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NASCAR PREDICTION | Go Bowling Watkins Glen | August 20th

Nascar Cup bet for the Go Bowling Watkins Glen 2023

It was a huge day for us at the track last week as we nailed Michael McDowell at +700 for a Top 3 finish at the Brickyard 200 AND had him packaged for a Top 10 finish. Today we expecting the Chevy’s to dominate in the Go Bowling at Watkins Glen.

RACE WINNER – Chase Elliot +$550 – It was a huge day for us at the track last week as we nailed Michael McDowell at +700 for a Top 3 finish at the Brickyard 200. We have been patiently waiting for this race for an opportunity to back Chase Elliott and the #9 Chevrolet. Chevy has performed exceptionally well on road courses overall and Watkins Glen is no exception. Chevy has captured the checked in four straight races at Watkins Glen and last year they had 4 of the top five finishers, which included Elliott finish 4th. Elliott and the #9 have yet to win this season but he has been fantastic on the road courses with three top 5 finishes. In the last four races on this particular track, he has finished 4th, 2nd and won twice. The #9 didn’t have a great practice run yet he is still the odds-on favorite to win this race at +550. That should tell us enough.

TOP 3 FINISHER – Kyle Larson +$140 – It was a huge day for us at the track last week as we nailed Michael McDowell at +700 for a Top 3 finish at the Brickyard 200. This is a great spot to back the Rick Hendrick #5 Chevrolet and Kyle Larson. Chevy has performed exceptionally well on road courses overall and Watkins Glen is no exception. Chevy has captured the checked in four straight races at Watkins Glen and last year they had 4 of the top five finishers, which included Larson who won. Larson has a solid track record on road courses with an average finish of 12.6. In 16 races on road courses, he has 4 wins, 7 top 5’s and 12 top 10’s. He’s won at Watkins Glen two straight years. Can he make it 3 straight? You bet he can!

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NFL Wager | Bills vs. Steelers | Aug 19th

NFL bet – POINT TRAIN WAGER Buffalo Bills @ Pittsburgh Steelers, Saturday 6:30PM EST

WAGER – BILLS 1ST HALF – ½ +105

RATING – Beer & Pizza money

·         Bills head coach has publicly stated he plans to play his starters for more than a quarter, so we know what to expect early on from Buffalo.

·         Buffalo head coach McDermott has a stellar preseason record of 12-5-1 ATS. He clearly has set a precedent for winning exhibition games.

·         The Bills are again a contender to win it all in 2023-24 and have a deep roster. Buffalo was a top offensive and defensive team a season ago ranking 2nd in total yards per game and 7th in YPG allowed.

·         Pittsburgh had solid defensive statistics a year ago ranking 12th in total DVOA but did give up 5.5 Yards Per Play which rank 20th.

·         The Steelers offense was 18th in offensive DVOA overall and lacked explosiveness, ranking near the bottom of the league in Yards Per Play at 4.9 (27th).

·         We feel this game will be a tale of two halves with the Bills winning the first half and depending on how it plays out, we would consider a bet on the Steelers in the 2nd half. Pittsburgh has a better late game QB situation with Rudolph and Trubisky fighting for the second spot behind Pickett.

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MLB Free bet | Nelly Sportsline | Aug 15th

Free pick – #969 Philadelphia Phillies (Wheeler) -110 over Toronto Blue Jays (Kikuchi) 6:07 PM CT

Enjoy this MLB free bet from Nelly today. The lack of production over the weekend for Philadelphia was shocking, scoring just one run Saturday and Sunday in losses at home following a run of ten straight games with at least four runs. The Phillies have still averaged 5.6 runs per game in August while +23 in scoring as this is an elite NL contender that has a chance to repeat as NL champions, even if will again have to come through a wild card path. Philadelphia is 40-22 since June 3 and Zack Wheeler remains one of the best pitchers in the NL. His FIP of 3.06 is the fourth best in all of MLB among qualified starters even if he isn’t getting much attention in the Cy Young race, after finishing second in 2021 for the award. Yusei Kikuchi is having his best MLB season, but his FIP is 4.52 compared to his 3.53 ERA as a lot has gone right. His home run rate remains very high and while his run of starts since the All-Star break has been excellent, it seems like a significant outlier stretch against his career numbers. The Blue Jays do have excellent relief pitching numbers in recent weeks, but the unit was taxed over the weekend getting only one start of six innings over the past four games. In the past 10 games Philadelphia has averaged 7.8 runs per nine while batting .277 vs. left-handers, while posting a 21-16 record on the season vs. left-handed starters as this should be a favorable matchup for the Phillies to deliver, after being shutdown by quality right-handers over the weekend. The Blue Jays are just 34-42 vs. winning teams this season as Toronto hasn’t looked like the serious contender most expected to see this season. 

