Author: Lee Kostroski

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Masters Betting Preview | 2025 | April 10th

MASTERSPREVIEW2025

2025 Masters Betting Preview by ASA

The 2025 Masters Tournament, set to tee off on Thursday, April 10 at Augusta National Golf Club, promises to deliver another thrilling chapter in golf’s most prestigious event. With a star-studded field, a $20 million purse, and the coveted green jacket on the line, bettors have plenty of options to consider. From dominant favorites to intriguing longshots, here’s a comprehensive betting preview, including current odds for the top 10 players and a few longshot predictions.

Current Odds for the Top 10 Players

As of April 9, 2025, the betting odds reflect a mix of recent form, Augusta history, and star power. Here are the top 10 favorites according to the latest odds (sourced from various sportsbooks like FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM):

  1. Scottie Scheffler (+400)
    The world No. 1 and defending champion is the clear favorite. Scheffler’s two Masters wins (2022, 2024) and his relentless consistency this season make him a formidable force. However, his putting struggles (79th in one-putt percentage, 86th in strokes gained: putting) could open the door for others if he falters on Augusta’s slick greens.
  2. Rory McIlroy (+650)
    McIlroy’s quest for the career Grand Slam continues, bolstered by wins at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Players Championship in 2025. Despite his strong form, his Augusta record remains inconsistent, with two missed cuts in the last four years and a T22 in 2024, making his short odds a risky proposition.
  3. Jon Rahm (+1400)
    The 2023 Masters champion has been solid on the LIV Golf circuit, but his move away from the PGA Tour introduces some uncertainty about his preparation. At 14-1, he’s a value play for those who trust his major pedigree and Augusta affinity.
  4. Ludvig Åberg (+1600)
    The young Swede, now a proven winner on both the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, showed his mettle with a runner-up finish at the 2024 Masters. His length off the tee and precision make him a trendy pick at 16-1.
  5. Collin Morikawa (+1600)
    Morikawa’s odds have tightened thanks to his elite ball-striking and a strong 2025 season. His T3 finish at the 2024 Masters suggests he’s figuring out Augusta, making him a compelling option at this price.
  6. Xander Schauffele (+1800)
    Schauffele’s consistency in majors (he’s rarely outside the top 20) and his length off the tee suit Augusta well. He’s yet to break through for a green jacket, but 18-1 feels like fair value for a player of his caliber.
  7. Bryson DeChambeau (+2000)
    The LIV Golf star’s T6 finish in 2024 proved he can tame Augusta despite his unconventional approach. At 20-1, he’s a polarizing but intriguing bet, especially if his short game holds up.
  8. Justin Thomas (+2200)
    Thomas brings major championship experience (two PGA titles) and a solid Masters track record (three top-12 finishes in his last six starts). His early 2025 form, including runner-up finishes at The American Express and Valspar Championship, supports his 22-1 odds.
  9. Joaquin Niemann (+2800)
    The LIV Golf standout has been a betting liability for sportsbooks (per X posts), with his length and approach play tailor-made for Augusta. At 28-1, he’s a dark horse with upside.
  10. Hideki Matsuyama (+2800)
    The 2021 Masters winner remains a steady contender at Augusta, with his precise iron play and short game. His 28-1 odds reflect a solid but unspectacular 2025, though his history here keeps him in the conversation.

Who are a few Longshots to consider?

Case for Tommy Fleetwood at +4000

Tommy Fleetwood at +4000 is a bet worth serious consideration, supported by his Augusta track record, recent form, and expert endorsements. Here’s why he’s a smart play:

