Author: Lee Kostroski

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ACC Win Total Prediction | Duke Blue Devils | 2025

duketotalwins

ASA’s ACC FOOTBALL WIN TOTAL PREDICTION – 2025

Duke Blue Devils OVER 6.5 Wins

The Blue Devils finished last season with a 9-3 regular season record and one of those losses came in OT vs SMU.  While we do not expect them to reach 9 wins again this season, their total is set at 6.5 which is too low in our opinion. 

They lose starting QB Murphy, who is now at Oregon State, however the Devils have added one of the top freshman QB’s in the nation from last season.  Their new signal caller, Mensah, started for Tulane last season who threw for 2,700 yards and 22 TD’s for the Green Wave in 2024. 

He’ll operate behind a very good offensive line with 4 starters back and the 5th spot being filled by an experienced transfer. 

Defensively they should be strong in the trenches as well with some key starters back from a team that finished #2 nationally in tackles for loss and #4 nationally in sacks per game.  Head coach Manny Diaz is one of the better defensive minds around so we expect them to be solid on that side of the ball once again this season. 

Speaking of Diaz, he’s done well with the continuity on his coaching staff returning both their offensive and defensive coordinator. 

Our power ratings have Duke favored in 8 games this season and the only game we have them a dog of more than 4 points is @ Clemson.  The Devils also avoid 2 of the top 4 teams in the ACC as they miss Miami FL and SMU in conference play. 

We’ll call for the Blue Devils to get to at least 7 wins.   

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WNBA free bet | Sparks vs Wings | Aug 15 2025

ASAwins WNBA free bet Friday – OVER 178 LA Sparks at Dallas Wings, 7:30pm ET

One or maybe even both of these teams get into the 100’s tonight as both like to play fast and neither defends. The Wings rank 10th in Defensive Net rating this season, the Sparks are 11th.

L.A. is the 3rd fastest team in the league, the Wings are 5th fastest. The Sparks have the much better overall offense ranking 4th in Net rating whereas the Wings rank 9th.

L.A. has scored or allowed 100+ points in 6 of their last nine games and are coming off a pair of games against significantly better defenses (Liberty, Storm) and they scored 94 and 97 points respectively.

Dallas has allowed 85 or more points in 7 of their last nine games.

At first glance, the Wings offense has struggled to put up points in games but they’ve also faced several of the better defensive teams in the league, and the Sparks are not on that level defensively.

We lean to 183+ points in this game.

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Chargers Prediction | AFC West Champs? | 2025-26

Chargers prediction 2025

ASAwins Chargers Prediction to Win AFC West (+350)

The Los Angeles Chargers are a compelling bet to win the AFC West at +350 odds. Coming off an 11-6 season in 2024, where they ranked 9th overall in DVOA, the Chargers are poised for a leap in Jim Harbaugh’s second year.

Their run-heavy offense, bolstered by Omarion Hampton and Najee Harris, and an elite defense that allowed the fewest points in the NFL last season, position them to challenge the Chiefs for the AFC West title. QB Justin Herbert’s growth, despite the loss of LT Rashawn Slater, should benefit from Harbaugh’s system, which produced a +5.3 point differential per game in 2024 (7th in NFL).

Meanwhile, their main competition, the Kansas City Chiefs, face a grueling early schedule with matchups against Philadelphia, Baltimore, Detroit, Washington, and Buffalo, plus a neutral-site opener against the Chargers in Brazil, costing them a home game.

Chiefs’ stars Chris Jones (10th season) and Travis Kelce (12th season) showed declines in 2024—Jones with 8.5 sacks (down from 10.5 in 2023) and Kelce with 984 receiving yards (lowest since 2015).

The Chargers’ balanced attack and superior defense position them to capitalize on Kansas City’s tough slate and aging core, making them a solid value to dethrone the Chiefs and win the AFC West at +350.

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CFL free pick | Ottawa vs Winnipeg | Aug 14 2025

ASAwins CFL free pick: OVER 52.5 Total Points – Ottawa Redblacks vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 8:30pm ET

Ottawa averages 25.0 points per game, ranking 7th in the CFL, with a balanced attack averaging 264.1 passing yards (6th) and 96.6 rushing yards (6th) per game, totaling 340.7 yards per outing.

In their most recent game, a win over Toronto, QB Dru Brown threw for 373 yards and 5 touchdowns in leading the RR’s to 46 points. Winnipeg averages 27.1 points per game, ranking 4th in the league, with 236.0 passing yards (8th) and 118.9 rushing yards (1st) per game, totaling 351.9 yards per contest.

In their latest loss to Calgary (28-27), QB Zach Collaros threw for 214 yards and 1 touchdown, while Brady Oliveira rushed for 68 yards and led the way receiving with 100 yards. Ottawa’s defense allows 28.4 points per game (7th most), conceding 281.2 passing yards (5th) and 87.2 rushing yards per game, with a total of 362.4 yards allowed per outing (6th).

Winnipeg Blue Bombers Defense: Winnipeg allows 28.1 points per game (4th), with 280.0 passing yards (7th) and 88.2 rushing yards per game conceded, totaling 364.28 yards per outing.

A potential combined play count of 130-140 suggests frequent possessions, increasing the likelihood of points, especially in a game where neither defense has shown elite stopping power. This game gets to 56 plus total points.

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Packers Prediction | NFC North Champs +250 | Aug 13 2025

Packers prediction 2025

ASA’s Packer Prediction: Win NFC North (+250)

We like Green Bay Packers at these odds to claim the NFC North in 2025. Despite finishing third last season behind the Lions (15-2) and Vikings (14-3), the Packers posted a +122 point differential while facing the NFC’s toughest schedule in 2024.

Their third-ranked overall DVOA (behind Baltimore and Detroit) is a great indicator of just how good this team was. Offensively, Green Bay matched Detroit’s, averaging 6.1 yards per play (5th in NFL) compared to Detroit’s 6.3. Defensively, the Packers were far superior, allowing just 5.2 yards per play (5th) versus Detroit’s 5.8 (29th).

The Lions’ 8-0 road record will be nearly impossible to duplicate with games against a brutal 2025 road slate (Cincinnati, Kansas City, Philadelphia, etc.). It’s also highly unlikely that the Lions will go 7-0 in one score games this season as they did a year ago.

As far as the rest of the North is concerned, the Vikings could regress with rookie QB J.J. McCarthy under center, and the Bears aren’t worth mentioning.

Packer’s head coach Matt LaFleur is 70-38 overall with three Division Championships in his 6 years at Green Bay and this roster is more than capable of winning the North. The Packers’ balanced attack and stout defense make them a value pick at +250 to top the division.

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