NFL BREAKDOWNS UNDERDOGS & TOTAL POINTS – NFL Underdogs went 28-20 through first 3 weeks of the season. Average points scored in a game last year was 49.6 which was highest ever. This year so far it’s 46.8 per game
Turnovers’s IN NFL – Teams that win the TurnOver battle have covered the NFL spread at 75 to 80% clip historically. Last week teams that won TO battle were 10-1 ATS – so far this season teams that win TO battle are 32-4 ATS
Bears – Just 47 total yards last Sunday on 42 plays for BARELY 1.0 YPP in their 26-6 loss @ Cleveland. The exact number of 1.1 YPP was the 2nd LOWEST by any team in a game this century! Justin Fields was 6 for 20 and after sacks factored in the Bears had ONE NET YARD passing. The last 2 weeks he has completed just 13 of 33 pass attempts (39%). Since coming in for an injured Andy Dalton 2 weeks ago, Fields has led the Bears to just 122 total yards on 80 offensive snaps (1.5 YPP) and scored ZERO offensive TD’s. The offensive line hasn’t helped matters as the mobile Fields was sacked 9 times last Sunday and 11 times total in his 51 drop backs (21.5%) since coming in for Dalton vs Cincinnati. The Chicago offensive line now ranks dead last in the NFL in sack % allowed at over 15%.
Browns – The Browns could easily be 3-0 on the season after leading for a majority of the game @ KC before losing 33-29. They outgained the Chiefs 8.2 YPP to 65. YPP in that game. They have a YPP differential of +1.8 on the season (6.4 YPP offense / 4.6 YPP defense). Their last 2 games have been at home vs Houston & Chicago, 2 of the worst teams in the NFL. Now they travel to Minnesota where they are favored on the road. Since 2012 they have been a road favorite only 10 times or an average of once per season. They are 2-8 ATS in those games.
Buccaneers – Tom Brady was great in the Bucs 34-24 loss @ LA Rams last Sunday. He completed 41 of his 55 pass attempts (75%) for well over 400 yards. The problem is, Brady was the Bucs leading rusher with 14 yards! Tampa can’t run the ball. They rank 31st in the NFL averaging only 56 YPG on the ground. If you subtract Brady’s 20 yards rushing this year Tampa is only averaging 49 YPG. Their leading rusher, Leonard Fournette, has 92 yards rushing ON THE SEASON. The Bucs longest run this season is 10 yards. That’s it. They weren’t great on the ground last year but they did put up just over 100 YPG rushing which is nearly double their numbers after 3 games this year. If Tampa wants to make another “run” at the Super Bowl again this year, their rushing attack will have to get better quickly.
Steelers – The Steelers are now officially on a big time downward trajectory. After starting last season 11-0, they lost 5 of their last 6 games and they are now 1-2 this year. Their only win this year was an impressive one @ Buffalo but Pittsburgh was outgained by 120 yards in that game and benefited from a special teams TD. The defense has carried the offense since the start of last season but there are signs the stop unit might be headed in the wrong direction. After leading the NFL in sacks last year, they did not have a sack last week vs Cincinnati and Joe Burrow. Cincy’s offensive line allowed TEN sacks in their first 2 games so we’re not talking about a great pass blocking unit (29th in sack % allowed). TJ Watt’s injury doesn’t help matters. On offense they finished dead last in the NFL in rushing last year. They drafted RB Harris in the first round to help improve that and where do they sit after 3 games this year? Dead last again in rushing. Roethlisberger threw the ball 58 TIMES last week and he’s way to old and immobile to be doing that on a regular basis and have success doing so. With the Steelers offense scoring only 4 offensive TD’s in 3 games this year and the defense possibly not elite, this team is in trouble.
49ers – The Niners lost a heart break on Sunday night to the Packers as Aaron Rodgers took GB 42 yards in 37 seconds to get them in position for the game winning FG. Green Bay dominated the stats averaging 6.0 YPP while holding San Fran to only 4.6 YPP. It was the 2nd straight game the 49ers were whipped in the stat sheet. A week earlier they allowed Philadelphia to gain 6.1 YPP while averaging only 4.5 YPP themselves. The defense held the Eagles to 11 points in that game despite the fact Philly crossed midfield on 6 of their 8 possessions. There are some red flags with the SF defense. Back to back games allowing 6.0+ YPP and now they are really banged up in the defensive backfield. They lost a few more CB’s to injury last week and as of this writing they have only 4 healthy corners on the roster. One of those players is coming back from injury (Moseley) and two were not even on the active roster vs Green Bay.
