Tag: ASA

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New Mexico vs. UTEP Saturday Sept 17

#130 ASA PLAY ON New Mexico +2.5 over UTEP, Saturday at 8 PM ET

UTEP steps into this one with a 1-2 record and their lone win came last week 20-13 vs New Mexico State.  The Miners were outgained in that game and beaten at the line of scrummage allowing 4.7 YPC to the Aggies while gaining just 3.5 YPC.  UTEP was also +1 turnovers in the win yet NM State had the ball deep in Miner territory late with a chance to tie but fumbled on the 13 yard line.  That’s an NMSU team that has a grand total of 5 wins vs FBS teams since the start of the 2018 season.  Not an impressive effort by UTEP.  Now they are favored on the road for just the 4th time since the start of the 2016 season.  Definitely a role they are not used to.  The Miners in fact, are just 6-11 ATS the last 17 times they’ve been a road chalk.  New Mexico is 1-1 on the season and they have an extra day to prepare for this one after losing 31-14 to Boise State last Friday night.  While the offense struggled vs a very good Boise defense, we were impressed with the Lobo stop unit as they held the Broncos to 318 total yards.  In this match up last year NM held a 10 point lead at half @ UTEP and the Miners battled back for a 7 point win scoring their final TD with under 3:00 minutes remaining.  We like New Mexico to win the line of scrimmage here which will give the advantage to the underdog.  Speaking of underdog, the puppy has covered 5 of the 6 meetings in this series.  UTEP has been overvalued by the oddsmakers with an 0-3 ATS record thus far losing those games by a combined 30 points to the number.  They continued to be overvalued here as a road favorite.  We like New Mexico to win this game at home.

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NFL Player Props Chargers vs. Chiefs – Sept 15th

ASA NFL PLAYER PROPS THURSDAY NIGHT – LA Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs

Below you will find our NFL predictions for Thursday Sept 14th 2022

OVER 15.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-110) – Chiefs Edwards-Helaire – There was talk in Chiefs camp this summer about throwing more to Edwards Helaire out of the backfield as a checkdown option for Mahomes. In the opener Helaire was targeted 3 times with 3 receptions for 32 yards. Last year against the Chargers in two games he totaled 4 receptions for 27 yards but his longest was 12 yards. On the season he had 129 total yards in 10 games or 12.9 receiving yards per game. You can see our logic for yourself, it may take just 1 reception for him to get Over this number. With the added pressure of the Chargers defensive line Mahomes may be forced to throw quicker underneath making this a solid NFL player props wager.

UNDER 284.5 PASSING YARDS – LA Chargers Herbert – These two teams attempted 39.9 passes per game last season which was 2nd to Tampa Bay. KC averaged 288.5 passing yards per game, the Chargers were right behind them at 282.4PYPG. In the two meetings between these two teams last year, Herbert had 74 total attempts for 517 total yards or 258.5 passing yards per game. The Chargers will look to establish the running game here as they did in week 1 against the Raiders with 31 rush attempts which was 10th most in the openers. The Chargers and Herbert are also without their top WR in Keenan Allen in this one which will also limit the passing attack. We like this NFL player props UNDER!

RUSHING ATTEMPTS OVER 12.5 (-108) – Chargers Austin Ekeler – In an effort to keep the Chiefs potent offense off the field the Chargers game plan early on will be a heavy dose of the running game and Austin Ekeler. LAC rushed 31 times last week against the Raiders which was 10th most in the league, Ekeler had 14 of those. Last season Ekeler averaged 12.8 attempts per game in the regular season. In the two games with KC last year, he had 12 carries when he was splitting time with Justin Jackson, and 11 in the other meeting. The key to this NFL prediction winning is a close game throughout so the Chargers don’t abandon the running game.

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ASA NFL player props for Sunday, Sept 11th

Here are 3 NFL player prop bets or NFL predictions for opening weekend

Tony Pollard Over 17.5 Rec Yards (-115) 

TB @ DAL

There have been talks of the Cowboys using Pollard as a slot receiver for the 2022 season, and the departure of Amari Cooper opens up lots of targets in Dallas. Michael Gallup is still working his way back from an ACL tear and his availability is in serious question this week. Unproven rookie WR Jalen Tolbert would be the WR2, leaving Dak Prescott in need of some playmakers in a potential shootout with a total o/u of 50.5. Pollard should be heavily involved in all aspects this week, seeing plenty of opportunities out of the backfrield and the slot. 

