ASAwins CFL free pick: OVER 52.5 Total Points – Ottawa Redblacks vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 8:30pm ET
Ottawa averages 25.0 points per game, ranking 7th in the CFL, with a balanced attack averaging 264.1 passing yards (6th) and 96.6 rushing yards (6th) per game, totaling 340.7 yards per outing.
In their most recent game, a win over Toronto, QB Dru Brown threw for 373 yards and 5 touchdowns in leading the RR’s to 46 points. Winnipeg averages 27.1 points per game, ranking 4th in the league, with 236.0 passing yards (8th) and 118.9 rushing yards (1st) per game, totaling 351.9 yards per contest.
In their latest loss to Calgary (28-27), QB Zach Collaros threw for 214 yards and 1 touchdown, while Brady Oliveira rushed for 68 yards and led the way receiving with 100 yards. Ottawa’s defense allows 28.4 points per game (7th most), conceding 281.2 passing yards (5th) and 87.2 rushing yards per game, with a total of 362.4 yards allowed per outing (6th).
Winnipeg Blue Bombers Defense: Winnipeg allows 28.1 points per game (4th), with 280.0 passing yards (7th) and 88.2 rushing yards per game conceded, totaling 364.28 yards per outing.
A potential combined play count of 130-140 suggests frequent possessions, increasing the likelihood of points, especially in a game where neither defense has shown elite stopping power. This game gets to 56 plus total points.
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MLB Free Bet – ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 Runs – Arizona at Kansas City, Wednesday at 7:40 PM ET. For this matchup, we’ll be focusing on the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals over 8.5 runs as a strong play. Additionally, the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals over 8.5 runs is getting plenty… Read more: MLB Free Bet: Over 8.5 Runs Arizona vs Kansas City Tonight
ASA COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PLAY ON Mississippi State -28.5 over UL Monroe, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET ULM is one of the worst programs in CFB with just 7 wins over FBS opponents in their last 3 seasons. They are just 37-81 SU over the last decade. Their spread record during that time is 48-68-2… Read more: College Football Free Play | September 5 2026
MLB Free play Milwaukee Brewers Run Line -160 over Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 6:10 PM ET The Brewers are off a loss and have won 5 of 7 when coming off a loss. They lost a tight one against the Cubs yesterday but now will take advantage of facing the Reds today. In matchups like today’s… Read more: MLB Free play Brewers vs Reds | Sept 4, 2026
Eastern Michigan (-9.5) over Sacramento St, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET Today’s college football free pick for Saturday, August 29th. Sacramento State makes the jump from FCS to FBS this season. It starts with a long road trip to Michigan. Speaking of long road trips. Sac St is now in the MAC. Therefore, long road… Read more: College Football Free Pick: Eastern Michigan vs Sacramento State
Current SEC Championship Odds (+380): Alabama’s +380 odds to win the SEC
We like Alabama’s to rebound from a (down) 9-4 season in 2024, bolstered by a strong recruiting class, roster retention, and a favorable schedule. The implied probability of +380 odds is approximately 20.83%, suggesting a significant chance to compete for the SEC title.
Returning Starters and Roster Continuity: Alabama returns 15 starters for the 2025 season, with seven on offense and eight on defense, providing a solid foundation of experience. The team retains 64% of its 2024 production (59% offense, 69% defense), which is above average for Power Four programs.
Key returning players include:
Offense: Wide receiver Ryan Williams, a freshman All-American in 2024, is a dynamic playmaker expected to lead the receiving corps, ranked No. 3 nationally by CBS Sports. Offensive linemen Kadyn Proctor, Parker Brailsford, and Jaeden Roberts return, forming a robust unit that allowed just 15 sacks in 2024, one of the best marks in the SEC. Running back Jam Miller is also back to anchor the ground game.
Defense: The defense, which ranked 10th nationally in points allowed per game in 2024, returns key contributors like lineman Tim Keenan III, linebacker Deontae Lawson, and defensive backs Domani Jackson, Zabien Brown, Bray Hubbard, and Keon Sabb. We rank Alabama’s secondary as the second-best in the nation, a necessity against SEC passing attacks.
Transfer Additions to Improve the Roster: Alabama addressed roster gaps through the transfer portal, particularly on offense, to complement their No. 3-ranked 2025 recruiting class. Notable transfers include:
Isaiah Horton (WR, Miami): Adds depth and experience to the receiving corps, enhancing the passing game alongside Ryan Williams.
Dre Washington (RB, Texas A&M): Bolsters the running back room, providing versatility and depth behind Jam Miller.