Take advantage of Nelly’s MLB picks here at ASAwins.com!

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Nascar bets | Verizon 200 | Brickyard Indianapolis

ASA’s Nascar free bet – August 13th

TOP 3 FINISHER – Michael McDowell +$700 – This is tremendous value for the #34 Ford and McDowell who will start in the second row on today’s road course. McDowell has been one of the best in field when it comes to road courses and with the 3rd best driver rating, average running position and average finish. Front Row Motorsports easily had the best cars in the practice rounds with McDowell posting the fastest lap at 99.881mph. In the overall practice rounds the #34 was the best car on the track and we like McDowell’s chances for a Top 3 finish.

TOP 10 FINISHER – Michael McDowell -$115 – We are also planning on a small wager on the #34 car for a Top 10 finish.

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NFLx Quarterback rotations | 2023

NFL preseason Quarterback rotations by teams – by Point Train Consultants

If you are going to bet the preseason you better know who’s playing QB for both teams involved in the contest. It’s not always about the #1’s and how many reps the starters are going to get. You will also want to familiarize yourself with the 2nd and 3rd-stringer and how much playing time they are scheduled to get. Concerning all positions on the field, starters for each team will play early on, most importantly the offensive line if a starting quarterback is under center. Later in games when you have backups on the field, an athletic QB that can scramble and make plays with his feet becomes a valuable asset when wagering on exhibition games. Another important factor to give you an edge may be the experience of the reserve QB’s or if it’s an open competition for the starting job. A few teams that stand out to us with strong quarterback rotations include: Ravens, Eagles, Steelers, Colts and 49ers.

It’s not always as important who the starting QB may be for the NFLx, but who finishes the game. Spend some time researching the backup QB’s and looking at local newspaper feeds for hints on how much each quarterback is expected to play. Another solid wagering strategy in preseason using this philosophy is second-half wagering so keep that in mind also.

This is just one tool to use when it comes to handicapping the preseason and we hope it helps you make a few extra bucks before the real season starts.

AFC East

Bills: Josh Allen, Kyle Allen, Matt Barkley

Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa, Mike White, Skylar Thompson, James Blackman

Patriots: Mac Jones, Bailey Zappe, Trace McSorley, Malik Cunningham

Jets: Aaron Rodgers, Zach Wilson, Tim Boyle, Chris Streveler

AFC North

Bengals: Joe Burrow, Trevor Siemian, Jake Browning, Reid Sinnett

Browns: Deshaun Watson, Joshua Dobbs, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Kellen Mond

Ravens: Lamar Jackson, Tyler Huntley, Josh Johnson, Anthony Brown

Steelers: Kenny Pickett, Mitchell Trubisky, Mason Rudolph, Tanner Morgan

AFC South

Colts: Anthony Richardson, Gardner Minshew, Sam Ehlinger

Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence, C.J. Beathard, Nathan Rourke

Texans: C.J. Stroud, Davis Mills, Case Keenum

Titans: Ryan Tannehill, Will Levis, Malik Willis

AFC West

Broncos: Russell Wilson, Jarrett Stidham, Ben DiNucci

Chargers: Justin Herbert, Easton Stick, Max Duggan

Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes, Blaine Gabbert, Shane Buechele, Chris Oladokun

Raiders: Jimmy Garoppolo, Brian Hoyer, Aidan O’Connell, Chase Garbers

NFC East

Commanders: Sam Howell, Jacoby Brissett, Jake Fromm

Cowboys: Dak Prescott, Cooper Rush, Will Grier

Eagles: Jalen Hurts, Marcus Mariota, Tanner McKee, Ian Book

Giants: Daniel Jones, Tyrod Taylor, Tommy DeVito

NFC South

Buccaneers: Baker Mayfield, Kyle Trask, John Wolford

Falcons: Desmond Ridder, Taylor Heinicke, Logan Woodside

Panthers: Bryce Young, Andy Dalton, Matt Corral

Saints: Derek Carr, Jameis Winston, Jake Haener

NFC North

Bears: Justin Fields, PJ Walker, Nathan Peterman, Tyson Bagent

Lions: Jared Goff, Nate Sudfeld, Hendon Hooker, Adrian Martinez

Packers: Jordan Love, Sean Clifford, Danny Etling, Alex McGough

Vikings: Kirk Cousins, Nick Mullens, Jaren Hall

NFC West

49ers: Brock Purdy, Trey Lance, Sam Darnold, Brandon Allen

Cardinals: Kyler Murray, Colt McCoy, Clayton Tune, Jeff Driskel, David Blough

Rams: Matthew Stafford, Stetson Bennett, Brett Rypien, Dresser Winn

Seahawks: Geno Smith, Drew Lock, Holton Ahlers

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