Jaguars – After last week’s loss to Arizona, the Jags have now lost 18 games in a row dating back to last year’s season opener. They are 6-12 ATS in those 18 losses. The 1976 Tampa Bay Bucs has record for most consecutive losses at 26. As you can see earlier in this report, teams that lose the TO battle have very little chance of covering. Jacksonville is dead last in the NFL in TO margin (-2.7 TO’s per GAME!) and they are 0-3 ATS this season. A big red flag with this team is they scored 2 non-offensive TD’s each of the last 2 weeks and still didn’t cover. Teams that score a non-offensive TD historically are a strong bet to cover the game.
Colts – Indy was only team that had a +TO margin last week and lost and they were +3! Not only did they lose vs Tennessee, they lost 25-16 AND they were outgained by 1.1 YPP. Now they travel to Miami for their 2nd straight road game. Game time temps in Miami projected to be around 85 degrees with 70% humidity which would mean a heat index in the mid 90’s which could be tough for a Midwest team. After traveling to Miami this team then hits the road again going to Baltimore for their 3rd straight roadie. Tough situation for a team that is really banged up right now (2 starting offensive linemen potentially out, top WR out, and one of their top pass rushers possibly out) and already 0-3 on the season.
Chiefs – With Sunday’s ATS (and SU) loss vs the Chargers, the Chiefs are now 1-12-1 ATS their last 13 games dating back to last November. It was the 2nd straight season the Chiefs lost outright at home vs the Chargers as a favorite of -6.5 this year and -10 last season. The KC defense actually looked a bit better in the loss allowing LA to gain “only” 5.8 YPP after coming into the game giving up 7.6 YPP in their first 2 games (last in the NFL). They still rank last in the NFL after 3 games allowing 7.0 YPP. The offense turned the ball over on each of their first 3 possession last week leading to 2 quick Charger TD’s. 3 of KC’s 4 TO’s directly led to 21 of LA’s 30 points.
Broncos – How good is this Denver team? We’re just not sure yet. They are 3-0 with the best point differential in the NFL (+5) but they’ve also played Have played 3 teams this year that are a combined 0-9 SU (Jets, Jags, Giants). The defense has been great giving up a league low 26 points through 3 games along with ranking 2nd in the NFL in total defense and YPP allowed. The 3 offenses aren’t great to say the least with each ranking 24th or lower in scoring. Starting QB Bridgewater leads the NFL completing almost 77% of his pass attempts and he’s been an ATS monster covering 73% of his careers starts (38-14 ATS). Broncos are banged up on the OLine (2 starters left game last week and did not return) and at WR (Jeudy and Hamler out). We’ll find out more about this team on Sunday when they host Baltimore.
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ASA NBA free play Minnesota Timberwolves ML -185 vs Denver Nuggets, 9:30PM ET I’m going to trust my eyes in this one and think the T’Wolves are the better team right now and the Nuggets don’t have the depth to compete here. LACK OF DEPTH The Nuggets won last year’s Championship but had depth with… Read more: NBA Playoff Free Bet | May 10th 2024 | Nuggets vs Wolves
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ASA FREE play on: NY Knicks ML (-140) vs. Philadelphia 76ers, 6PM ET The 76ers with Joel Embiid barely survived against the Heat in the Play-In game and if it weren’t for a 3-point barrage by Batum (6) they wouldn’t be here right now. Embiid did not look good and is clearly out of shape… Read more: NBA FREE BET | 76ers vs Knicks | April 20, 2024
ASA’s NBA FREE PLAYER PROP BET – OVER 23.5 POINTS CJ MCCOLLUM – Pelicans CJ McCollum is coming off a horrendous shooting game versus the Lakers going 4 of 15 from the field. It wasn’t an issue throughout the game as his teammate Zion Williamson was scoring at will with 40-points prior to getting hurt.… Read more: NBA Free Player Prop Bet | Friday, April 19th
ASA NBA free bet on Phoenix Suns (-) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 10PM ET Scheduling has a lot to do with this NBA free prediction as the Cavs are in a tough spot here having played in Utah last night. Not only that, but the Cavaliers are playing their 3rd game in four days and 4th… Read more: NBA free prediction | Cleveland Cavaliers vs Phoenix Suns | 4-3-24
