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NFL Player Props | Nov 23 | Week 12

ASA’s NFL PLAYER PROPS for Sunday, November 23rd

Drake Maye Over 253.5 Passing Yards – New England Patriots

Maye is averaging 258 passing yards per game and surpassed that mark in eight of his eleven games in 2025. Moreover, the Patriots bout with the Bengals currently has the highest point total of the weekend (51.5) with Joe Burrow possibly making a return to action. The second-year QB is leading the league in passing yards and gets a mouthwatering matchup against the league’s second worst pass defense on Sunday. OC Josh McDaniels has unlocked Maye’s potential, making him into a deadly accurate thrower, illustrated by his league leading completion percentage. All signs point to the Patriots continued domination as Maye keeps working toward a potential MVP award. 

Jonathan Taylor Over 90.5 Rushing Yards – Indianapolis Colts

Arguably the most talented running back in the league, Taylor is having himself a historic season. He leads the league averaging six yards per carry while also having the most attempts per game, equating to nearly 114 rushing yards per contest. The elite volume and efficiency are eerily similar to Saquon Barkley’s season in 2024 where he ran for over 2,000 yards. Indianapolis travels to Arrowhead stadium to face the Chiefs stout run defense, ranking ninth in rushing yards allowed per game. However, with the way the Colts ground game has been bulldozing opponents, JT will be hard to contain. Taylor has surpassed this line in four of the last five games, and will look to do so again. 

Rome Odunze Over 48.5 Receiving Yards – Chicago Bears

Odunze has had a solid sophomore season averaging 60 ypg, while becoming the number one option in Ben Johnson’s passing scheme. Caleb Williams has improved drastically this year, relying on Odunze for chunk plays. In week 12, Pittsburgh brings their league worst passing defense to Chicago in a huge matchup between division leaders. One would think Williams will have free rein to air it out in a possible shootout vs city nemesis Aaron Rodgers. Odunze has a 24% target share in the Bears offense and this pass heavy outlook sets up perfect for their big body receiver. This line is very attainable given what we have seen from the former top ten pick out of Washington. 

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NFL Free play | Dolphins vs Falcons | Oct 26 2025

#268 ASA NFL FREE PLAY ON Atlanta Falcons -7 over Miami Dolphins, Sunday a 1 PM ET

We like the Falcons to bounce back after a poor showing last Sunday @ San Francisco.  Atlanta opened as a dog last week vs the Niners and flipped to a small favorite but didn’t show up to play losing 20-10.  The yardage was dead even at 4.9 YPP (season low for the Falcons) and Atlanta was shut out on downs in their final 2 drives.  Prior to that loss, the Falcons had topped Washington by 7 and Buffalo by 10 (2 playoff caliber teams), both at home.  Miami is in a freefall.  They are now 1-6 SU on the season after getting rolled 31-6 @ Cleveland last week.  It was the first time in 11 games the Browns topped 17 points.  This will be the Browns 3rd road game in 4 weeks and they are 0-4 SU on the road (3 of those losses coming by double digits).  The Fins have internal issues and head coach McDaniel is on the hot seat to say the least.  Seems like this team is very close to imploding and if they get down in this game, it might be lights out.  Atlanta is one of 2 teams that ranks in the top 7 in total offense and total defense (other is KC).  Miami ranks 26th in total offense and 27th in total defense.  This is a terrible match up for the Dolphins defense as they rank dead last defending the run allowing 160 YPG on the ground and they are facing an Atlanta offense that averages 137 YPG rushing (4th in the NFL). No Penix Jr, No problem with vet Kirk Cousins under center. Atlanta RB Robinson (6th in the NFL in rushing yards) had a poor outing vs SF (2.9 YPC) but he should have a field day vs this defense.  Miami’s offense will be without one of the key weapons, TE Waller, and they’re already missing Tyreek Hill.  Now facing the #2 defense (Atlanta allows just 265 YPG) we expect a struggle.  Atlanta wins this home tilt by more than a TD. 

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NFL Free Bet | Eagles vs Vikings | Oct 19 2025

Point Train NFL Free Bet: Philadelphia Eagles -0.5 in the First Half @ Minnesota Vikings – 12PM CT

RATING: 3UNIT

  • We don’t trust the Eagles for the full game but feel they’ll come out an play very well and inspired in the first half coming off a terrible loss vs the Giants
  • The Eagles average 14.8 points in the first half this year which is 4th in the NFL.  Their first half point margin is +1.8 per game
  • The Eagles have trailed at half in only 2 of their 6 games vs Rams and Giants
  • The Eagles are averaging 2.83 points per drive in the first half which is 6th best in the NFL
  • The Vikings have trailed at the half in 4 of their 5 games this season. 
  • The Vikings are averaging just 11.8 points in the first half and they’ve scored only 3 offensive TD’s in the first half this season
  • The Vikings have scored TD’s on only 3 of their 29 first half possessions this season which is barely a 10% rate – that ranks 28th in the NFL
  • We anticipate the Eagles getting off to a fast start and leading at the half

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NFL Free Bet today | Titans vs Texans Prediction | Sept 28 2025

#263 ASA NFL FREE today on: Tennessee Titans +7.5 over Houston Texans, Sunday at 1 PM ET

Really tough ask for Houston to win this rivalry game by more than a TD when they simply struggle to score points. 

The Texans rank dead last in the NFL in scoring averaging 12.7 PPG putting up 9, 10 and 19 points in their 3 games this season.  The Texans are 0-3 ATS losing by an average of 4 PPG to the number. 

Tennessee hasn’t been great offensively but they have scored at least 19 points in 2 of their 3 games and that should get it done here.  In those 2 games the Titans faced the LA Rams and Indianapolis, 2 of the  top 5 offenses in the NFL, and couldn’t keep up despite scoring 19 and 20 points. 

That shouldn’t be a case here facing a Houston team that is averaging just 267 YPG (29th), ranks dead last in 3rd down conversion rate at 24% and scores only 1 point for every 21 yards gained (31st). 

This AFC South rivalry has been closely contested with 9 of the last 10 decided by single digits and the dog has covered 7 of the last 9. 

If we can get 2 TD’s from Tennessee, that just might be enough to get this cover in what is expected to be a low scoring game (lowest total on the board at 39)  Take the points with the Titans as ASA’s NFL free bet today.   

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE BEST BETS TODAY IN THE NFL FROM THE EXPERTS HERE AT ASAWINS.COM!

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NFL Chargers vs Lions Prediction | July 31 2025

ASA NFL play on LA Chargers (FIRST HALF) +5 vs. Detroit Lions, 8pm ET

The NFL season is officially here with the Hall of Fame game tonight between the Chargers and Lions. We are going to side with the Chargers in this game with our strongest bet on the 1st half with Los Angeles. We will focus on the defenses as they have the advantage early on in the preseason. The Chargers gave up 5.4 Yards Per Play defensively a year ago and 18.5PPG which was the 2nd lowest number in the NFL. In comparison the Lions allowed 21.5PPG and 5.8YPPL (29th). Detroit lost their Offensive and Defensive coordinators so expect a very vanilla gameplan tonight as new systems are being put in place. Neither team will play many starters at all including their franchise QB’s in Herbert and Goff. We like the Chargers backup QB better with Trey Lance who is schedule to play the first half of this game. Lance provides mobility which will lead to several big plays with his feet rather than his arm. The Lions are going to give Hendon Hooker a long look at QB to see if he can be Goff’s primary  backup. We like Lance with more NFL experience to outshine Hooker and the Lions in this one.

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