  • Masters History: Fleetwood is entering his ninth Masters appearance with an impressive resume. He’s made the cut in seven of eight starts, including four top-20 finishes. His standout performance came last year with a T3 finish—his best at Augusta—proving he can contend on Sunday. Over the last eight years, he’s also notched seven top-5 finishes in majors, showcasing his big-stage pedigree.
  • Skill Set: Fleetwood’s game aligns beautifully with Augusta’s demands. His elite iron play (above-average strokes gained: approach) and accuracy off the tee give him an edge on a course that punishes wayward shots. While his putting can be inconsistent, his T3 in 2024 suggests he’s capable of figuring out Augusta’s tricky greens. His around-the-green play is also above average, a critical factor at a venue where scrambling often separates contenders from pretenders.
  • Recent Form: Though his T62 at the Valero Texas Open last weekend was a stumble (capped by an 81 on Sunday), it’s an outlier. Fleetwood finished 16th or better in five of his first six starts this season, including a T5 at The Players Championship. This consistency indicates he’s in form heading into Masters week, with the Valero result likely a blip rather than a trend.
  • Expert Backing: Renowned coach Butch Harmon recently tipped Fleetwood to win the Masters and emerge as golf’s next global superstar (per a Mirror Sport exclusive on X). Harmon’s endorsement carries weight, given his track record with major champions like Tiger Woods. Posts on X also highlight Fleetwood as a popular longshot, with betting previews noting his +4000 odds as offering value compared to sharper lines (e.g., Pinnacle’s +3627).
  • Betting Value: At 40-1, Fleetwood sits in a sweet spot—long enough to offer a significant return but short enough to reflect his realistic chances. SportsLine’s model, which has nailed 13 majors, pegs him at 35-1 on FanDuel and projects value, while X posts show him as a top-5 liability for some books, suggesting sharp money is on him.

Fleetwood has yet to win a major, but his near-misses (including a runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open) and his upward trajectory at Augusta make him a prime candidate to break through. A $10 bet at +4000 would return $400, and his odds for a top-10 finish (likely around +400 to +500) could be a safer hedge. If he can replicate his 2024 Masters performance and capitalize on a weak Sunday from the favorites, Fleetwood could don the green jacket on April 13.

Another consideration with longer odds: Corey Conners (+6000)

For those seeking a big payout, Corey Conners at +6000 stands out as a viable longshot. The Canadian has a stellar Masters record, with top-10 finishes in three of his last five appearances (T6 in 2022, T10 in 2021, T10 in 2020). His elite ball-striking—consistently ranking among the PGA Tour’s best in strokes gained: approach—suits Augusta’s demanding layout. While his putting can be a liability, Conners has shown he can get hot on these greens, as evidenced by his past performances. His 2025 season has been quietly strong, with multiple top-20 finishes, and at 75-1, he offers tremendous value for a top-10 bet or an outright sprinkle. If he can avoid a cold putter, Conners could shock the golfing world and become one of the longest longshot winners in Masters history.

Final Thoughts

The 2025 Masters is shaping up as a battle between proven champions like Scheffler and McIlroy and a hungry chasing pack. Scheffler’s favoritism is justified, but his putting woes and short odds make him a fade for some bettors. McIlroy’s Grand Slam narrative is compelling, yet his Augusta struggles temper enthusiasm. For value, Thomas (+2200) and Niemann (+2800) stand out among the mid-tier, while Conners (+6000) is the longshot to watch. However, Tommy Fleetwood at +4000 combines form, course fit, and narrative into one of the best bets on the board. Whether you’re chasing a big payout or playing it safe with a top-10 wager, this year’s Masters offers something for every golf betting enthusiast.

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NBA free bet today | Clippers vs Spurs | April 8 2025

ASA play on LA Clippers -12.5 vs. San Antonio Spurs, 10:40pm ET

The Clippers are hot right now, having won 14 of 17, while covering 12 of their last 13 and 6 of their last 7. Los Angeles has also covered 9 of their last twelve at home.

The Spurs’ longshot playoff hopes have ended after losing seven of their last eight games as injuries to Wemby and Fox have derailed San Antonio’s season.

Just how good are the Clippers playing right now you ask? LA has the 2nd best Net rating in the NBA at +15.0 in their last five games with a 4-1 SU record. In their last 10 games they are +15.7 in Net rating with an 8-2 record and an average plus/minus of +15.0ppg.

San Antonio is 3-7 SU in their last ten games with a minus -6.0ppg differential. Five of the Spurs’ last seven losses have come by double-digits.

The Clippers are in a heated race for a better playoff position, and they have 3 HUGE games on deck against other playoff teams which makes this game a high priority. Lay the points.