ASA free NBA bet on: BOSTON CELTICS -7 1ST HALF vs ATLANTA HAWKS – 7PM ET If you have been betting the Celtics in the 1st half this this you have basically been printing money. Boston is 52-18 ATS in the first halves of games this season The Cetlics Average Point Differential in the 1st… Read more: NBA Free Prediction | Celtics vs Hawks | 3-25-24
ASA NBA free pick on LA Clippers -6 at Chicago Bulls, 8PM ET We are on the Clippers as our NBA free bet for Thursday. The Clippers are coming off an ugly home loss to the T’Wolves on Tuesday night and look to get back into the win column at the Bulls expense. Chicago played… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Clippers vs Bulls | 3-14-24
ASA Free NBA bet on OVER 236 Milwaukee Bucks at Sacramento Kings, 10PM ET These two teams met in Milwaukee in mid-January and produced 285 total points in OT. The oddsmakers had set an O/U number of 247 on that game. Both teams shot 52% overall, and 41% (Kings), 47% (Bucks) from beyond the arc… Read more: NBA Free Bet | March 12th 2024 | Bucks vs Kings prediction
#688 ASA PLAY ON Wake Forest -3.5 over Clemson, Saturday at 6 PM ET Free college bet today from ASA. An absolute must win here for Wake at home and they are squarely on the bubble and out right now by most bracketologists. A loss here would most likely end their dreams of getting invited… Read more: Free College Basketball Bet | 3-9-24 | Wake Forest vs Clemson
ASA FREE play on Golden State Warriors -4 vs. Milwaukee Bucks, 10PM ET **ONLY IF GIANNIS IS OUT TONIGHT** The NBA free pick today. This line is telling us Giannis will not be in the lineup for the Bucks tonight which means we will back the Warriors at home minus the points. The Bucks have… Read more: NBA Free Bet | 3-6-24 | Bucks vs Warriors
Free pick today from ASA – Georgia +3 over Florida – Saturday at 1 PM ET These same 2 teams played a few weeks ago @ Florida and Gators won in OT and Gators were +8 FT’s made yet still almost lost. There is a big difference in home/road splits as Florida is 2-4 SU on the road… Read more: Free College Bet today – Georgia vs. Florida, 2-17-24
#718 ASA PLAY ON Rutgers vs Northwestern Prediction, Thursday at 6:30 PM ET ASA BET: RUTGERS -3.5 vs Northwestern – Rutgers is peaking right now to say the least having won 3 in a row, 2 of those wins on the road, and in their most recent game on Saturday they rolled Wisconsin, one of… Read more: Free College Basketball Bet | 2/15/24 | Rutgers vs Northwestern
ASA’s Free NBA play on OVER 228.5 Boston Celtics at Brooklyn Nets, 7:30PM ET Tonight, we will bet the OVER in this Eastern Conference showdown. The Celtics are going to get to 120+ in this game as they average that number on the season. Boston is #1 in the league in offensive efficiency at 1.213-points… Read more: NBA Free Pick Today | Celtics vs Nets | 2-13-24
#692 ASA Free pick ON Florida +2 over Auburn, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET Auburn is in a potential flat spot here after getting their revenge over in state rival Bama earlier this season. They did just that earlier this year after losing @ Alabama in late January the Tigers turned around and lost again… Read more: Florida vs Auburn Prediction | 2-10-24 | Free Bet today
ASA NBA FREE BETS or NBA PICKS – PLAYER PROP BETS FOR FEBRUARY 3RD, 2024 ASA Player Prop – Khris Middleton Milwaukee Bucks OVER 19.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS We will start with the Vegas betting lines on this game and the Over/Under which is set at 246. That tells us this is potentially going to be a… Read more: NBA Free picks | Bucks vs Mavs | Warriors vs Hawks | 2-3-24
ASA Free Bet – Utah Jazz UNDER 122.5 Team Total The Jazz average 117PPG at home on the season and recently put up 120-total points in a game against this Sixers team in Philly. In the earlier meeting between these two teams the Jazz shot 58% overall which is WELL above their season average of… Read more: NBA free bet | 76ers vs Jazz prediction | Feb 1st
