Tag: NBA free bet

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NBA prediction | Timberwolves vs Lakers | Series Prediction

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NBA prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves (+175) to Win Series vs. LA Lakers: Betting Prediction

The Minnesota Timberwolves at +175 offer compelling value to win their first-round playoff series against the LA Lakers. Statistical trends and recent performance strongly favor the Wolves, despite their underdog status.

Statistical Support for the Timberwolves

  • Recent Form: Since January 6, 2025, the Wolves have been one of the NBA’s elite, posting a 32-16 record. Over their last 15 games, they’re 11-4 straight-up (SU) with a +9.8 Net Rating (4th in the NBA), showcasing their ability to dominate on both ends. In contrast, the Lakers are 8-7 SU in their last 15, with a -0.7 Net Rating, indicating inconsistency.
  • Offensive Efficiency: Minnesota boasts one of the NBA’s most efficient offense (6th) at 116.6 points per possession (PPP), outpacing the Lakers’ 115.9 PPP (12th). The Wolves’ attack, led by Anthony Edwards 27.6ppg, has the 3rd best Offensive Net rating over the past 5 games.
  • Defensive Prowess: The Wolves rank 6th in Defensive Efficiency, allowing 111.5 PPP, compared to the Lakers’ 114.7 PPP (15th). Minnesota’s length and versatility, anchored by Rudy Gobert, disrupts opponents’ rhythm, particularly in the paint.
  • Road Performance: The Wolves excelled away from home this season, going 24-17 with a +2.9 points per game (PPG) differential. This is critical in a playoff series where stealing road games is key. The Lakers, however, struggled on the road, posting a 19-22 SU record with a -2.4 PPG differential, a below average MOV in the league.

Minnesota’s superior efficiency on both offense and defense gives them an edge in a seven-game series. Their road resilience (24-17, +2.9 PPG) mitigates the Lakers’ home-court advantage, especially given LA’s poor road record (19-22, -2.4 PPG). The Wolves’ recent dominance (32-16 since January, 11-4 in last 15) contrasts with the Lakers’ mediocrity (8-7, negative Net Rating). Minnesota’s ability to control pace and defend the interior should neutralize LeBron James and Luka Doncic, while their top-ranked offense exploits LA’s middling defense.

Potential Concerns The Lakers’ star power (LeBron and Luka) can swing games, and their home court could pose challenges. However, LA’s road struggles and inconsistent supporting cast limit their upside against a deep, disciplined Wolves squad.

Prediction The Timberwolves’ statistical advantages—elite offensive and defensive efficiency, strong road performance, and recent form—make them the likely series winner. At +175, the betting value is undeniable for a team that matches up well and has been trending upward.

Pick: Timberwolves (+175) to win the series in 6 or 7 games.

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NBA free bet today | Clippers vs Spurs | April 8 2025

ASA play on LA Clippers -12.5 vs. San Antonio Spurs, 10:40pm ET

The Clippers are hot right now, having won 14 of 17, while covering 12 of their last 13 and 6 of their last 7. Los Angeles has also covered 9 of their last twelve at home.

The Spurs’ longshot playoff hopes have ended after losing seven of their last eight games as injuries to Wemby and Fox have derailed San Antonio’s season.

Just how good are the Clippers playing right now you ask? LA has the 2nd best Net rating in the NBA at +15.0 in their last five games with a 4-1 SU record. In their last 10 games they are +15.7 in Net rating with an 8-2 record and an average plus/minus of +15.0ppg.

San Antonio is 3-7 SU in their last ten games with a minus -6.0ppg differential. Five of the Spurs’ last seven losses have come by double-digits.

The Clippers are in a heated race for a better playoff position, and they have 3 HUGE games on deck against other playoff teams which makes this game a high priority. Lay the points.

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NBA free bet today | Nuggets vs Rockets prediction | March 23 2025

ASA NBA free bet today play on UNDER 225.5 Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets, 7:10pm ET

This game will have a playoff vibe with the Rockets currently the #2 seed in the Western Conference, the Nuggets are 3rd, 2 games back of Houston.

Denver will be without MVP Nikola Jokic and his 29.1ppg and 10.3 assists per game. Denver’s offensive efficiency numbers have fallen off significantly in their last five games compared to their season long statistics. Scoring without the Joker is going to be difficult against this Rockets defense that ranks 3rd best in DEFF allowing just 1.100-points per possession.

Denver has managed just 108 and 109-points in their last two games against defenses not as good as this Rockets D. Houston is ‘average’ in terms of points per possession at 1.146PPP and a poor shooting team ranking 26th in EFG%.

We expect both defense and pace of play to be the main contributors to a low scoring game between these two teams fighting for better playoff seeding. Good luck with the NBA free bet today.

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NBA free pick today | Suns vs Blazers | Feb 1 2025

ASA NBA free pick play on Portland Trailblazers +4 vs. Phoenix Suns – 10PM ET

The Blazers are playing extremely well right now with a 6-1 SU record in their last seven games and the loss was a competitive game at home against the Thunder.

Trailblazer bettors have been rewarded with 7 straight cashes against the spread. In this current 7-game stretch the Blazers have the best Net Rating in the NBA at +12.1.

Phoenix is coming off a big win last night against Golden State and the Suns haven’t been a good bet when playing without rest with a 2-5-1 ATS record this season. They’ve lost those ‘unrested’ games by an average of -5.5ppg. Looking at the Suns last 7 games we see they have a Net Rating of +4.3, 16th Offensively, 11th Defensively.

Portland has owned the glass in their last 7 games with a Rebound % of 53.1 which is 2nd best in the league. Phoenix ranks 12th in REB% over their last 7 games at 50.5.

Portland has been a solid home dog this season with a 13-8 ATS record. It won’t be a surprise if the Blazers win this game outright.  NBA free pick today.

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Free NBA Bet | Player Prop bet | Friday, January 31st 2025

Free NBA play OVER 24.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS – Immanuel Quickley – Toronto Raptors

Quickley gets a very favorable match up tonight against the Bulls who are a dumpster fire right now and don’t defend well. The Bulls are 23rd in the NBA in DEFF allowing 1.161PPP on the season and have the 25th worst EFG% defense over their last ten games. They give up the 7th most points to PG’s at 24.3ppg, the 3rd most assists and the most rebounds per game. Quickley has missed most of the season and returned to action on January 1st. Since then, he has totaled more than 24.5 P+R+A in 4 of six games and is average 26.17 in that 6-game stretch.

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