Tag: Offensive Line

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NFL Prop Bets | MNF Vikings vs Bears | Sep 8 2025

Caleb Williams Player Prop Bet: Over 4.5 Rush Attempts (-115) vs. Vikings

In 2024, Caleb Williams was the most sacked quarterback in the NFL, taking 68 sacks across 17 games. His mobility was a necessity, as he scrambled or ran on designed plays frequently, finishing with 489 rushing yards on 81 attempts (6.0 yards per carry). Notably, Williams had 4+ carries in 14 of 19 games and averaged 4.8 per for the season, including 10 carries in each of his two matchups against the Vikings last season. These games highlight his tendency to run when pressured by Minnesota’s defense, which led the NFL in quarterback pressures in 2024.

Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Over 2.5 Receptions (-110) vs. Bears

In 2024, Aaron Jones recorded 51 receptions on 67 targets over 17 games, averaging 3.0 receptions per game with the Vikings. He surpassed 2.5 receptions in 12 of 17 games, showcasing his reliability as a pass-catching back. Facing the Bears in 2024, Jones had 4 receptions for 46 yards in Week 12 and 3 receptions for 28 yards in Week 14, clearing the 2.5 mark in both games. With McCarthy, a rookie, starting under center, expect head coach Kevin O’Connell to lean on short, safe check-downs to Jones to ease the quarterback into the game. Minnesota’s offense in 2024 ranked 7th in passing yards (4,123), and Jones was a key outlet, with a 7.6% target share in the passing game.

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ACC Win Total Prediction | Duke Blue Devils | 2025

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ASA’s ACC FOOTBALL WIN TOTAL PREDICTION – 2025

Duke Blue Devils OVER 6.5 Wins

The Blue Devils finished last season with a 9-3 regular season record and one of those losses came in OT vs SMU.  While we do not expect them to reach 9 wins again this season, their total is set at 6.5 which is too low in our opinion. 

They lose starting QB Murphy, who is now at Oregon State, however the Devils have added one of the top freshman QB’s in the nation from last season.  Their new signal caller, Mensah, started for Tulane last season who threw for 2,700 yards and 22 TD’s for the Green Wave in 2024. 

He’ll operate behind a very good offensive line with 4 starters back and the 5th spot being filled by an experienced transfer. 

Defensively they should be strong in the trenches as well with some key starters back from a team that finished #2 nationally in tackles for loss and #4 nationally in sacks per game.  Head coach Manny Diaz is one of the better defensive minds around so we expect them to be solid on that side of the ball once again this season. 

Speaking of Diaz, he’s done well with the continuity on his coaching staff returning both their offensive and defensive coordinator. 

Our power ratings have Duke favored in 8 games this season and the only game we have them a dog of more than 4 points is @ Clemson.  The Devils also avoid 2 of the top 4 teams in the ACC as they miss Miami FL and SMU in conference play. 

We’ll call for the Blue Devils to get to at least 7 wins.   

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NY Giants Prediction | Win Total | Under 5.5 -120

NYGiants

ASAwins NFL New York Giants Betting Prediction:

We are betting UNDER 5.5 Wins for the New York Giants – 2025. The New York Giants enter the 2025 NFL season with significant challenges on both sides of the football. They also face a difficult schedule and a lame-duck coach in Brian Daboll. It all adds up to UNDER 5.5 wins and is one of our NFL Future bets for the 2025 season.

2024 Performance: The Giants finished 28th in team DVOA last season, reflecting poor efficiency on both sides of the football. Their offense ranked 30th in yards per play (4.7), while the defense allowed 5.6 yards per play (24th). This contributed to the 4th-highest scoring differential of minus -8.4 points per game.

Quarterback Concerns: Russell Wilson, now the Giants’ QB, is a shadow of his former self. At 36, his 2024 stats with the Steelers (2,721 yards, 15 TDs, 8 INTs, 81.7 passer rating) showed a decline. Moreover, his fit in a struggling Giants offense raises doubts about a quick turnaround for the G-Men.

Tough Schedule: The Giants face a brutal early slate, with six of their first eight opponents having made the playoffs in 2024. This includes two games against the Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles. A realistic 1-14 start is possible, with a potential road win at New Orleans on October 5th (Week 5) as the lone bright spot. The Giants may be Underdogs in all 17 games this season. Their best chances to be favored are at New Orleans and at Las Vegas, but even then they may be slight dogs in both games.

Coaching and Decline: Under head coach Brian Daboll, the Giants have declined from 9 wins in 2022 to 6 in 2023, and just 3 in 2024. This signals a steady downward trajectory with no clear signs of improvement.

Offensive Line Weakness: Ranked 23rd-28th in 2024 in most key O-line categories, the Giants will have a tough time running the football in 2025. They will also struggle with protecting their aging QB. New York allowed 48 sacks last season and a pressure rate of 38.4% (28th). The Giants were 27th in run-block win rate and averaged just 4.2 yards per rush (18th).

The Giants’ poor 2024 performance, a declining roster, and one of the league’s toughest schedules will be tough to overcome for the Big Blue. A 1-14 start is plausible, with wins potentially limited to New Orleans and Las Vegas. We could see this Giants team totaling 3-4 wins at best. The UNDER 5.5 wins is an attractive bet because the team’s offensive inefficiencies, defensive vulnerabilities, and lack of momentum under Daboll suggest they won’t reach six victories.

Bet: UNDER 5.5 Total Wins for the New York Giants.

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