ASA FREE NBA BET on Miami Heat -3 vs Phoenix Suns, 7:30PM ET This is the ‘fishy’ line of the day as the Heat are favored despite losing 6-straight games against a Suns team that is 7-2 SU their last nine games. The scheduling advantage for the Heat is clear as they are rested for… Read more: NBA Prediction or FREE BET | Suns vs Heat | Jan 29th 2024
ASA play on Toronto Raptors +7 at Atlanta Hawks, 6PM The Atlanta Hawks shouldn’t be laying this many points to anyone in the NBA not named the Pistons, Spurs, Wizards or Hornets. This team is lacking effort on the defensive end of the court that is obvious to a casual observer, let alone statisticians. For… Read more: NBA free bet | 1-28-24 | Raptors vs Hawks prediction
ASA’s NBA Player Prop Bets for Saturday, January 27th, 2024 We had an incredible +50-Net unit season picking NBA player props last season and are now at a point in this season where we have enough data to start producing more bets on a regular basis. We will offer some free betting advice here on… Read more: NBA Prop Bets | 1-27-24 | Free NBA picks
ASA player props and free bet January 28th BALTIMORE RAVENS – LAMAR JACKSON OVER 10.5 RUSHING ATTEMPTS Jackson’s rushing total would be an easy write up but last week his rushing total was 55.5. This is easily the highest rushing total he’s had in the last ten games…so no value whatsoever. We like Over his… Read more: NFL predictions | 1/28/24 | Player Props and Free bet
ASA play on OVER 237.5 Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacer, 7PM ET Tonight the Philadelphia 76ers travel to Indiana to take on the Pacers. This number hasn’t been set high enough and the bet to make is on the Over the Total. Indiana just faced a Nuggets team that plays much slower than the 76ers… Read more: Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers Prediction | 1/25/24
ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 13.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS – Harrison Barnes – Sacramento Kings Barnes is facing an Indiana team that allows the most points to Scoring Forwards in the NBA at 25.8PPG. This will be a faster paced game with plenty of possessions for both teams which means more opportunities for a big stat line… Read more: NBA Player Prop Bets | 1/18/24 | Free Bets
ASA free play on #503 Milwaukee Bucks -4 @ Cleveland Cavaliers, 7:40PM ET The Cavs have won 5 straight games, but they’ve come against 19-23 Bulls, 16-23 Nets, 7-32 Spurs and two wins against the 7-32 Wizards. So, let’s not be fooled by this current Cavaliers stretch of wins. The Bucks on the other hand… Read more: NBA free bet | Wednesday 1/17/24 | Bucks vs Cavs
#141/142 ASA PLAY ON Over 44.5 Points – Cleveland Browns vs Houston Texans, Saturday at 4:30 PM ET These 2 met in Houston a few weeks ago and the total was set at 40.5 as Texans QB Stroud was injured and not able to play in that one. Despite that, Houston still put up 22… Read more: NFL Wild Card Free Bet – Cleveland Browns @ Houston Texans – Saturday, Jan 13
ASA’s NBA FREE BET play on Memphis Grizzlies +1 vs Atlanta Hawks, 7:40PM ET The Grizzlies are significantly better with Ja Morant on the floor as evidenced by their two wins with him back in the lineup. Today they face a Hawks team off a game last night in Miami. Atlanta is 5-13 SU their… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Grizzlies vs Hawks prediction | Dec 23rd
ASA’s FREE NFL play on UNDER 40.5 Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals, Saturday 1PM ET NFL free bet from ASA on Saturday, December 16th. The Bengals w/Jake Browning under center scoring-fest is about to come crashing back down to earth this week when he faces this Vikings defense. Minnesota just pitched a shutout in Las… Read more: NFL free bet | Vikings vs Bengals prediction | December 16
ASA free play on: UNDER 137 George Mason at Tennessee, 6:30PM ET The Volunteers are one of the very best defensive teams in college basketball under HC Barnes year in and year out and this season is no different. UT ranks 2nd in defensive efficiency ratings allowing .903 points per possession despite playing the 6th… Read more: Free bet | George Mason vs Tennessee prediction | Dec 5th