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NHL Free pick | Flyers vs Canadiens | April 5th 2025

ASA play on Montreal Canadiens -162 vs. Philadelphia Flyers, 7pm ET

The Canadiens are in a must-win situation, desperately needing two points to keep their playoff hopes alive. Meanwhile, the Flyers have already been eliminated from postseason contention, giving them little motivation. Montreal has been strong at home with a 20-12-5 record this season and an impressive 5-1 mark as a home favorite. In contrast, Philadelphia has struggled on the road, posting a 12-17-8 record and a dismal 9-22 mark as the road underdog. The goaltending matchup further favors Montreal. The Flyers will start Samuel Ersson, who has a 3.8 goals-against average (GAA) over his last ten games, with Philly going just 3-7 in his last ten starts. The Canadiens counter with Sam Montembeault, who has been solid lately, going 6-2 in his last eight decisions with a 2.7 GAA. Given Montreal’s desperation, home dominance, and goaltending edge, the Canadiens look like a solid play against a Flyers team with nothing left to fight for.

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NHL Free Pick | Kraken vs Canucks Prediction | April 2 2025

ASA play on Vancouver Canucks -155 vs. Seattle Kraken, 10:30pm ET

The Canucks are in a must-win situation, as they sit in the middle of the crowded Western Conference Wild Card race. They sit 6 points behind the St Louis Blues for the final Wild Card spot and must get 2-points here to have a better shot of qualifying for the playoffs. Vancouver plays six of their final eight games at home.

The Canucks have some injury concerns, but it shouldn’t matter against this Seattle team that has been eliminated from the playoffs and sit 7 games below .500.

The Kraken are 1-5 in their last six games with three of those losses coming by multiple goals, including their last two games by a minus -6 goal differential.

As a dog this season the Kraken boast a 20-33 record, the Canucks are 17-14. Vancouver’s #1 netminder Thatcher Demko is back after missing over a month and has looked good in his last 3 starts going 2-1. In his last ten games Demko has a .912 save percentage and 2.2 goals against.

The Kraken will have Joey Daccord between the pipes which hasn’t been good for Seattle fans. Daccord is 3-7 in his last ten starts with a 3.3 goals against and .881 save percentage. Lay it with Vancouver tonight.

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NBA MVP Predictions | NBA Bets | April 2nd 2025

nba mvp prediction 2025

The 2024-25 NBA MVP Prediction: Nikola Jokić, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Giannis Antetokounmpo Battle for Supremacy

NBA MVP Predictions: As the 2024-25 NBA regular season nears its conclusion, the race for the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award has crystallized into a thrilling showdown among three of the league’s brightest stars: Nikola Jokić of the Denver Nuggets, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander of the Oklahoma City Thunder, and Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Milwaukee Bucks. Each player brings a unique blend of statistical dominance, team success, and individual brilliance to the table, making this one of the most compelling MVP battles in recent memory. Let’s break down their cases by examining their per-game statistics, Player Efficiency Ratings (PER), team records, and win-share rates as of April 2, 2025.

Statistical Breakdown

Nikola Jokić (Denver Nuggets) +900 at Draftkings

  • Points per Game (PPG): 29.7
  • Rebounds per Game (RPG): 12.8
  • Assists per Game (APG): 10.3
  • Steals per Game (SPG): 1.8
  • Blocks per Game (BPG): 0.7
  • Player Efficiency Rating (PER): 32.2

Jokić is delivering what may be the finest season of his already illustrious career. The three-time MVP is on pace to become just the third player in NBA history to average a triple-double for an entire season, joining Oscar Robertson and Russell Westbrook. His efficiency is staggering, with a true shooting percentage hovering around 65.9%, and he’s posting career highs in points, assists, and steals. Jokić’s ability to orchestrate Denver’s offense while dominating the glass and contributing defensively makes him a one-man wrecking crew.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) -2000 at Draftkings

  • Points per Game (PPG): 32.9
  • Rebounds per Game (RPG): 5.1
  • Assists per Game (APG): 6.3
  • Steals per Game (SPG): 1.7
  • Blocks per Game (BPG): 1.0
  • Player Efficiency Rating (PER): 30.9

