ASA Free NBA player prop OVER 18.5 POINTS for CJ McCollum Hawks vs Knicks
McCollum continues to see a high usage rate for the Hawks and is one of the few vets on this team with big game experience. He is coming off a 26-point scoring night in Game 1 of this series on 11 of 20 shooting. He has gone OVER this prop total in 6 of his last ten games. The Knicks allow 23.3ppg on the season to shooting guards and have allowed 5 of the last eight similar players to McCollum go OVER their scoring prop. We expect McCollum to find the bottom of the net plenty in Game 2 against the Knicks.
ASA NBA free bet on Indiana Pacers +8.5 vs. LA Clippers, 7:10pm ET
Our model likes the value with the Indiana Pacers here at home tonight against the visiting LA Clippers. These two teams met in early March in Los Angeles which had the Clippers an -11.5-point favorite on their home court. The natural swing in spreads/venues should have the Clippers a much smaller favorite here. Not only that, but the Lakers just played the Pacers on this floor and were favored by the exact same spread and they are in the midst of a blistering 13-2 streak and currently sit 3rd in the Western Conference. Indiana is 1-3 SU in their last four games, but they have covered all four ATS, a clear indication they are being undervalued by the oddsmakers. The Clippers can’t be trusted as a road favorite this season with a 5-9 ATS record and an average margin of victory in those games of just +0.2ppg. We don’t trust this Los Angeles team on the road in general with a 16-21 SU record and an average plus/minus of -2.3ppg. Despite their struggles and tanking the Pacers are 20-16 ATS at home on the season with an average loss margin of -5.4ppg which is well within the margin of tonight’s point spread. Grab the points here with the Pacers.
ASA play on UNDER 223 Denver Nuggets at LA Clippers, 10PM ET
The Clippers have become one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season (hired Jeff Van Gundy as an assistant coach) as they allow the 4th fewest points per possession in the league. L.A. has held 6 of their last seven opponents to less than 100 points, which is unheard of in today’s NBA.
Denver’s defense hasn’t been as good this season and recently gave up 145 to the Knicks which caused a meltdown with head coach Malone who publicly criticized his team’s effort. The Nuggets responded in their next game by holding the Jazz to 103 points.
These two teams met earlier this season and produced 213 total points. They have not scored more than this O/U number in 5 straight meetings and 8 of their last nine.
Denver hasn’t played since Wednesday and with 2-4 days rest dating back to last season they are 19-7 Under with those games staying below the number by an average of 8ppg.
When these two teams play a conference opponent the Under is 102-57-2 since the start of last season. Bet Under!
NBA Longshot – We have you covered – Denver Nuggets (+850) As we mentioned in our Efficiency Champions article, the Nuggets didn’t have the defensive efficiency stats to qualify this year as a potential NBA Champion (efficiency wise) but their overall efficiency differential is 7th best. The Nuggets suffered through several key injuries to their… Read more: NBA Longshot – Denver Nuggets +850
Our Money is on a team everyone is sleeping on…Detroit Pistons +425 to win the Eastern Conference The Celtics are the odds on favorites to win the East and we won’t argue that as they’ve been really, really good this season and even a 70% Jayson Taytum is better than most players in the NBA.… Read more: NBA Eastern Conference Champs – Pistons +425
NBA Champions based on Efficiency stats! By – ASA So, you’re thinking about a future wager on the NBA Championship and you’re not sure who to take? We can help you with some proven statistics that may accurately predict who this year’s Champion may be and rule out the most obvious media darling pretenders. The… Read more: NBA Champions Predictions – Proven Efficiency Stats
NBA betting forecast – By ASAwins.com With the NBA season drawing to a close we hear many sports outlets talking about postseason awards and who specifically is going to be MVP. Let me be upfront with this, I am not a Nikola Jokic super-fan, I’m a basketball guy. In my opinion, the NBA in the… Read more: NBA results without Jokic, SGA and Wemby on a roster
Why Nikola Jokić at +6000 for NBA MVP Is the Sharpest Bet on the Board As the 2025-26 regular season winds down, the MVP race has a clear favorite in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and serious buzz around Victor Wembanyama. But Nikola Jokić sits at +6000 on most sportsbooks—third in the odds but treated like an afterthought… Read more: NBA MVP odds | Longshot Nikola Jokic – Denver Nuggets
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Jordan Pope (ankle) has been deemed a "true game-time decision," but it looks like he's going to give it a go for Texas and try to at least gut it out.
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