Author: Lee Kostroski

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Free Bet | Michigan State vs USC | Sept 20 2025

ASAwins FREE BET – OVER 55: Michigan State Spartans at USC Trojans – 11 PM ET

This Big Ten showdown screams fireworks and we predict a shootout in the Coliseum late this evening. USC’s offense ranks No. 1 nationally in total yards (604 per game) and No. 2 in scoring (55 points per game), led by QB Jayden Maiava’s —989 passing yards, 6 TDs, and 0 INTs so far—while averaging a blistering 9.6 yards per play (tops in FBS).

They gashed Purdue for 460 yards without punting last week, leaving points on the table in a 33-17 win, and their 12.8 yards per pass attempt (No. 2) should provide explosive plays with WR Ja’Kobi Lane exploiting the Spartans secondary.

Michigan State’s secondary? A sieve, ranking 118th in passing yards allowed (273.3 YPG) and coughing up 25 completions per game through the air, with 5.4 yards per play surrendered overall (86th).

Flip to MSU’s side: Dual-threat QB Aidan Chiles has Sparty averaging 35.3 points per game, exploding for 42 and 41 in their last two outings behind a balanced attack (168 rushing YPG, 68th).

USC’s D, stout against the run (86.3 YPG allowed), ranks just 82nd in points allowed per play (0.4) and could bend under Chiles’ mobility.

ASA’s Models projects 62 in this Big Ten showdown.

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NFL player props | Dolphins vs Bills | Sept 18 2025

ASAwins has a couple player prop bets for you on the AFC East showdown between the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills game, Thursday September 18th. Get NFL player prop predictions weekly from the experts at ASAwins.com. Off a 1-3 Monday night but 7-3 our last 10 player prop bets.

DOLPHINS – De’Von Achane RB UNDER 12.5 rushing attempts

If this game goes as planned and the Bills jump out to a lead early, the Dolphins may have to abandon the running game. Achane has rushed for UNDER this number in 7 of his last nine games dating back to last season. He was used out of the backfield a lot against the Pats last week with 8 receptions for 92-yards. That could be the focus again Thursday, especially if the Dolphins fall behind big early.

BILLS – Joshua Palmer WR OVER 2.5 receptions

Palmer comes at a much cheaper price for his receptions total at 2.5 (-130) compared to Coleman at 2.5 (-180). Palmer has 12 targets this season, just 2 less than Coleman with 7 receptions in the Bills two games. In last weeks’ win over the Jets, the Bills barely threw the football with 27 passing attempts for 179 passing yards. Palmer averaged 2.6 receptions in 15 games with the Chargers last season.

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NFL free picks today | Panthers vs Cardinals | Sept 14 2025

ASAwins NFL Free play UNDER 18.5 Team Total Panthers

Carolina takes on the Cardinals today in Arizona and we don’t see this offense putting up many points in the desert heat. The Panthers offense averaged just 4.2 yards per play, had 255 total yards last week and 10-points against the Jaguars. Last season the Panthers averaged 20.1ppg but they had 9 of 17 games with 17 or less points in regulation. Arizona is going to be better defensively this season and haven’t forgotten the 36-points the allowed to Carolina late in the season a year ago in a 30-36 OT loss. The Cards allowed 22.3ppg in 2024, which is obviously higher than this O/U, but they also held 7 opponents to 17 or less points a year ago. Unless there is a defensive or special teams TD by the Panthers, we don’t see them getting Over 18 in this one.

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