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ASA NFL player props for Sunday, Sept 11th

Here are 3 NFL player prop bets or NFL predictions for opening weekend

Tony Pollard Over 17.5 Rec Yards (-115) 

TB @ DAL

There have been talks of the Cowboys using Pollard as a slot receiver for the 2022 season, and the departure of Amari Cooper opens up lots of targets in Dallas. Michael Gallup is still working his way back from an ACL tear and his availability is in serious question this week. Unproven rookie WR Jalen Tolbert would be the WR2, leaving Dak Prescott in need of some playmakers in a potential shootout with a total o/u of 50.5. Pollard should be heavily involved in all aspects this week, seeing plenty of opportunities out of the backfrield and the slot. 

Justin Jefferson Under 82.5 Rec Yards (-115)

GB @ MIN

A massive season is expected from Jefferson, but he draws a steep challenge in week 1 facing one of the best secondaries in the league. Jaire Alexander will likely shadow the 3rd year WR with Eric Stokes and Rasul Douglas also taking a crack at him. In four games against Green Bay, Jefferson has averaged 70 yards per game, and that is including his explosion of 169 yards in week 10 of last year. Expect the Packers to force the ball elsewhere and make it a priority to limit his targets. 

Mitch Trubisky Over 1.5 Pass TDs (+140)

PIT @ CIN

Many experts around the league feel the Steelers offense will be sluggish in 2022, yet Trubisky has plenty of weapons at his disposal to keep up with Cincy’s high powered offense this week. Johnson, Claypool, Pickens, and Freiermuth will be valuable options for Trubisky as Pittsburg potentially plays from behind against the Super Bowl runner-ups.The Steelers O-line was horrid last year and comes into 2022 ranked 30th according to PFF, which will force them to throw the ball a ton once again. With plus odds, Trubisky is a value play to throw 2 TDs as one of our NFL predictions.

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ASA NFL free pick Packers vs. Vikings, Sept 11th

ASA NFL free pick #476 Minnesota Vikings -2 over Green Bay Packers, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET

*This NFL free pick was written up when the Vikings were a homedog and with the line swing we still like the Vikings, just less.* This is a dangerous game for Green Bay.  Their starters played very little in the preseason and QB Rodgers didn’t take a snap.  That could be a problem with WR Adams now gone and WR Lazard not likely to play.  Rodgers will be working with a very inexperience group of receivers with which he has no game time.  In a similar spot last year the Packers were smoked by New Orleans in the season opener.  The Packers are also banged up on the OLine with both starting tackles possibly out for this one.  We think Minnesota has a shot to win this division this season.  They hired O’Connell as their head coach (Rams OC last year) and he brings an offensive mindset to a team with a ton of weapons.  Minnesota has the much better WR’s with Jefferson & Theilen, TE Smith and RB Cook is now healthy.  QB Cousins is drastically under rated in our opinion.  He’s thrown for 32,000 career yards and 223 TD’s.  His interception rate has been below 2% in 3 of his last 4 seasons including last year at 1.2%.  This offense has the chance to be really good.  Last year GB traveled to Minnesota as a slight favorite and the Vikings won by 3.  Green Bay has come out of the gate slowly as of late losing 3 of their last 5 road openers.  We think they add another “L” here and Minnesota gets the win.

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Rickenbach NFL free bet Sept 11 2022

This is a solid free bet from Scott but certainly not his STRONGEST by any means. Get a TOP GAME here at ASAwins.com which is GUARANTEED with a pay after you win promise. Check it out.

Scott Rickenbach NFL free bet Sunday: Play Indianapolis Colts -7 @ Houston Texans @ 1 ET – Might seem tough to lay a full TD on the road to open up the NFL season but the Colts will be on a mission here. They lost key late-season games as big favorites against Raiders and Jaguars and then missed the post-season as a result of that. Indianapolis will not take the Texans lightly here as they do not want to make the same mistake. Look for veteran QB Matt Ryan to thrive in the Indy offense and the Colts have swept Houston each of the past two seasons and last year’s wins were by an average margin of 29.5 points each! We just need a win by more than a TD here and I fully expect Indy will get it. The Colts have a good recent history as an away favorite and the Texans have a bad recent history ATS in home openers. You saw the hunger the Bills had in the Thursday night NFL opener after their season ended in disappointing fashion last year in the post-season. The way Indianapolis ended their season so disappointingly last year and now making the QB change from Wentz to Ryan, I feel that you are going to see a similar hunger from the Colts here. Keep in mind, Ryan is thrilled to be away from a sinking Falcons franchise in Atlanta and now on a high-level playoff-caliber Indy team. All signs point to a road rout here as Houston is a disappointing 8-25 SU last two seasons and Colts were on a 20-11 SU run last two seasons before that disgusting 0-2 finish last year. This is simply a case of two teams at opposite ends of the NFL spectrum right now. This Colts team comes out with fire and wins big on the road here. Play INDIANAPOLIS -7

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POINT TRAIN WAGER – Appalachian State @ Texas A&M – Sat, 3:30PM ET

Point Train wager or free pick OVER 54-point Saturday, September 10th 2022

  • This is one of those game that one of the two teams could eclipse the total number by themselves. Did you watch Appalachian State’s defense last week versus North Carolina?
  • If you missed it UNC put up 567 yards of offense on 7.98 yards per play and 63-points.
  • App State was able to put 61-points up themselves along with 649 total yards of offense.
  • Texas A&M was 70th a year ago in total offense with 386.8YPG but that also came against a tough SEC slate of games.
  • The Aggies averaged 14.2 Yards Per Point which was 56th in the country.
  • Granted, A&M has one of the best defenses in college football, but we won’t need many points out of App State for this game to go OVER the number.
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ASA Players Prop Bills vs. Rams – Sept 8th

ASA player prop – OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS – BUFFALO BILLS WR Isaiah McKenzie +120

ASA players prop for the NFL opener on Thursday night is sleeper that the Books have whiffed on. Isaiah McKenzie is replacing Cole Beasley as the slot receiver for the Bills and should see plenty of action here. Beasley was Bills QB Josh Allen’s second favorite target behind Stefon Diggs (164 targets) with 112 targets which was 29th most in the NFL last season. The Bills were 7th in pass attempts per season a year ago and that philosophy remains the same even with a new O-coordinator in Ken Dorsey in Buffalo. The Rams were 4th in sacks a year ago so expect Allen to check down to the underneath routes which means McKenzie will get plenty of balls thrown his way in the opener. We like McKenzie to finish with 5 receptions in this showdown.

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