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NY Giants Prediction | Win Total | Under 5.5 -120

NYGiants

ASAwins NFL New York Giants Betting Prediction:

We are betting UNDER 5.5 Wins for the New York Giants – 2025. The New York Giants enter the 2025 NFL season with significant challenges on both sides of the football. They also face a difficult schedule and a lame-duck coach in Brian Daboll. It all adds up to UNDER 5.5 wins and is one of our NFL Future bets for the 2025 season.

2024 Performance: The Giants finished 28th in team DVOA last season, reflecting poor efficiency on both sides of the football. Their offense ranked 30th in yards per play (4.7), while the defense allowed 5.6 yards per play (24th). This contributed to the 4th-highest scoring differential of minus -8.4 points per game.

Quarterback Concerns: Russell Wilson, now the Giants’ QB, is a shadow of his former self. At 36, his 2024 stats with the Steelers (2,721 yards, 15 TDs, 8 INTs, 81.7 passer rating) showed a decline. Moreover, his fit in a struggling Giants offense raises doubts about a quick turnaround for the G-Men.

Tough Schedule: The Giants face a brutal early slate, with six of their first eight opponents having made the playoffs in 2024. This includes two games against the Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles. A realistic 1-14 start is possible, with a potential road win at New Orleans on October 5th (Week 5) as the lone bright spot. The Giants may be Underdogs in all 17 games this season. Their best chances to be favored are at New Orleans and at Las Vegas, but even then they may be slight dogs in both games.

Coaching and Decline: Under head coach Brian Daboll, the Giants have declined from 9 wins in 2022 to 6 in 2023, and just 3 in 2024. This signals a steady downward trajectory with no clear signs of improvement.

Offensive Line Weakness: Ranked 23rd-28th in 2024 in most key O-line categories, the Giants will have a tough time running the football in 2025. They will also struggle with protecting their aging QB. New York allowed 48 sacks last season and a pressure rate of 38.4% (28th). The Giants were 27th in run-block win rate and averaged just 4.2 yards per rush (18th).

The Giants’ poor 2024 performance, a declining roster, and one of the league’s toughest schedules will be tough to overcome for the Big Blue. A 1-14 start is plausible, with wins potentially limited to New Orleans and Las Vegas. We could see this Giants team totaling 3-4 wins at best. The UNDER 5.5 wins is an attractive bet because the team’s offensive inefficiencies, defensive vulnerabilities, and lack of momentum under Daboll suggest they won’t reach six victories.

Bet: UNDER 5.5 Total Wins for the New York Giants.

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Minnesota Vikings Under 9.5 wins | 2025-26 | Futures Bet

Minnesota Vikings Wins

ASAwins NFL projections UNDER 9.5 WINS (-125) Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings’ 2024 season (14-3) was an outlier, driven by luck in close games (8-1 SU in one-score games) and Sam Darnold’s career-best performance. The Minnesota Vikings’ win total for the 2025-26 NFL season is set at 9.5, with the under at -125 odds (54.5% implied probability).

This bet assumes the Vikings will win 9 or fewer games, a reasonable prediction given key factors. After a 14-3 record in 2024, which exceeded expected wins by 2.5 games, historical trends suggest regression (average drop of 5.33 wins for similar teams).

The Vikings face the NFL’s 5th-hardest schedule, with 11 games against 2024 winning teams, including five with 12+ wins, and international games in Dublin and London.

Rookie QB J.J. McCarthy, who hasn’t taken a regular season snap under center, missed the entire 2024 season due to injury. Granted, has a strong supporting cast (Justin Jefferson, Aaron Jones, T.J. Hockenson) and an elite defense (2nd in DVOA), but can he fill Darnold’s shoes? McCarthy will have a tough time duplicating Darnold’s statistics from last season as he finished 5th in total passing yards, had a 66.2% completion percentage with 35 TD’s to 12 INT’s and a QBR of 102.5.

