possessions and that included OT.  GC won that game 66-60 in OT and at the end of regulation the score was 53-53.  Both teams are better efficiency wise on defense compared to offense.  GC ranks #1 in the MWC and top 20 nationally in defensive efficiency and Nevada is 4th in that metric in league play.  They rank 1st and 3rd in the conference in PPG allowed.  Offensively they are 6th and 7th in the MWC in efficiency and 7th and 8th in eFG%.  Nevada is a decent 3 point shooting team but they don’t take many 3’s (337th in 3 point shot attempted per game) and when they do the Antelopes are 2nd in the MWC and top 60 nationally guarding the arc.  On the other end, Grand Canyon is simply a poor shooting team from deep ranking 11th in the conference and 311th nationally making only 31% of their triples.  Both are better defensive rebounding teams than offensive which should limit 2nd chance opportunities.  If we don’t see a foul fest in this game, we don’t see either team reaching 70 points and we like the Under.  

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NBA Free Bet | Player prop | Collin Gillespie – Suns

ASA NBA free bet – player prop bet OVER 13.5 Points Collin Gillespie – Phoenix Suns

Gillespie and the Suns take on the Bucks in Milwaukee tonight and we like his odds to have a big impact on the offensive end of the court and score more than 14-points.

Gillespie has been over this number in 6 of the Suns last eight games averaging 16.4ppg. Tonight, he’ll face a Bucks defense that has gotten continually worse under head coach Doc Rivers (I hate to use the word ‘coach’ to describe him), currently ranking 24th in defensive efficiency allowing 1.179-points per possession. This unit was literally one of the best in the NBA in terms of dEFF prior to Doc taking over.

Milwaukee gives up the 3rd most points to opposing point guards on the season at 26.2ppg and they’ve allowed 7 of their last eight PG’s to go OVER their scoring prop.

Gillespie should see about 27-31 minutes of action in this one and will find plenty of open looks against a Bucks defense that allows PG’s to shoot 46% on the season. Gillespie is shooting 43.2% from beyond the arc in his last ten games and has made 3.9 threes per game in his last eight games.

Today’s NBA free bet or player prop is OVER 13.5 Points Collin Gillespie – Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks.

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College Free Bet | Colorado vs Arizona | March 3 2026

#720 ASA COLLEGE FREE BET ON Colorado +14.5 over Arizona, Saturday at 11:59 PM ET

Huge letdown spot for Arizona as they are off huge back to back wins over top tier teams Kansas & Arizona.  The Cats have already clinched the conference title and the #1 seed in the Big 12 tournament. 

While Zona has pasted most opponents at home, on the road they haven’t been quite as dominant.  They only team they’ve topped by more than 13 points on the Big 12 road was @ Utah who is by far the worst team in the conference (120th per KenPom).  Their average scoring margin per game at home is +18 PPG and on the road it’s just +8 PPG. 

Colorado is 13-4 at home with some tight losses vs the Big 12’s best including a 2 point loss to Texas Tech and 6 point loss to Kansas.  The Buffs are always tough at home in altitude and even when they lose, it’s not often by margin.  In fact, they have lost at home by more than 16 points just once in their last 51 games. 

CU has shot it well at home, especially from deep hitting almost 38%, and they are averaging 85 PPG here.  We think it’ll be tough for the Wildcats to win this one going away in Colorado’s home finale. 

Arizona has struggled at this venue losing 6 of the last 7 and they are just 3-12 lifetime in Boulder.  They just want to get out of here with a win and no injuries.  No need for a blowout.  Take the points with Colorado as today’s College free bet.

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Free Bet | New Mexico vs San Diego State | Feb 28, 2026

#648 ASA FREE BET New Mexico -1.5 over San Diego State, Saturday at 2 PM ET

We’re getting the Lobos at home off a road loss @ Nevada facing the Aztecs on the road off a huge home win over Utah State which pushed them into a tie for 1st place in the Mountain West.  We like this situation for New Mexico in the Pit on Saturday afternoon.  The Lobos lost on Tuesday night while SDSU played on Wednesday giving the host an extra day.  The Pit is one of the tougher places to play and the Lobos are 13-2 here this year and 54-6 since the start of the 2022 season.  A win here would put New Mexico and SDSU in a tie for 2nd place (possibly 1st place if Utah State loses) with 13-5 records.  The Aztecs have 4 losses in conference play and 3 of those came on the road.  When these 2 met in San Diego the Aztecs squeaked out a 4 point win and 49% from the field and 41% from 3 point land.  On the road their offensive numbers drop to 73 PPG (81 PPG at home) on just 1.04 PPP.  It looks like the Aztecs might also be without a few rotational players (Newman & Oden) who are both questionable for this game.  New Mexico is set to host SDSU for possibly the last time in the Pit (Aztecs leaving the MWC after this season) where they are 32-13 lifetime vs the Aztecs.  Let’s lay the small number.    FREE BET today on New Mexico vs San Diego State.

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Free Bet | College Basketball | Feb 26 2026

#826 ASA FREE BET ON Utah Tech -3.5 over Abilene Christian, Thursday at 9 PM ET

Because the WAC only has 7 teams, they play each other 3 times.  These 2 have already met twice with Utah Tech handling Abilene Christian both times on the road.  We don’t see that changing now that Tech gets the Wildcats at home.  Utah Tech is 6-1 at home in WAC play with their only loss coming by 4 points vs UT Arlington in a game where Tech made just 1 of 15 from deep (7%) and missed half of their FT’s (9 of 18).  That was an outlier as the Trailblazers are 2nd in the WAC in 3 point FG% at 38% and make 73% of their FT’s in league play.  Abilene Christian has won 3 of their last 4 but all 3 wins were at home and 2 of those wins went down to the wire.  On the road the Wildcats are just 1-5 in conference play with their only win coming by 4 points @ Tarleton State who sits tied for last place in the conference.  Taking a look at the 2 meetings between these teams this season, Utah Tech won both on the road by 6 and 15 points.  However, those games were more lopsided than the final scores might indicate.  Abilene Christian led for just 12% of the time in the 2 games combined while the Trailblazers led for 99% of one match up and 83% of the other.  The Wildcats largest lead in either game was 4 points while Utah Tech led by 25 in one game and 14 in the other, both of those leads coming with under 6:00 remaining in the game.  Both offenses like to shoot the 3 (1st and 3rd in the WAC in percentage of shots taken from beyond the arc) but the problem is, one defense is really good at defending the arc and the other stinks.  Utah Tech ranks 1st in the conference allowing opponents to shoot only 27% from 3 point land while ACU allows 41% from deep (last in the WAC).  In the first 2 match ups those stats played out as expected with Tech making 20 of their 44 triples (45%) while the Wildcats made only 13 of 41 (31%).  No reason to think that changes tonight.  Utah Tech is a half game (1 game out in the loss column) behind Utah Valley for 1st place in the WAC.  They are battling for the conference title and we like them to win and cover at home tonight.

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