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NBA Longshot – Denver Nuggets +850

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NBA Longshot – We have you covered – Denver Nuggets (+850)

As we mentioned in our Efficiency Champions article, the Nuggets didn’t have the defensive efficiency stats to qualify this year as a potential NBA Champion (efficiency wise) but their overall efficiency differential is 7th best. The Nuggets suffered through several key injuries to their starting 5 which hurt them throughout the regular season as they lacked depth. Now Aaron Gordon and his 16PPG and 6RPG is back on the floor, along with Cam Johnson finding his stroke (43% from deep this season) which has the Nuggets poised to make a serious run at the Championship. Nikola Jokic (how isn’t he the MVP) is a triple-double machine (27.7PPG, 12.9RPG, 10.7APG) and Jamal Murray is putting up fantastic numbers this season with 25.4PPG and 7.1APG. Since the All-Star break the Nuggets have gone 19-8 SU with the 7th best Net rating in the league. The regular season injuries may have been a blessing in disguise as it forced bench players into bigger roles. That experience now gives Denver some added depth they would have been missing in this post season. To win it all you have to be successful on the road and the Nuggets were 26-15 SU awa from home this regular season with an average plus/minus of +4.7PPG. It’s going to be VERY difficult to come out of the West against either the Thunder or Spurs, but the Nuggets are capable of doing it. We won’t be making a huge investment in this – but at these longer odds we’ll make a small wager on Denver +850.

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