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NFL MVP Odds | A QB longshot | 9-3-24 | By ASA

NFL MVP Odds – QB Jared Goff Detroit Lions +$2500 – By ASA

Jared Goff’s odds for winning the NFL MVP in 2024 have been a topic of interest among sports analysts and bettors, reflecting a mix of skepticism and optimism based on his performance trajectory and the Lions’ team success. At a higher price point we like Goff as a potential longshot to win the MVP in 2024.

Have you looked at the Lions schedule this season? Detroit and QB Goff will play in a controlled environment or Dome in 14 of their seventeen games this season. Goff and the Lions were 9-3 SU when playing in a Dome last season. Goff threw for over 4,400 yards in 2022 with 29 TD’s to 7 INT’s in leading Detroit to a 9-8 record. Last season, Goff threw for 4,575 yards (2nd most in league) with a 30/12 TD/INT ration in helping the Lions for a 14-6 record and a loss in the NFC Championship game.

Goff’s career statistics in domes show a higher completion percentage, better passer rating, and a more favorable touchdown to interception ratio. When playing indoors, Goff has a 67.4% completion rate, with 92 touchdowns and 32 interceptions over 55 games.

Conversely, his outdoor games statistics are less impressive, with a completion percentage around 62.2%, 101 touchdowns, and 52 interceptions across 71 games.

Goff’s MVP odds have been listed at various points between +2200 and +2500, indicating he’s seen as a dark horse candidate but with significant value for bettors if he performs exceptionally.

Goff has shown improvement and consistency, leading the Lions to two straight winning seasons. His stats from previous seasons, like throwing for over 4,400 yards with a high completion percentage and a favorable touchdown to interception ratio, underline his capability at the helm of an offense. The Lions’ success, particularly if they secure a high seed in the playoffs, could significantly boost Goff’s MVP case, given the award’s tendency to favor quarterbacks from top-seeded teams.

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Seattle Seahawks Preview | ASAwins NFL Win Totals

ASA’s NFC WEST WIN TOTAL PROJECTION

Seattle Seahawks – UNDER 7.5 Wins (+115)

The Seahawks finished last season with a record of 9-8 but they had a negative point differential (-38) and they were outgained by nearly 50 YPG.  Based on those stats alone, Seattle should have won only 7 games last season and that’s where we think they land in 2024 (7 or fewer wins).  They benefited from a positive turnover margin last season and only won 3 games by more than a TD in 2023 vs the 3 of the worst teams in the NFL, Carolina (2 wins last season), Arizona (4 wins last season), and the NY Giants (6 wins last season).  Six of Seattle’s wins last year came by 4 points or fewer or in OT and they were outgained in 5 of those tight 6 wins.  The offense finished 17th in points scored and 22nd in total yardage and we look for the Seahawks to regress on that side of the ball.  The offensive line is ranked 31st (out of 32 teams) by PFF heading into the season and QB Geno Smith took a big step back last season.  Smith had 10 fewer TD’s a year ago compared to 2022 and his completion percentage dropped by 5%.  They had very little running game last season (92 YPG rushing) and operating behind a poor Oline could be problematic for Smith and Company.  The defense allowed the 9th most points in 2023 along with the 3rd most yards gained by opponents despite finishing with a winning record.  Seattle has a new head coach, Mike McDonald, who has never been a head man at any level, so some growing pains are expected.  His coordinators are Ryan Grubb (OC) who has never coached in the NFL and Aden Durdy (DC) who has never been a DC in the NFL.  They faced the 11th most difficult schedule according to PFF and we look for this Seattle team to struggle in 2024.

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Point Train Consulting Expert Sports Bettor specializing in Football Betting Picks. For insights from a professional sports expert bettor, you’re in the right place.

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All Aboard the Point Train – Serious Selections for Serious Sports Investors

Point Train Consulting is a professional sports handicapping service built for serious sports investors who demand results, not hype. Based in Chicago, Illinois, we have delivered consistent, high-quality football and basketball selections for over 21 years. Your search is over in regards to looking for Point Train Consultants Expert Sports bettors.

Our Expertise

We specialize in college and professional football. Our reputation is built on disciplined analysis, sharp lines, and a long track record of profitable plays. We don’t chase every game — we wait for the spots that meet our strict criteria. Proof is in the pudding, showing sizeable profits in 16 of 22 football seasons through 2025. Our lifetime 10-Unit selections have gone 40-17-1 (70%) in football (have not had a 10-Unit since 2021 as we don’t recklessly give this high of a rated bet out randomly.)

What You Get

  • Regular 3–5 Unit plays released throughout the season (Typically 3 college bets Saturday and 3 NFL wagers Sunday)
  • Occasional Top Games (6+ Units) reserved only for our highest-conviction opportunities

We never release a Top Game just to make a sale. A 6-Unit (or higher) selection is issued only when we feel extraordinarily strong about a side or total. That selective approach is why our clients stay with us year after year.

