Category: Freepicks

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CFL Free Bet | BC Lions vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers | June 12 2025

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ASAwins CFL play on UNDER 49.5 BC Lions at Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 8:30pm ET

We are betting UNDER in this game with our model projecting 44.7 total points as the O/U. BC has a game under their belt after 31-14 win over Edmonton last week. The Lions exploded for 28-points in the second half after putting up just 3-points at the break.

This week it’s going to be much tougher for the Lions and QB Rourke to move the ball and put up points against a Blue Bombers defense that allowed 20.3ppg in 2024, the lowest number in the CFL. Winnipeg gave up the fewest yards per game at 329.7 a year ago and are projected to be just as good on that side of the football in 2025.

The Blue Bombers will be without their starting QB Zac Collaros in the opener who is suspended for this game. Collaros led the CFL with 420 completions, 5,451 passing yards and 32 TD’s in 2024. That means the BB’s will lean on RB Oliveira, the league MOP in 2024, to carry the load offensively.

BC is solid defensively as they showed last week allowing just 14-points to Edmonton, who averaged 28ppg in 2024. The Lions allowed the 3rd fewest YPG last season and PPG at 24.4ppg.

In the three meetings last season these two teams produced 50-points, then 25 and 31. We like the trend of the two most recent meetings to continue and will be on the UNDER here!

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WNBA Free Bet | Sun vs Mystic | June 8th 2025

ASA WNBA play on Washington Mystics -7 vs. Connecticut Sun, 3pm ET

The Mystic have already beaten the Sun by 5-points in Connecticut, and we predict a much bigger margin this time around in Washington. The Mystic are getting healthy with the returns of Austin and Edwards, and with a couple days off after a loss to the Liberty, have had time to jell with the new additions. Shooting is going to be the biggest separator in this game as the Sun are 12th in team FG% at 41% overall and 12th in 3PT% at 28.8%. Making shots Sunday will be especially tough against this Mystics D that is 2nd in the WNBA in both FG% and 3PT% defense. Washington is average in terms of shooting themselves, but they face a Sun team that is last in FG% defense and 12th in 3PT% defense. The Mystic will enjoy a massive advantage on the board also with the 3rd best rebound percentage in the W compared to the Sun who rank 11th. Just 1 win separates these two teams, but the Sun are statistically far worse with a Net Rating of -19.6 compared to Washington at -5.2. We are very comfortable laying the 7-points in this one.

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NHL Free Bet | Panthers vs Leafs Game 7 | 2025 NHL Playoffs

ASA NHL play on Florida Panthers -130 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs, Game 7 7 – 7:30pm ET

The Panthers are 3-1 all-time in Game 7s, including 2-0 on the road, with notable victories against the Boston Bruins (2023) and Edmonton Oilers (2024 Stanley Cup Final). Toronto, conversely, is 12-15 in Game 7s, with a six-game losing streak in these scenarios, last winning in 2004 against Ottawa.

The experience of the Panthers who have 13 players on their roster from last season’s Game 7 win against Edmonton in the Stanley Cup. The Panthers hold a 60/40 edge in expected goals and they’ve outscored Toronto 20-16 in the series. Florida has won five straight playoff series and eight of nine, advancing to the Stanley Cup Final in each of the past two seasons.

Toronto hasn’t reached the third round in 23 years. Netminder Sergei Bobrovsky is 2-0 in Game 7s with a 1.88 GAA and .933 save percentage, including 23 saves in last season’s Cup-clinching win. Toronto’s Joseph Woll, while impressive with a Game 6 shutout, has less high-stakes experience.

We are on the Panthers with their Game 7 experience, led by Marchand, Verhaeghe, Tkachuk, and Bobrovsky, outweighs Toronto’s home advantage. Florida’s ability to dominate 5v5 play and their recent playoff pedigree make them the safer pick to advance to the Eastern Conference Final.

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Panthers vs Leafs Game 5 | NHL Playoffs 2025

ASA NHL play on Toronto Maple Leafs +120 vs. Florida Panthers, 7pm ET

The home team has won all four games and we see no reason for that trend to change now. Leaf’s netminder Joseph Woll will be in goal again tonight after an 0-2 loss in Game 3, but Woll had a .946 save percentage with 35 saves on 37 attempts. We like Toronto to rebound off that shutout loss considering they had 13 goals in the first three games of this series. The Leaf’s are 11-1 SU in their last 12 home games and were 31-15 at home this season. Florida was 23-23 on the road this season, 16-16 as a road chalk, Toronto has been a home moneyline dog just 10 times this season, winning seven of those contests. Back the home team here.

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NHL Bet | Blues vs Jets Prediction | Game 7 2025

ASA NHL Betting Prediction: St. Louis Blues +130 vs Winnipeg Jets – 7pm ET(Game 7, May 4, 2025)

The St. Louis Blues are a live underdog to upset the Winnipeg Jets in Game 7 in Winnipeg (+130 moneyline). Despite Connor Hellebuyck’s strong home play (3-0, 2.33 GAA in this series), his playoff struggles (5-11, .860 SV% over three postseasons) and a 4.22 GAA against the Blues is concerning and clearly a trend. Meanwhile, Blues Netminder Jordan Binnington (2.69 GAA, .910 SV% since February) has a proven playoff pedigree, including a 2019 Game 7 road win in Boston. The Blues, led by Robert Thomas (40 points in 26 games), have won 4 of their last 5 as underdogs and boast a battle-tested 2019 Cup core. St. Louis’ ability to exploit Winnipeg’s penalty kill (79.4%) and Hellebuyck’s postseason demons makes them a value bet and live underdog. We would also consider a NHL prediction on the OVER 5.5 goals Blues vs Jets.

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