ASA play on: #306568 Vermont -1.5 vs. Yale, 7PM ET Vermont enjoys a key advantage in this game with the 30th best shooting offense in the country. The Catamounts hit 47% of their FG attempts (30th), 36.4% of their 3-point attempts (40th) and make on average 13 3-pointers per game which is 13th most in the nation.… Read more: Free College Basketball bet | Vermont vs Yale | Dec 2nd
#310 ASA FREE PLAY ON Texas TEAM TOTAL Over 34.5 Points (vs Oklahoma State), Saturday at 12 PM ET There are some 35’s and 35.5’s posted as well but 34.5 is still available as some sportsbooks. We like the Longhorns to score at least 35 points in this game so we’re taking Texas OVER their… Read more: Free Bet | Oklahoma State vs Texas Prediction | Dec 2
ASA’s 2 NBA Players Prop bets in the NBA for Monday, November 27th WASHINGTON WIZARDS TYUS JONES – OVER 11.5 POINTS Jones is coming off a 4-point outing against the Hawks but should get right in this match up versus the Pistons. Jones is averaging 10.8PPG over his last ten games but in three of… Read more: NBA Prop Bets – Monday, Nov 27th
ASA play on: UNDER 48 Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans – 12:00 PM CT This is a big game for the potential winner in the AFC South with the Jags holding a 1-game lead in the standings, but the Texans beat the Jags earlier in the season. The first meeting had a total of 43.5… Read more: Free NFL bet | Jaguars vs Texans prediction | Nov 26th 2023
#203 ASA PLAY ON Washington State +16 over Washington, Saturday at 4 PM ET As we’ve stated the last few weeks, this Washington team is primed to get upset. We are on Oregon State last week and while the Huskies won by 2 points, OSU won the stat sheet with more first downs, more yardage,… Read more: Free bet | Washington State +16 vs Washington | Nov 25
#116 ASA FREE PLAY ON Boston College +10 over Miami FL, Friday at 12 PM ET We expect Miami to be flat for this one. They just put all of their physical and emotional effort into the last 2 weeks vs the top 2 teams in the ACC, FSU & Louisville. The Canes lost both… Read more: Free Bet | Boston College vs Miami Fl prediction | Nov 24th
Point Train free bet on November 18th – Pac 12 UNDER 46.5 Utah vs. Arizona – 2:30PM ET PAC 12 – UNDER 46.5 UTAH/ARIZONA – The Pac 12 feature some of the highest scoring offenses in the country with USC, Oregon, Washington and Oregon State all top 15 when it comes to PPG. These two teams… Read more: FREE PAC12 BET | Utah vs Arizona prediction | Point Train
NFL 6-POINT TEASER BET – Baltimore Ravens -.5 / Tennessee Titans +8.5 Baltimore is the #1 ranked DVOA team in the NFL with the 4th ranked offense and 2nd ranked defense and have the best overall scoring differential in the NFL at +12.8PPG. The Ravens have been even better at home with an average +/-… Read more: NFL Free Bet | 6-Point Teaser | Ravens + Titans
#156 ASA PLAY ON Georgia State -2 over App State, Saturday at 2 PM ET Free bet today or Georgia State vs App State prediction. Value here with GSU coming of 2 losses vs Ga Southern & JMU while App State is off 2 home wins vs low tier conference teams USM and Marshall. App… Read more: Free bet | Georgia State vs App State prediction | Nov 11
ASA PLAY ON: UNDER 19.5 TOTAL POINTS 1ST HALF – RAMS @ PACKERS 1PM ET The Packers’ first half struggles are well documented as they are one of the slowest starting teams in the NFL. Going in reverse order the Packers first half points have been: 3, 0, 3, 3 and 0 in their past… Read more: FREE NFL BET – Nov 5th – Rams vs Packers prediction
ASA play on UNDER 46.5 POINTS Chicago Bears @ LA Chargers – 8:20PM ET Despite money and tickets flowing in on the Over in this game the line has trended down from 48 and currently sits at 46.5. Scoring continues to be down in the NFL this season with games averaging 43.4PPG. Unders are hitting… Read more: NFL Bears vs Chargers prediction – Oct 29th
ASA play on: #162 Colorado State +14 vs. Air Force, 7:00PM ET We are on the home dog here with the Rams plus the points in this rivalry as our free bet. The points are a premium here with the oddsmakers projecting around 46 total points being scored. Air Force has played three road games… Read more: Free Bet – Air Force vs. Colorado State – Oct 28th