Gilgeous-Alexander has emerged as the league’s leading scorer, blending relentless efficiency (52.6% field goal, 90.1% free throw) with a newfound penchant for highlight-reel performances, including four 50-point games this season. His all-around game is bolstered by career-best marks in blocks and a defensive tenacity that has him among the league leaders in steals. SGA’s consistency—scoring fewer than 20 points just once all year—underscores his value to the Thunder’s juggernaut season.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks) +50,000 at Draftkings

  • Points per Game (PPG): 30.4
  • Rebounds per Game (RPG): 11.9
  • Assists per Game (APG): 6.0
  • Steals per Game (SPG): 1.2
  • Blocks per Game (BPG): 1.3
  • Player Efficiency Rating (PER): 30

The Greek Freak remains a force of nature, averaging over 30 points on nearly 60% shooting from the field—a feat of efficiency that places him among the league’s most dominant interior scorers. His rebounding and playmaking continue to shine, and his defensive impact (1.3 blocks per game) keeps him in the conversation as a two-way titan. While his numbers don’t quite match the historic flair of Jokić or SGA’s scoring prowess, Giannis’ all-around excellence keeps him firmly in the MVP mix.

Team Records

Denver Nuggets: 47-29 third in the Western Conference)

Oklahoma City Thunder: 63-12 (first in the Western Conference, 14.5 games ahead of second place)

Milwaukee Bucks: 41-34 (sixth in the Eastern Conference)

Team success often plays a pivotal role in MVP voting, and here, Gilgeous-Alexander holds a clear edge. The Thunder’s 63-12 record is a testament to their dominance, with SGA as the driving force behind a 14.5-game lead in the West. Jokić’s Nuggets, while competitive, sit well behind at 47-29, hampered by injuries and a lack of consistent support around their star. Antetokounmpo’s Bucks, at 41-34, are in playoff contention but lack the top-tier record that has historically bolstered MVP candidacies.

Win-Share Rates

Win shares (WS) measure a player’s contribution to their team’s victories, blending offensive and defensive impact. Here’s how the trio stacks up this season:

Nikola Jokić: Approximately 14.5 win shares (estimated league leader)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Approximately 13.8 win shares (estimated second in the league)

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Approximately 11.0 win shares (estimated top five)

Jokić’s win-share rate reflects his unparalleled impact on Denver’s success, carrying a roster that struggles mightily without him. His per-48-minute win shares are among the highest in NBA history, a nod to his efficiency and versatility. Gilgeous-Alexander’s slightly lower total is offset by his role on a vastly superior team, with a win-share-per-48 rate that ranks him in the all-time top 10. Antetokounmpo’s 11.0 win shares are impressive but trail the top two, reflecting Milwaukee’s middling record despite his brilliance.

The MVP Case: A Three-Way Comparison

Nikola Jokić has the statistical edge, with a triple-double average and a PER that could set a new personal best. His case hinges on the “value” argument—Denver’s mediocrity without him underscores his indispensability. However, voter fatigue (three MVPs in the last four years) and the Nuggets’ subpar record could hinder his chances.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander boasts the narrative of a breakout superstar leading the league’s best team. His scoring title, defensive improvement, and OKC’s historic 62-8 pace make him the betting favorite (odds as low as -2000 recently). Critics might argue his supporting cast lessens his individual burden compared to Jokić, but his consistency and team success are hard to ignore.

Giannis Antetokounmpo remains a dark horse, with a stat line that would dominate most seasons. His two-way impact and efficiency are undeniable, but Milwaukee’s inconsistent campaign and his distance from the top two in win shares and team record dim his prospects. Still, a late surge could vault him back into contention.

Conclusion

As of April 2, 2025, the MVP race is a razor-thin contest between Jokić and Gilgeous-Alexander, with Antetokounmpo as a worthy but distant third. Jokić’s historic numbers and singular impact give him a compelling case, but SGA’s scoring crown and the Thunder’s dominance might tip the scales. Giannis, while exceptional, seems destined for a top-five finish rather than the top spot. With two weeks left, every game will matter—but for now, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander holds the slight edge in the betting markets and odds are the voter fatigue with Jokic, despite his historic season, will land SGA this year’s MVP award. If I had a vote it’s the NIkola Jokic all day with his efficiency and win/share stats. Take him off the Nuggets and this team doesn’t make the playoffs.

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