Kam Dewberry (OL, Texas A&M): A potential starter at left guard, Dewberry brings SEC experience and strengthens the offensive line, despite a minor weight loss of 13 pounds since spring (still up two pounds from his Texas A&M days)
These transfers, combined with the retention of all scholarship players during the spring transfer portal window (a feat unmatched by any other SEC team), indicate strong roster stability and depth.
Quarterback Situation: The quarterback position, a critical question mark after Jalen Milroe’s departure to the NFL, is expected to be led by Ty Simpson, a former five-star recruit with 16 games of experience (no starts) and 167 passing yards in 2024. Simpson is competing with transfer Austin Mack (from Washington, familiar with DeBoer’s system) and five-star freshman Keelon Russell, the No. 2 overall prospect in the 2025 class. Analysts suggest Simpson’s seniority gives him the edge, but Russell’s potential could see him earn reps if Alabama builds big leads. The reunion of DeBoer with offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb, who previously worked with him at Washington, should optimize the offense for a new quarterback and overall offensive cohesiveness.
Schedule and Win Total Projections: Alabama’s 2025 schedule is challenging but manageable, with a win total set at 9.5 (over -125, under +105). Key games include a season-opening road trip to Florida State, a critical Week 5 clash at Georgia, and home games against Tennessee, LSU, and Oklahoma. Road games at Missouri, South Carolina, and Auburn are winnable, with Alabama losing only one home game at Saban Field since 2022.A win against Georgia on September 27 could be a defining moment, potentially propelling Alabama to the SEC Championship.
Kalen DeBoer’s Preparation in Year Two: Kalen DeBoer, entering his second season at Alabama, is better positioned to succeed after navigating the challenges of replacing Nick Saban in 2024. His debut season resulted in a 9-4 record, including wins over Georgia (41-34), LSU (42-13), and Missouri (34-0), but losses to Vanderbilt, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Michigan in the ReliaQuest Bowl.
DeBoer’s experience at Washington (25-3 over two seasons, including a 2023 CFP National Championship Game appearance) and his 113-16 career head coaching record demonstrate his ability to build winning programs. With a year in Tuscaloosa, DeBoer has adapted to Alabama’s high expectations, bolstered by an 82.2% increase in recruiting spending (nearly $5.3 million in 2024) and a top-tier NIL infrastructure, which helped secure the No. 3 recruiting class and retain all scholarship players.
His reunion with offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb, whose system led Washington to rank first nationally in passing (369.8 ypg) in 2022, should enhance offensive consistency.
Statistical Support:
+1.5 yard per play differential
7-0 at home with an average margin of victory of +27.3PPG
Opponents Red Zone score % 78.3% (28th)
Opponents 3rd Down conversion % 33.33% (15th)
18.3PPG allowed (9th)
Conclusion: Alabama’s +380 odds to win the SEC are supported by a robust returning core (15 starters, 64% production), strategic transfer additions (Horton, Washington, Dewberry), and a top-three recruiting class. The defense, with a top-tier secondary and returning stars like Lawson and Keenan, should remain elite, while the offense is poised for improvement under DeBoer and Grubb, even with uncertainty at quarterback. DeBoer’s year of experience at Alabama, combined with his proven track record and increased recruiting resources, positions this team to get to the SEC Championship game.
OHIO STATE vs TEXAS PREVIEW – September 12th 2026 No. 1 Ohio State visits No. 4 Texas on Saturday, Sept. 12, at 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC) at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. Both teams opened with blowouts—Ohio State 56-3 over Ball State and Texas 59-7 over Texas State—and ASA power rankings list the… Read more: Ohio State vs Texas Preview | Sept 12 2026
NFL WIN TOTAL BETS 2026-27 – By Marty – Point Train Consultants Washington under 7.5 wins and Pittsburgh over 8.5 wins is a futures pairing with a simple story: one team spent 2025 proving the 2024 magic was rented, the other spent 2025 quietly cashing the same 10-win ticket it always cashes. Speaking of these… Read more: NFL Win Total Bets | Commanders & Steelers
49ers Player Prop Bet | CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY ANYTIME TD SCORE – YES – -$148 Our model has a prediction percentage on this of 71%. We are not as high on that number as our computer, but we do feel McCaffrey has a solid shot to score in this game. He’s had a tough time running… Read more: 49ers Player Prop Bet vs Rams | Week 1
Rams vs. 49ers Week 1 betting preview (Thursday, Sept. 10, 2026, 8:35 p.m. ET at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Australia). Neutral-site international opener on Netflix. Opening vs. current numbers Opening consensus (mid-summer books): Rams -2.5, total 49.5. Current consensus (as of Thursday): Rams -3.5, total 48.5. Moneylines generally sit around Rams -190 to -210 / 49ers… Read more: Ram vs 49ers Week 1 betting Preview
NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview: Opening vs. Current Spreads and Expanded Game Analysis (Sept. 9-14) The 2026 NFL season opens Wednesday with a Super Bowl LX rematch and the league’s first regular-season game in Australia. Sixteen games span four days. Opening lines posted in May have moved on several key numbers. Current spreads reflect… Read more: NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview
ASAwins WNBA free play on LA Sparks +4.5 vs. Seattle Storm, 8pm ET
These two teams recently met in Seattle with the Sparks winning a thrilling OT game 108-106. The interesting part was that the Storm were favored by the same number in their own building and now priced the same in this game.
