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NFL Player Props for Oct 9th

NFL Player Props for Week 5 in the NFL – ASA

Kenny Pickett Over 18.5 Rush Yards (-115)

Last week Pickett rushed for 15 yards on 6 carries, also punching in 2 rushing touchdowns. Additionally, the rookie from Pitt threw 3 Ints on his 13 pass attempts. With a full week of first team reps, Pickett will lead the Steelers into Buffalo for a baptism by fire. Mike Tomlin will pull out all the stops to get his team off a 3 game losing streak, including utilizing his QBs running ability to limit turnovers. Pickett will need to scramble regularly in a game that the Steelers should be playing from behind. 

Cooper Kupp Over 8.5 Recs (-105)

Kupp is arguably the best WR in football currently, averaging 10.5 receptions per game so far this year. Sean McVay schemes Kupp open and Matthew Stafford rarely looks to go elsewhere with the ball. Dallas has been stingy against the pass, ranking 6th in pass yards per game in 2022. However, Kupp should continue to see massive volume in the short and intermediate route concepts that will allow the Rams to get the ball out quick. 

DJ Moore Under 50.5 Rec Yards (-115)

The Panthers offense has been abysmal this year, ranking dead last in yards per game. Everyone thought Baker Mayfield would be an upgrade over Sam Darnold, but we’ve seen much of the same. DJ Moore is averaging 34.5 yards per game, and is fresh off an uninspiring 6 for 50 against the Cardinals depleted secondary. San Francisco’s defense ranks first in both sacks and points allowed, making for a long afternoon for Carolina’s offense.   

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NFL Player Props Thursday NFL Steelers vs. Browns

NFL player prop bets for Thursday, Sept 22nd 2022

KAREEM HUNT – OVER 16.5 RECEIVING YARDS – Hunt had 16 receiving yards last week against the Jets and 24 the week before versus Carolina. Dating back to last season he has averaged 23-receiving yards per game. Hunt has been targeted 6 times in two games and should see his fair share of looks in this game. Pittsburgh was 14th in the NFL a year ago in receiving yards allowed to running backs at an average of 38.2 per game. With the high winds in Cleveland tonight expect plenty of check-downs to the backs.

NICK CHUBB – OVER 6.5 RECEIVING YARDS – Pittsburgh was 14th in the NFL a year ago in receiving yards allowed to running backs at an average of 38.2 per game. With the high winds in Cleveland tonight expect plenty of check-downs to the backs. Chubb literally needs just one ball thrown his way to eclipse this number. Last week he had 26-receiving yards on 3-receptions with 3 targets. Last season Chubb averaged 1.7 receptions per game and 12.4-receiving yards per contest.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS – UNDER 16.5 POINTS – The Steelers are averaging 18.5PPG which is 22nd in the NFL. That average is misleading though as they have just 1 offensive TD on the season. Pittsburgh is 30th in both yards per game gained and Yards Per Play at 4.3. The Steelers have just 2 Red Zone attempts this season and have benefitted with great field position with turnovers forced by their defense (6 in two games). The Steelers current estimated points per game is 14.5, one of the lowest numbers in the NFL. The windy conditions certainly won’t help in this one. Bet Under.

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NFL Player Prop bets from ASA on Sept 18th

Las Vegas Raiders – Darren Waller Over 51.5 Rec Yards (-110)

The Cardinals were torched in week 1 by Patrick Mahomes for 360 yards, and Las Vegas now gets a crack at that same Arizona defense. Last week, Waller had 4 recs for 79 yards. The Raiders stud TE will be able to find plenty of holes in the Cardinals secondary in week 2. Derek Carr force fed Davante Adams last week and should be spreading the ball around a bit more moving forward. In the highest o/u of the weekend (51.5), Waller will have ample opportunity to eclipse his rec yards total. 

Cleveland Browns – Nick Chubb Over 16.5 Rush Att (-110)

Chubb had 22 rushing attempts last week in a close win against the Panthers. The Browns are 6.5 point favorites as the Jets come to town in what should be a relatively easy win for Cleveland. A run heavy game script would seem to be in play for this one, with plenty of “chew clock” rushing attempts for the Browns RBs. New York held the Baltimore rushing attack in check last week, so look for a less efficient week from Chubb with still lots of carries. 

