Tag: NFL bets

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Thursday NFL Player Prop Bets | Eagles vs Giants | Oct 9 2025

ASA has two Thursday NFL Player Prop Bets | Eagles vs Giants Predictions

Eagles RB Saquon Barkley OVER 15.5 Receiving Yards

The Giants defense will have a tough time stopping Barkley tonight in his return to New York City. The Men in Blue allow the 24th most passing yards overall per game at 237.2 with running backs accounting for 31 of those yards. The lead running back for Giants opponents have gone OVER their receiving prop in 3 of the last four games. Barkley has been OVER this stat line in 3 of five games this season with an average of 25.6 receiving yards per game. Barkley should see at least 4 targets (also betting OVER 2.5 targets) in this game and needs just one decent play to get OVER this number.

Giants QB Jaxson Dart UNDER 177.5 Passing Yards

The Giants WR injuries are taking a toll with Nabers and Slayton both out, leaving Wan’Dale Robinson as his best option. Dart is averaging just 5.2 yards per completion with 313 total passing yards in two games. He has a QBR of 43.6 and we don’t anticipate the Giants having him drop back and throw 40 times as he did last week against the Saints. Philadelphia has average or below passing defensive statistics, but they’ve also faced some of the league’s better QB’s and passing attacks. With Philadelphia dominating the time of possession in this game we don’t see the Giants getting many opportunities offensively.

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NFL Player Prop Bets | 49ers vs Rams | Oct 2nd 2025

ASAwins NFL Player Prop Bets | TNF 49ers vs Rams | October 2nd 2025

49ers TE Jake Tonges Over 27.5 Receiving Yards

Jake Tonges has surpassed 27.5 receiving yards in two of three games without George Kittle, including a standout 58-yard performance last week. With the 49ers missing WRs Ricky Pearsall and Jauan Jennings, and Mac Jones (has played better than Purdy) starting at QB, Tonges has a favorable matchup. The Rams rank 25th in efficiency stats against tight ends and have allowed the 4th most total passing yards to TE’s on the season at 1101. The Ram’s defense has allowed all four starting TE’s faced to eclipse this receiving total. Tonges was on the field for nearly 80% of the snaps last week and should see a heavy load this week, especially given the 49ers depleted WR’s corps.

Rams RB Kyren Williams OVER 66.5 Rushing Yards

Williams saw a season low in rush attempts last week against the Colts at 13 and still managed 77 rushing yards. He should see an increase in attempts this week to his season average of 18.5 a year ago. Williams has rushed for 66 or more yards in 16 of his last eighteen regular season games dating back to last season. He had two games to start this season of exactly 66-rushing yards, but is averaging 85.5 yards per game. The 49ers allowed the 6th most rushing yards (1,774) to running backs in 2024 and have allowed 115.5 rushing yards per game this season (17th most).

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NFL Free Bet today | Titans vs Texans Prediction | Sept 28 2025

#263 ASA NFL FREE today on: Tennessee Titans +7.5 over Houston Texans, Sunday at 1 PM ET

Really tough ask for Houston to win this rivalry game by more than a TD when they simply struggle to score points. 

The Texans rank dead last in the NFL in scoring averaging 12.7 PPG putting up 9, 10 and 19 points in their 3 games this season.  The Texans are 0-3 ATS losing by an average of 4 PPG to the number. 

Tennessee hasn’t been great offensively but they have scored at least 19 points in 2 of their 3 games and that should get it done here.  In those 2 games the Titans faced the LA Rams and Indianapolis, 2 of the  top 5 offenses in the NFL, and couldn’t keep up despite scoring 19 and 20 points. 

That shouldn’t be a case here facing a Houston team that is averaging just 267 YPG (29th), ranks dead last in 3rd down conversion rate at 24% and scores only 1 point for every 21 yards gained (31st). 

This AFC South rivalry has been closely contested with 9 of the last 10 decided by single digits and the dog has covered 7 of the last 9. 

If we can get 2 TD’s from Tennessee, that just might be enough to get this cover in what is expected to be a low scoring game (lowest total on the board at 39)  Take the points with the Titans as ASA’s NFL free bet today.   

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NFL free picks today | Panthers vs Cardinals | Sept 14 2025

ASAwins NFL Free play UNDER 18.5 Team Total Panthers

Carolina takes on the Cardinals today in Arizona and we don’t see this offense putting up many points in the desert heat. The Panthers offense averaged just 4.2 yards per play, had 255 total yards last week and 10-points against the Jaguars. Last season the Panthers averaged 20.1ppg but they had 9 of 17 games with 17 or less points in regulation. Arizona is going to be better defensively this season and haven’t forgotten the 36-points the allowed to Carolina late in the season a year ago in a 30-36 OT loss. The Cards allowed 22.3ppg in 2024, which is obviously higher than this O/U, but they also held 7 opponents to 17 or less points a year ago. Unless there is a defensive or special teams TD by the Panthers, we don’t see them getting Over 18 in this one.

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