Granted, the Sparks are coming off a game last night but still that’s an over-adjustment by the oddsmakers, giving us value on L.A.
Los Angeles has won 8 of their last ten games with the 4th best Net rating in the league at +4.8. Seattle continues to underachieve this season and currently stand 16-15 SU on the season.
The Storm have lost 4-straight games as their defense has slipped to 8th in Defensive Net rating over that course of games. Off a very poor showing last night we expect the Sparks to bounce back today and keep this close.
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MLB Free Bet – ASA PLAY ON Over 8.5 Runs – Arizona at Kansas City, Wednesday at 7:40 PM ET. For this matchup, we’ll be focusing on the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals over 8.5 runs as a strong play. Additionally, the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals over 8.5 runs is getting plenty… Read more: MLB Free Bet: Over 8.5 Runs Arizona vs Kansas City Tonight
ASA COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PLAY ON Mississippi State -28.5 over UL Monroe, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET ULM is one of the worst programs in CFB with just 7 wins over FBS opponents in their last 3 seasons. They are just 37-81 SU over the last decade. Their spread record during that time is 48-68-2… Read more: College Football Free Play | September 5 2026
MLB Free play Milwaukee Brewers Run Line -160 over Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 6:10 PM ET The Brewers are off a loss and have won 5 of 7 when coming off a loss. They lost a tight one against the Cubs yesterday but now will take advantage of facing the Reds today. In matchups like today’s… Read more: MLB Free play Brewers vs Reds | Sept 4, 2026
Eastern Michigan (-9.5) over Sacramento St, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET Today’s college football free pick for Saturday, August 29th. Sacramento State makes the jump from FCS to FBS this season. It starts with a long road trip to Michigan. Speaking of long road trips. Sac St is now in the MAC. Therefore, long road… Read more: College Football Free Pick: Eastern Michigan vs Sacramento State
ASAwins WNBA free bet on Dallas Wings +8.5 vs. NY Liberty, 7:30pm ET
We have a slight lean to the Wings on this game but will check the starting lineups before tipoff to make sure Wings PG Paige Bueckers is in the lineup. Bueckers was taken to the locker room in the last game against this same Liberty team on Tuesday night but reports are that she will play tonight. New York has had their ups and downs in recent weeks and are 2-4 SU in their last six games. They are not in a great scheduling situation here as they just beat this Wings team by 11 points (as -11.5-point favorite) and have a massive game looming against the Lynx. It’s logical they would overlook this Dallas team in anticipation of that showdown on Sunday. New York is 2-10-1 ATS their last 13 on the road. Dallas is capable of beating this team on their home court as they did in late July 92-82 as an 8-point dog. Dallas as a home dog of +7.5 or more points has covered 4 of their last five in that role. Tread lightly with a play on the Wings.