Minnesota was 19th in rushing yards per game a season ago so it’s not like they can lean on Aaron Jones and the running game if McCarthy struggles.

While Kevin O’Connell’s coaching and QB development is some of the best in the NFL, the tough schedule and potential growing pains for McCarthy make the under 9.5 wins an attractive wager at -125. We are projecting a 9-win season at most for the Vikings.

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WNBA Free Bet | Sky vs Mystics | July 8 2025

ASA WNBA play on Washington Mystics -6 vs Chicago Sky, 11:30am ET

This is a very early tipoff at 11:30am ET so be sure to get your action in ASAP. The Sky were in a perfect scheduling situation the other day when they covered against Minnesota in a loss 75-80. Those results have impacted this line which gives us value with Washington.

The Mystics were recently favored by -4-points in Chicago and are now laying a number slightly higher than that at home. Washington won that most recent clash 79-72.

The Mystics were playing well with a 5-2 run before losing two straight to Dallas and then Minnesota, both on the road. Prior to that though they had impressive wins over Las Vegas and Minnesota.

Chicago has the 2nd worst overall Net rating in the league at -10.9. They are awful offensively and defensively, ranking 11th and 12th respectively in those two categories.

Washington isn’t a whole lot better offensively, but they are OK defensively, ranking 8th in DNR.

Chicago has 5 wins on the season and they’ve come against the Sun, Sparks and Wings, the bottom three teams in the league along with the Sky.

We like the Mystic to bounce back after their two most recent losses and notch a big home win over the Sky early on Tuesday.

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CFL Free Bet | Toronto vs Ottawa | June 29 2025

ASA free CFL bet: Toronto Argonauts +1.5 vs. Ottawa Redblacks, 7pm ET

The Toronto Argonauts (0-3) are poised to upset the Ottawa Redblack (1-2) outright in their Week 4 CFL matchup on June 29, 2025, at TD Place Stadium.

Toronto is a desperate team at 0-3 and should be highly motivated after losing late last week on a 99-TD on a kickoff return. Toronto’s historically has dominated Ottawa—winning 7 of their last 8 meetings going back to 2022. The Argo’s have won 4 of the last five meetings in this stadium.

The Argonauts’ offense, led by QB Nick Arbuckle, averages just 20.3 points per game, but should bust-out facing a Redblacks D that allows 390YPG, 2nd most in the league.

Ottawa’s league-leading penalty count (25 for 231 yards through three games) will disrupt their rhythm, while Toronto’s defense, anchored by LB Wynton McManis, could capitalize on QB Dustin Crum’s inexperience in his second start since 2023.

The Argo’s defensive numbers aren’t great but they have faced 2 of the league’s top three offenses this season. We like Toronto to get their first win of the season as our CFL free bet today.

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CFL Free Bet | Toronto vs Saskatchewan | June 20 2025

ASA CFL play on Toronto Argonauts +3.5 vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders, 7:30pm ET

Toronto boasts a strong home record, winning 16 of their last 18 regular-season home games. Their championship experience and desperation after an 0-2 start should propel them to a win here. Despite their early struggles, the Argos’ 2024 stats—averaging 26.2 points and 367.8 yards offensively while allowing 22.4 points and 353.2 yards defensively—suggest they have the firepower to compete with Saskatchewan’s 2024 numbers of 24.8 points and 354.5 yards offensively, and 21.6 points and 339.8 yards defensively. The Roughriders’ 2-0 start in 2025 has been buoyed by luck in the turnover department, forcing five turnovers in two games. However, regression is likely, as their defense has allowed 6.3 yards per play, a vulnerability that could be exploited by Toronto’s offense and quarterback Dustin Crum and Ka’Deem Carey. Saskatchewan’s offensive efficiency (6.2 yards per play) is solid, but facing a Toronto defense that held opponents to 6.0 yards per play last year, the game could tighten up. Expect the Argos to leverage home-field advantage and cover the +3.5 spread in a close contest.

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