Tag: NBA free picks

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NBA free prediction | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Phoenix Suns | 4-3-24

ASA NBA free bet on Phoenix Suns (-) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 10PM ET

Scheduling has a lot to do with this NBA free prediction as the Cavs are in a tough spot here having played in Utah last night. Not only that, but the Cavaliers are playing their 3rd game in four days and 4th game in six days. The Suns are rested as their last game came on April 1st, a win in New Orleans.

Phoenix is facing a brutal 3-game stretch coming up against Western Conference contenders which makes this game extremely important.

The Suns are also 14-6 SU with an average +/- of +6.4PPG when they hold a rest advantage over their opponents. Cleveland is 5-7 ATS when playing without rest and has a negative point differential in those games of minus -3.2PPG.

When we evaluate each teams last ten games we find the Suns have a +3.0 Net differential, the Cavs are minus -5.2 AND the Suns have faced a much tougher schedule over that 10-game span. In this must-win situation we like the Suns by double-digits as this NBA free pick.

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NBA Free Bet | 3-6-24 | Bucks vs Warriors

ASA FREE play on Golden State Warriors -4 vs. Milwaukee Bucks, 10PM ET

**ONLY IF GIANNIS IS OUT TONIGHT** The NBA free pick today. This line is telling us Giannis will not be in the lineup for the Bucks tonight which means we will back the Warriors at home minus the points. The Bucks have clearly seen a resurgence since the All-Star break with 6 straight wins and a defense that ranks best in the NBA over that time period.

As a Bucks fan I temper my enthusiasm though as two of those wins came against Charlotte, one versus a struggling Bulls team and one against Philly who had injury issues. The Warriors are coming off an embarrassing blowout loss in Boston on Sunday in a National TV showing.

I like Golden State to bounce back with a concentrated effort at home. The home team in this series has dominated with 6-straight wins including the Bucks getting a W on Jan 13th at home 129-118. You might be a bit surprised to know that the Bucks are 3-5 ATS as an underdog with a negative average differential in those games of -10.5PPG. G

olden State has dominated Eastern Conference teams this season with a 16-7 SU record and a +/- of +3.3PPG. Given the circumstances we like the Warriors minus the short number as a NBA free bet today.

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NBA Free picks | Bucks vs Mavs | Warriors vs Hawks | 2-3-24

ASA NBA FREE BETS or NBA PICKS – PLAYER PROP BETS FOR FEBRUARY 3RD, 2024

ASA Player Prop – Khris Middleton Milwaukee Bucks OVER 19.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS

We will start with the Vegas betting lines on this game and the Over/Under which is set at 246. That tells us this is potentially going to be a very high scoring game for both teams with plenty of possessions, shots taken and rebound opportunities.

Middleton is inline for a big game today versus this Mavs defense that is 22nd in defensive efficiency rating allowing 1.182PPP.

K-Midd has seen his minutes go up gradually with each passing game and has basically played 30+ minutes in 5-straight games.

In his last six games he has totaled 22 or more Points+Rebounds and is averaging 21 in his last ten games.

The Mavericks allow the 6th most points to SF at 23.6PPG and the 4th most rebounds at 8.3RPG.

ASA Player Prop – Steph Curry Golden State Warriors OVER 5.5 ASSISTS

Both teams are coming off games last night, but the Warriors had a comfortable win in Memphis while the Hawks were in a dogfight with Phoenix.

Curry played 32+ minutes which is less than his average per game so his usage should be normal tonight in this second night of a back-to-back.

The O/U on this game is 244 which means a ton of possessions for both teams and more opportunities for points and assists.

Curry may have a harder time scoring with the longer defender of DeJounte Murry guarding him but that should open up more opportunities to create scoring chances for teammates.

Curry is averaging 6.3APG over his last ten games and has been over 5.5 in 8 of his last nine games.

The Hawks give up the 5th most APG to PG’s on the season at 9.2APG and when these same two teams squared off a few weeks ago, Curry finished with 8 assists.

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NBA Player Prop Bets | 1/18/24 | Free Bets

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 13.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS – Harrison Barnes – Sacramento Kings

Barnes is facing an Indiana team that allows the most points to Scoring Forwards in the NBA at 25.8PPG. This will be a faster paced game with plenty of possessions for both teams which means more opportunities for a big stat line here for Barnes. He has totaled 14 or more PRA’s in 4 of his last eight games. In the games he didn’t get to this total he either sat extended minutes in blowouts or faced much better defenses. We expect Harrison Barnes to score more than this number but will add in Rebounds and Assists as a precaution.  

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 19.5 POINTS – Jalen Williams – Oklahoma City Thunder

This game has an Over/Under of 244 which means plenty of scoring opportunities for everyone involved. We like Williams to do some damage tonight on the offensive end of the court against a Jazz team that allows the 3rd most points to Power Forwards on the season at 26.2PPG. Overall the Jazz own the 21st worst defensive efficiency rating in the NBA allowing 1.176-points per possession. Williams is averaging 20.1PPG over his last ten games and has scored more than this total in 6 of his last eight games. He is shooting at a very high percentage over his last ten games at 62.9% overall and 56% from beyond the arc. The Thunder are one of the best scoring teams in transition and the Jazz are one of the worst in the league in stopping opponents fast breaks. Williams is a fantastic finisher and runs the floor well.

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ASA’s free pick Bulls vs Blazers Jan 30

ASA play on Chicago Bulls -5 over Portland Trailblazers, 3:40PM ET

We like the situation to play an elite team in the NBA off a disappointing loss, versus a bad team off a win. The Bulls are coming off a loss in San Antonio and have been solid at home when coming off a beat with a 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS record. Portland defeated the Rockets in their most recent game and have struggled in this situation with a 3-8 SU/ATS record when coming off a win and on the road. Portland is 7-15 SU away this year with the 4th worst point differential in the league at minus -8.4PPG. The Blazers have the 29th ranked road defensive efficiency and 22nd offensive efficiency numbers. Chicago is 17-6 SU at home with the 8th best average MOV at +4.7PPG. The Bulls were recently a -4-point home favorite over the Raptors who are playing much better than the Blazers and now this line is only a 1.5-points higher?