New England Patriots – Rhamondre Stevenson Over 11.5 Rec Yards (-110)

Ty Montgomery was placed on IR this week, leaving the passing down work to be spread amongst the Patriots remaining RBs. Stevenson gained praise from the coaching staff earlier this offseason about his improved hands, but he only handled two targets in week 1. New England’s offense has to improve, and getting the ball out quickly has always been a staple for the Pats. Stevenson should see at least 3-5 targets and look to capitalize on Mac Jones’ checkdowns. 

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NFL Player Props Chargers vs. Chiefs – Sept 15th

ASA NFL PLAYER PROPS THURSDAY NIGHT – LA Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs

Below you will find our NFL predictions for Thursday Sept 14th 2022

OVER 15.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-110) – Chiefs Edwards-Helaire – There was talk in Chiefs camp this summer about throwing more to Edwards Helaire out of the backfield as a checkdown option for Mahomes. In the opener Helaire was targeted 3 times with 3 receptions for 32 yards. Last year against the Chargers in two games he totaled 4 receptions for 27 yards but his longest was 12 yards. On the season he had 129 total yards in 10 games or 12.9 receiving yards per game. You can see our logic for yourself, it may take just 1 reception for him to get Over this number. With the added pressure of the Chargers defensive line Mahomes may be forced to throw quicker underneath making this a solid NFL player props wager.

UNDER 284.5 PASSING YARDS – LA Chargers Herbert – These two teams attempted 39.9 passes per game last season which was 2nd to Tampa Bay. KC averaged 288.5 passing yards per game, the Chargers were right behind them at 282.4PYPG. In the two meetings between these two teams last year, Herbert had 74 total attempts for 517 total yards or 258.5 passing yards per game. The Chargers will look to establish the running game here as they did in week 1 against the Raiders with 31 rush attempts which was 10th most in the openers. The Chargers and Herbert are also without their top WR in Keenan Allen in this one which will also limit the passing attack. We like this NFL player props UNDER!

RUSHING ATTEMPTS OVER 12.5 (-108) – Chargers Austin Ekeler – In an effort to keep the Chiefs potent offense off the field the Chargers game plan early on will be a heavy dose of the running game and Austin Ekeler. LAC rushed 31 times last week against the Raiders which was 10th most in the league, Ekeler had 14 of those. Last season Ekeler averaged 12.8 attempts per game in the regular season. In the two games with KC last year, he had 12 carries when he was splitting time with Justin Jackson, and 11 in the other meeting. The key to this NFL prediction winning is a close game throughout so the Chargers don’t abandon the running game.

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ASA NFL player props for Sunday, Sept 11th

Here are 3 NFL player prop bets or NFL predictions for opening weekend

Tony Pollard Over 17.5 Rec Yards (-115) 

TB @ DAL

There have been talks of the Cowboys using Pollard as a slot receiver for the 2022 season, and the departure of Amari Cooper opens up lots of targets in Dallas. Michael Gallup is still working his way back from an ACL tear and his availability is in serious question this week. Unproven rookie WR Jalen Tolbert would be the WR2, leaving Dak Prescott in need of some playmakers in a potential shootout with a total o/u of 50.5. Pollard should be heavily involved in all aspects this week, seeing plenty of opportunities out of the backfrield and the slot. 

Justin Jefferson Under 82.5 Rec Yards (-115)

GB @ MIN

A massive season is expected from Jefferson, but he draws a steep challenge in week 1 facing one of the best secondaries in the league. Jaire Alexander will likely shadow the 3rd year WR with Eric Stokes and Rasul Douglas also taking a crack at him. In four games against Green Bay, Jefferson has averaged 70 yards per game, and that is including his explosion of 169 yards in week 10 of last year. Expect the Packers to force the ball elsewhere and make it a priority to limit his targets. 

Mitch Trubisky Over 1.5 Pass TDs (+140)

PIT @ CIN

Many experts around the league feel the Steelers offense will be sluggish in 2022, yet Trubisky has plenty of weapons at his disposal to keep up with Cincy’s high powered offense this week. Johnson, Claypool, Pickens, and Freiermuth will be valuable options for Trubisky as Pittsburg potentially plays from behind against the Super Bowl runner-ups.The Steelers O-line was horrid last year and comes into 2022 ranked 30th according to PFF, which will force them to throw the ball a ton once again. With plus odds, Trubisky is a value play to throw 2 TDs as one of our NFL predictions.