ASA NBA Player Prop bet – OVER 10.5 POINTS – Ivica Zubac – LA Clippers Zubac is coming off a solid 20-point game in the Clippers opener against the Blazers and while we doubt he’ll get to 20 tonight, we do expect him to eclipse 11. Against the Blazer Zubac had 10 field goal attempts… Read more: NBA free bet – Ivica Zubac – Player Prop Oct 27th
NBA free bet on: Philadelphia 76ers +6 at Milwaukee Bucks, 7:30PM ET ASA’s 76ers vs. Bucks prediction. Clearly this is a big marquee match up of two of the favorites to come out of the Eastern Conference this season and both have made big news in the offseason. The Bucks made a blockbuster trade and… Read more: Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction – Oct 26th
ASA NBA PLAYER PROP – OVER 16.5 POINTS+ASSIST – Dennis Schroder – Toronto Raptors The Raptors host the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight and we expect a big game from the Raptors’ new starting PG Dennis Schroder. Toronto brought in the veteran Schroder to shore up their backcourt after losing Fred VanVleet in the offseason. He is… Read more: NBA Player Prop – Dennis Schroder – Toronto Raptors
NBA PLAYER PROP – OVER 38.5.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS – LEBRON JAMES – LAKERS Tonight we tip off the season with a NBA Player Prop bet on LeBron James. With this being the first game of the season, we know LBJ will dress and play tonight, which may not be the case in any random regular season… Read more: NBA Player Prop bet Oct 24th | LeBron James
NFL FREE BET #462 ASA PLAY ON NY Giants +3 over Washington Commanders, Sunday at 1 PM ET Giants are coming off a solid outing @ Buffalo giving the Bills all they could handle last week in a 14-9 loss. NY outgained Buffalo in the game and had the ball 1st and goal at the Bills… Read more: Commanders vs Giants prediction – Oct 22nd
FREE BET #377/378 ASA PLAY ON Over 48 Points – Nevada vs San Diego State, Saturday at 9 PM ET Our free bet or free pick today is on this Total between the Wolfpack and Aztecs. Neither offense has been high scoring or dynamic this season which is why this total is low. However, let’s… Read more: Nevada vs San Diego State prediction – Oct 21st 2023
ASA free bet on: #257/258 OVER 45 Seattle Seahawks at Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday 1PM ET You should check the weather before betting this Over, but if the wind isn’t as bad as they are predicting this O/U number will move up dramatically. We have an opportunity to buy low here on the Bengals offense that… Read more: Seahawks vs Bengals Prediction – Sunday, Oct 15th 2023
POINT TRAIN FREE BET – OKLAHOMA STATE +3 over Kansas – 2:30PM CT You can bet the Cowboys head coach Mike Gundy has pointed out to his team that they are underdogs at home to perennial Big 12 doormat Kansas today. Granted, KU is not the team of the past and head coach Leipold has… Read more: Kansas vs. Oklahoma State prediction – Oct 14th 2023
ASA free bet on: #142 South Carolina -2 vs Florida, 3:30PM ET South Carolina is in a good situation here coming off a bye week and playing with revenge from a blowout loss a year ago to Florida 6-38. The big difference between these two teams on paper is their defenses as the Gators rank… Read more: Florida vs South Carolina bet | Saturday, Oct 14th 2023 |
ASA’s DENVER BRONCOS vs KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-10.5) [47] NFL PLAYER PROP BETS – OVER 26.5 RUSHING + RECEIVING YARDS – Jerick McKinnon – KC Chiefs Denver’s defense is historically bad. Worse than the 2017 Browns team that went 0-16 and the 2008 Lions team that also went 0-16 through the first 5 games of… Read more: NFL free pick Broncos vs Chiefs – Oct 12th 2023
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NBA Championships based on Math! By – ASA So, you’re thinking about a future wager on the NBA Championship and you’re not sure who to take? We can help you with some proven statistics that may accurately predict who this year’s Champion may be… Read more: NBA Finals Prediction – Efficiency Champion – 4/19/24
NFL Playoff Futures Bets to Make – By Point Train Consulting Odds offered at Draftkings.com MOST PASSING YARDS IN THE PLAYOFFS NFC QUARTERBACKS Dak Prescott +360 Brock Purdy +700 Jared Goff +750 Baker Mayfield +1600 Jalen Hurts +1700 Matt Stafford +2200 Jordan Love +3000… Read more: NFL Playoff Future Bet – Passing Leaders – Point Train Consulting