OHIO STATE vs TEXAS PREVIEW – September 12th 2026 No. 1 Ohio State visits No. 4 Texas on Saturday, Sept. 12, at 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC) at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. Both teams opened with blowouts—Ohio State 56-3 over Ball State and Texas 59-7 over Texas State—and ASA power rankings list the… Read more: Ohio State vs Texas Preview | Sept 12 2026
NFL WIN TOTAL BETS 2026-27 – By Marty – Point Train Consultants Washington under 7.5 wins and Pittsburgh over 8.5 wins is a futures pairing with a simple story: one team spent 2025 proving the 2024 magic was rented, the other spent 2025 quietly cashing the same 10-win ticket it always cashes. Speaking of these… Read more: NFL Win Total Bets | Commanders & Steelers
49ers Player Prop Bet | CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY ANYTIME TD SCORE – YES – -$148 Our model has a prediction percentage on this of 71%. We are not as high on that number as our computer, but we do feel McCaffrey has a solid shot to score in this game. He’s had a tough time running… Read more: 49ers Player Prop Bet vs Rams | Week 1
Rams vs. 49ers Week 1 betting preview (Thursday, Sept. 10, 2026, 8:35 p.m. ET at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Australia). Neutral-site international opener on Netflix. Opening vs. current numbers Opening consensus (mid-summer books): Rams -2.5, total 49.5. Current consensus (as of Thursday): Rams -3.5, total 48.5. Moneylines generally sit around Rams -190 to -210 / 49ers… Read more: Ram vs 49ers Week 1 betting Preview
NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview: Opening vs. Current Spreads and Expanded Game Analysis (Sept. 9-14) The 2026 NFL season opens Wednesday with a Super Bowl LX rematch and the league’s first regular-season game in Australia. Sixteen games span four days. Opening lines posted in May have moved on several key numbers. Current spreads reflect… Read more: NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview
ASAwins – Penn State +240 to Win the Big Ten: 2025 Sports Betting Preview
Penn State enters the 2025 college football season as a legitimate contender for the Big Ten title, with odds of +240 and a chance to more than double our investment. The Lions have a strong roster, favorable schedule, and elite coaching staff. With one of the deepest teams in the nation, a proven track record under head coach James Franklin, and key additions to the coaching staff, the Nittany Lions are well-positioned to make a run at the conference crown and a spot in the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff (CFP).
Why Bet on Penn State at +240?
1. Elite Roster Depth and Returning Talent – Penn State boasts one of the most talented and experienced rosters in college football for 2025. The Nittany Lions return key players at nearly every position, including quarterback Drew Allar, running backs Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen, and a stout offensive line with four returning starters. Defensively, they return starters at all three levels, including star defensive end Dani Dennis-Sutton and cornerback A.J. Harris.
Running Back Duo: Singleton and Allen form the nation’s premier backfield, both surpassing 1,000 rushing yards in 2024 (Singleton: 1,099 yards, 12 TDs; Allen: 1,108 yards, 8 TDs). ESPN ranks them as the No. 2 and No. 3 running backs in college football for 2025, respectively. Their complementary styles—Singleton’s explosive speed and Allen’s physical, chain-moving power—make them a nightmare for opposing defenses. Both are also effective in the passing game, with Singleton recording 375 receiving yards and 5 TDs in 2024.
Offensive Line: Penn State returns four of five starters on the offensive line, including tackles Drew Shelton and Anthony Donkoh, guard Vega Ioane, and center Nick Dawkins. This unit allowed just 8 sacks and 14 tackles for loss in 2024 while paving the way for 3,237 rushing yards. Their experience and cohesion should provide ample protection for Allar and open lanes for Singleton and Allen.
Quarterback Stability: Drew Allar, a former five-star recruit, returns for his senior season after showing improvement in 2024 under offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki. Allar’s health and decision-making will be critical, but with a strong supporting cast, he’s poised for a breakout year.
Transfer Portal Additions: Penn State addressed its wide receiver struggles by adding Devonte Ross, Kyron Hudson, and Trebor Peña via the transfer portal. These additions provide Allar with reliable targets, potentially elevating the passing game.
2. Proven Track Record Under James Franklin – Franklin’s tenure at Penn State has been marked by consistent success, with a 101-42 record (.706 winning percentage) and seven top-12 CFP rankings in the last nine seasons. Since 2016, Penn State is 82-12 straight-up (SU) as a favorite, with an average margin of victory of +21 points per game (PPG). This is a critical stat, as the Nittany Lions are projected to be favored in every game except their road matchup against Ohio State.
Recent Success: In 2024, Penn State reached the Big Ten Championship Game and secured two CFP victories, finishing with a 12-2 record.
However, Franklin’s 1-15 SU record against Top 5 teams is a concern. The Ohio State game looms large, but the Buckeye’s face a tougher schedule and will likely have to win in Michigan in their final game of the season.
3. Favorable 2025 Schedule – Penn State’s path to the Big Ten title is manageable, with only one projected underdog game (at Ohio State). Key games include:
Home vs. Oregon: A marquee matchup that could decide the Big Ten pecking order. Playing at Beaver Stadium, where Penn State is 45-5 SU since 2016, gives them a significant edge. The Lions also get Nebraska at home who is the only other preseason Top 25 team on their schedule.
The Lions avoid Michigan and USC which are two major obstacles avoided on their way to a Big Ten Championship.
4. Elite Coaching Staff – Penn State’s coaching staff is among the best in college football, with offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki and new defensive coordinator Jim Knowles leading the charge.