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POINT TRAIN RECENT RESULTS

POSITIVES FROM 2025

  • In 13 of the last 18 NFL weeks we have MADE OUR CLIENTS MONEY!
  • Top Games or Best Bets in the NFL finished on a 7-3 overall run
  • NFL rated Team Total wagers are 14-6  streak
  • NFL Team Total BEST BETS are 7-3
  • 6-1 college run on rated Bowl games – 8-2 overall Bowl record (including opinions)

NFL PICKS 2024-25

  • 8-7 Best Bet record
  • Hot streaks of 16-7 Oct – Nov 4
  • 17-10 run Nov 25 – Jan 5

COLLEGE PICKS 2024-25

  • 7-5 Best Bet record
  • 19-13 Finish to season
  • 5 of last 6 regular season weeks (+) money

NFL PICKS 2023-24

  • 8Unit Total of the Year WIN
  • Strong finish with a 7-3 run our last 10 Best Bets
  • 32-20 run to end the season
  • +44.6-Net Units

COLLEGE PICKS 2023-24

  • 4-2 Bowls

NFL PICKS 2022-23

  • 8Unit Game of Year WIN
  • We finished 5-1 our last 6 Best Bets

COLLEGE PICKS 2022-23

  • +17 Net Units of profits from mid-November on
  • 9Unit Bowl Game of Year WIN!
  • 5-1 Best Bet run to end the year
  • 13-10 start through Oct 1st

NFL PICKS 2021-22

  • 10Unit Game of Year WIN
  • 7-1 our last 8 Best Bets
  • 6 of our first 8 weeks were winning records
  • 12-7 on Best Bets for the Year
  • +10.5 Net Units of profits

COLLEGE PICKS 2021-22

  • +21 Net Units of profits
  • 8-1 finish in Bowl Games
  • 6-2 Best Bet run to end the year
  • 10-7 Best Bets for the Year
  • 1-1 on 9Unit Games of the Year

OTHER RECENT STELLAR RECORDS

  • Strong finish in 2020-21 +32 units Oct 1 through end of season
  • NFL GOY WIN, 10-4 NFL start 2019-20
  • PLUS over 50 units in 2018-19 College Football
  • 8-4, +20.6 units in the 2018-19 College Bowl Season
  • 14-7, 66.7% in College Bowl picks the past 2017-2019 seasons
  • 24-12 three-year run in NFL regular season over/under picks 2016-2019
  • Huge 27-12 record (+43.5 units) in August & September to start 2018 season
  • Profits in 9 of the first 12 NFL regular season weeks in 2018-19
  • 4-0 in NFL 7-unit Top Plays in 2018-19

Notable Football 2020-21

  • NFL 33-31, -8.6-Net Units
  • NFL bad start +10-Net Units Oct to end
  • NFL 5-4 6-Unit or higher Best Bets
  • CFB 24-23, -1.2-Net Units
  • CFB bad start but then +22-Net Units Oct to end of ssn.
  • CFB 5-3 6-Unit or higher Best Bets

Notable Football 2019-20

  • NFL 36-29 record
  • NFL 10-4 Start to season
  • NFL Playoffs 4-2
  • NFL 10U Game of Year win
  • CFB 26-41 ssn record
  • CFB 3-3 Best Bets
  • CFB 10U Bowl GOY win
  • CFB 10U GOY reg ssn loss

Notable Football 2018-19

  • NFL start 10-2
  • NFL 9 of first 12 weeks profitable
  • NFL reg ssn +4.2 Net Units
  • NFL 5-3 6Unit or higher Best Bets
  • CFB +50.2 Net Units
  • CFB 8-4 Bowl record
  • CFB 11-1 streak in October
  • CFB 7-4 6Unit or higher Best Bets

Football 2017-18

  • NFL 26-26 Regular ssn record
  • NFL 5-1 O/U record
  • CFB 6-3 Bowl record
  • CFB 8-7 Best Bet record

2016-17 Football Records

  • NFL season 43-36 +0.1-Net Units
  • NFL 10-0 (+43-Units) run Weeks 14&15
  • NFL strong Best Bet finish with 6-3 run to end ssn
  • CFB -50.6-Net Units Regular ssn total
  • CFB 15-8-1 start to ssn through Oct 1

Notable Football Records for 2015-16

  • NFL 23-15 Sept/Oct +14.4
  • NFL Regular season 48-38 record
  • NFL 9-Unit Reg Ssn GOY win
  • CFB 35-26 reg ssn
  • CFB +55.1 season
  • CFB 10-5 on 6U or higher rated Best Bets
  • CFB 9U regular ssn GOY Wins
  • CFB 9U Bowl GOY wins

2014-15 All Football

  • +51.3 NFL Regular Season
  • +21.1 CFB Regular Season
  • +72.4 All Football Regular Season
  • 22-10 Regular Season Best Bets

2014-15 NFL

  • 51-40-1 Overall NFL (55.4%)
  • +49.8 Net Units NFL
  • 12-5 NFL Best Bets Regular Season
  • 10-Unit NFL GOY WINS

2014-15 CFB

  • 43-37 Regular Season
  • +21.1 Regular Season
  • 10-5 CFB Best Bets Regular Season

Notable Football Records of 2012

  • Started 2012 NFL season 7-3
  • Won 5 of 6 NFL Best Bets through September

Notable Football Records of 2011

  • Closed out the NFL Season on a 9-1 Run and +40.6 Net Units!
  • Closed out the CFB Season on a +28.4 Net Unit run!
  • 10-Unit NFL Game of the Year WINS
  • 10-Unit College Game of the Year WINS
  • 9-Unit NFL Playoff Game of the Year WINS

Notable Football Records of 2010

  • 44-27-2 (+80 Units) on 5-Unit Plays in 2010 (our “daily” games)
  • 4-1 on Bowl selections last season – including 10-Unit Bowl GOY WINNER
  • 6-2 Combined Playoff + Bowl selections (3-1 Top Games)

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