Justin Jefferson Under 82.5 Rec Yards (-115)

GB @ MIN

A massive season is expected from Jefferson, but he draws a steep challenge in week 1 facing one of the best secondaries in the league. Jaire Alexander will likely shadow the 3rd year WR with Eric Stokes and Rasul Douglas also taking a crack at him. In four games against Green Bay, Jefferson has averaged 70 yards per game, and that is including his explosion of 169 yards in week 10 of last year. Expect the Packers to force the ball elsewhere and make it a priority to limit his targets. 

Mitch Trubisky Over 1.5 Pass TDs (+140)

PIT @ CIN

Many experts around the league feel the Steelers offense will be sluggish in 2022, yet Trubisky has plenty of weapons at his disposal to keep up with Cincy’s high powered offense this week. Johnson, Claypool, Pickens, and Freiermuth will be valuable options for Trubisky as Pittsburg potentially plays from behind against the Super Bowl runner-ups.The Steelers O-line was horrid last year and comes into 2022 ranked 30th according to PFF, which will force them to throw the ball a ton once again. With plus odds, Trubisky is a value play to throw 2 TDs as one of our NFL predictions.

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ASA NFL free pick Packers vs. Vikings, Sept 11th

ASA NFL free pick #476 Minnesota Vikings -2 over Green Bay Packers, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET

*This NFL free pick was written up when the Vikings were a homedog and with the line swing we still like the Vikings, just less.* This is a dangerous game for Green Bay.  Their starters played very little in the preseason and QB Rodgers didn’t take a snap.  That could be a problem with WR Adams now gone and WR Lazard not likely to play.  Rodgers will be working with a very inexperience group of receivers with which he has no game time.  In a similar spot last year the Packers were smoked by New Orleans in the season opener.  The Packers are also banged up on the OLine with both starting tackles possibly out for this one.  We think Minnesota has a shot to win this division this season.  They hired O’Connell as their head coach (Rams OC last year) and he brings an offensive mindset to a team with a ton of weapons.  Minnesota has the much better WR’s with Jefferson & Theilen, TE Smith and RB Cook is now healthy.  QB Cousins is drastically under rated in our opinion.  He’s thrown for 32,000 career yards and 223 TD’s.  His interception rate has been below 2% in 3 of his last 4 seasons including last year at 1.2%.  This offense has the chance to be really good.  Last year GB traveled to Minnesota as a slight favorite and the Vikings won by 3.  Green Bay has come out of the gate slowly as of late losing 3 of their last 5 road openers.  We think they add another “L” here and Minnesota gets the win.

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Rickenbach NFL free bet Sept 11 2022

This is a solid free bet from Scott but certainly not his STRONGEST by any means. Get a TOP GAME here at ASAwins.com which is GUARANTEED with a pay after you win promise. Check it out.

Scott Rickenbach NFL free bet Sunday: Play Indianapolis Colts -7 @ Houston Texans @ 1 ET – Might seem tough to lay a full TD on the road to open up the NFL season but the Colts will be on a mission here. They lost key late-season games as big favorites against Raiders and Jaguars and then missed the post-season as a result of that. Indianapolis will not take the Texans lightly here as they do not want to make the same mistake. Look for veteran QB Matt Ryan to thrive in the Indy offense and the Colts have swept Houston each of the past two seasons and last year’s wins were by an average margin of 29.5 points each! We just need a win by more than a TD here and I fully expect Indy will get it. The Colts have a good recent history as an away favorite and the Texans have a bad recent history ATS in home openers. You saw the hunger the Bills had in the Thursday night NFL opener after their season ended in disappointing fashion last year in the post-season. The way Indianapolis ended their season so disappointingly last year and now making the QB change from Wentz to Ryan, I feel that you are going to see a similar hunger from the Colts here. Keep in mind, Ryan is thrilled to be away from a sinking Falcons franchise in Atlanta and now on a high-level playoff-caliber Indy team. All signs point to a road rout here as Houston is a disappointing 8-25 SU last two seasons and Colts were on a 20-11 SU run last two seasons before that disgusting 0-2 finish last year. This is simply a case of two teams at opposite ends of the NFL spectrum right now. This Colts team comes out with fire and wins big on the road here. Play INDIANAPOLIS -7