Andy Kotelnicki (Offense): In his second year at Penn State, Kotelnicki has transformed the offense into a dynamic unit. In 2024, Penn State ranked first in the Big Ten in rushing yards per game (over 200 YPG), thanks to Kotelnicki’s creative play-calling and utilization of Singleton and Allen. His Kansas offense in 2023 averaged 206 rushing yards per game and 5.4 yards per carry, and with a more talented roster in 2025, expect similar production. Kotelnicki’s ability to incorporate tight ends and running backs into the passing game could offset the loss of star tight end Tyler Warren.
Jim Knowles (Defense): Knowles, hired from Ohio State, brings a proven track record of elite defensive performance. In 2024, his Ohio State defense led the nation, allowing just 264 yards per game (YPG) and 12.9 PPG. Knowles’ aggressive, blitz-heavy scheme should mesh well with Penn State’s talented front seven, led by Dennis-Sutton (4.5 sacks in 2024 CFP games) and emerging linebacker Tony Rojas (58 tackles, 3 INTs in 2024). Knowles’ defenses have ranked first in the nation for four consecutive years, and Penn State’s 2024 defense already ranked No. 17 in rushing defense.
5. Did we forget to mention the defense? – Penn State returns 70% of its defensive production from 2024, including key contributors like safety Jaylen Reed (98 tackles, 3 INTs) and defensive tackle Zane Durant (42 tackles, 11 TFL). The addition of transfers like Michigan’s Owen Wafle and Texas A&M’s Enai White bolsters the defensive line.
6. Betting Value at +240 – At +240, Penn State offers strong value compared to favorites like Ohio State (-110) and Oregon (+200). The Nittany Lions’ depth, coaching, and schedule give them a realistic path to 11 or 12 wins, which could be enough to win the Big Ten, especially if they upset Ohio State on the road. The +240 odds imply a 28.6% chance of winning the Big Ten, but Penn State’s metrics suggest their true probability is closer to 33-35%, making this a value bet.
Key Stats Recap
Franklin’s Record: 101-42 at Penn State, 125-57 overall.
As Favorite: 82-12 SU since 2016, +21 PPG average margin.
Running Backs: Singleton (1,099 yards, 12 TDs) and Allen (1,108 yards, 8 TDs) in 2024.
Offensive Line: 4 returning starters, allowed 8 sacks in 2024.
OHIO STATE vs TEXAS PREVIEW – September 12th 2026 No. 1 Ohio State visits No. 4 Texas on Saturday, Sept. 12, at 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC) at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. Both teams opened with blowouts—Ohio State 56-3 over Ball State and Texas 59-7 over Texas State—and ASA power rankings list the… Read more: Ohio State vs Texas Preview | Sept 12 2026
NFL WIN TOTAL BETS 2026-27 – By Marty – Point Train Consultants Washington under 7.5 wins and Pittsburgh over 8.5 wins is a futures pairing with a simple story: one team spent 2025 proving the 2024 magic was rented, the other spent 2025 quietly cashing the same 10-win ticket it always cashes. Speaking of these… Read more: NFL Win Total Bets | Commanders & Steelers
49ers Player Prop Bet | CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY ANYTIME TD SCORE – YES – -$148 Our model has a prediction percentage on this of 71%. We are not as high on that number as our computer, but we do feel McCaffrey has a solid shot to score in this game. He’s had a tough time running… Read more: 49ers Player Prop Bet vs Rams | Week 1
Rams vs. 49ers Week 1 betting preview (Thursday, Sept. 10, 2026, 8:35 p.m. ET at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Australia). Neutral-site international opener on Netflix. Opening vs. current numbers Opening consensus (mid-summer books): Rams -2.5, total 49.5. Current consensus (as of Thursday): Rams -3.5, total 48.5. Moneylines generally sit around Rams -190 to -210 / 49ers… Read more: Ram vs 49ers Week 1 betting Preview
NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview: Opening vs. Current Spreads and Expanded Game Analysis (Sept. 9-14) The 2026 NFL season opens Wednesday with a Super Bowl LX rematch and the league’s first regular-season game in Australia. Sixteen games span four days. Opening lines posted in May have moved on several key numbers. Current spreads reflect… Read more: NFL Week 1 2026 Betting Preview
A win for the #Brewers tonight locks them into the playoffs. I guess they're ready for a celebration cause they are beating the #Reds 13-0 with 17 hits and the game is still in the 5th inning. #MLBTonight
No. 1 Ohio State at No. 4 Texas. Saturday. DKR. 7:30 ET on ABC. Opening line: Texas -2.5. Now: Texas -1.5, total 49.5. Buckeyes haven’t been a dog in 3 years. They’re 20-9 ATS as underdogs since 2004. Texas is 5-8-1 ATS as a 1-to-3 point home favorite since 1980. Two meetings in
