ASA NBA free bet on Indiana Pacers +8.5 vs. LA Clippers, 7:10pm ET
Our model likes the value with the Indiana Pacers here at home tonight against the visiting LA Clippers. These two teams met in early March in Los Angeles which had the Clippers an -11.5-point favorite on their home court. The natural swing in spreads/venues should have the Clippers a much smaller favorite here. Not only that, but the Lakers just played the Pacers on this floor and were favored by the exact same spread and they are in the midst of a blistering 13-2 streak and currently sit 3rd in the Western Conference. Indiana is 1-3 SU in their last four games, but they have covered all four ATS, a clear indication they are being undervalued by the oddsmakers. The Clippers can’t be trusted as a road favorite this season with a 5-9 ATS record and an average margin of victory in those games of just +0.2ppg. We don’t trust this Los Angeles team on the road in general with a 16-21 SU record and an average plus/minus of -2.3ppg. Despite their struggles and tanking the Pacers are 20-16 ATS at home on the season with an average loss margin of -5.4ppg which is well within the margin of tonight’s point spread. Grab the points here with the Pacers.
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