NBA Future Bets – Oct 23rd If you’re looking for a few NBA Over-Under wagers or Future bets for the upcoming season, you’ve come to the right place. ASA is coming off a banner season in the NBA, one of their best in 30+… Read more: NBA Future Bets – 2023-24 – By ASA
BIG 10 Betting Notes from Games played on SEPTEMBER 2nd – By ASA NEBRASKA vs MINNESOTA (13-10 MINNESOTA WIN) – Minnesota scored 10 points in final 3:00 minutes to win by 3 / Nebraska with 4 turnovers – one in the endzone going into… Read more: Big 10 Betting Breakdown | Sept 2nd Recaps
NFC EAST Prediction on the Washington Commanders Over 6.5 Wins in 2023 NFL WIN TOTAL – OVER 6.5 WINS WASHINGTON COMMANDERS +110 The number on the Commanders opened at 7.5 wins at several shops (even 8.5 at a few) but was bet down to… Read more: NFC East prediction | Washington Commanders Over 6.5 Wins
NFC NORTH Prediction – Chicago Bears UNDER 7.5 TOTAL WINS – By ASA NFL WIN TOTAL – UNDER 7.5 WINS CHICAGO BEARS -122 The oddsmakers have set the Bears O/U win total at more than twice their number of wins from a season ago… Read more: NFC North Prediction | Bears Win Total
NFC SOUTH Prediction UNDER 7.5 WINS Carolina Panthers – Sept 5th 2023 – By ASA NFL WIN TOTAL – UNDER 7.5 WINS CAROLINA PANTHERS -115 This is my least-liked NFL win total projection but in my opinion it’s the best of the NFC South.… Read more: NFC South Prediction | Panthers Win Total
Seattle Seahawks Prediction UNDER 9.5 WINS | NFC WEST | August 31st ASA’s NFL WIN TOTAL – UNDER 9.5 WINS SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -155 Again, you will want to shop for the best Under number on the Seahawks or consider betting an alternate number with… Read more: Seattle Seahawks Prediction | NFC West | Total Wins
NFL AFC South prediction on the Tennessee Titans NFL WIN TOTAL – TENNESSEE TITANS OVER 7.5 WINS +115 This AFC South prediction is arguably our toughest call on an NFL team’s win total for the season. We will touch on the questions surrounding the… Read more: AFC South Prediction | Titans Win Total Bet | Aug 28th
NFL Prediction on the LA Chargers and how many games they’ll win in 2023 AFC WEST ASA’s NFL WIN TOTAL UNDER 9.5 WINS LA CHARGERS +110 The Chargers face the rest of the AFC West twice which features Kansas City, Denver and Las Vegas.… Read more: AFC West Prediction | Chargers Win Total Bet | Aug 21st
Nascar Cup bet for the Go Bowling Watkins Glen 2023 It was a huge day for us at the track last week as we nailed Michael McDowell at +700 for a Top 3 finish at the Brickyard 200 AND had him packaged for a… Read more: NASCAR PREDICTION | Go Bowling Watkins Glen | August 20th
ASA’s Nascar free bet – August 13th TOP 3 FINISHER – Michael McDowell +$700 – This is tremendous value for the #34 Ford and McDowell who will start in the second row on today’s road course. McDowell has been one of the best in… Read more: Nascar bets | Verizon 200 | Brickyard Indianapolis
NFL preseason Quarterback rotations by teams – by Point Train Consultants If you are going to bet the preseason you better know who’s playing QB for both teams involved in the contest. It’s not always about the #1’s and how many reps the starters… Read more: NFLx Quarterback rotations | 2023
AFC EAST NFL WIN TOTAL – NY JETS UNDER 9.5 +140 Clearly the big offseason acquisition by the Jets was QB Aaron Rodgers which has New York in a frenzy and anointed as a Super Bowl contender. The reality is that this team had… Read more: AFC East betting prediction | NY Jets Total Wins
AFC North Cleveland Browns Over 9.5 Wins AFC NORTH NFL WIN TOTAL – Cleveland Browns OVER 9.5 +120 We like the value in the Over-Under number as the Cleveland Browns win total projections a year ago was this same number of 9.5. That number… Read more: AFC North betting prediction | Cleveland Browns Total Wins
ASA Nascar predictions for the Cook Out 400 – Sunday, July 30th 2023 Last week we narrowly missed a nice Nascar Cup underdog bet Top 3 winner with Kevin Harvick who finished 4th overall. We could see it coming as the #45 car of… Read more: Nascar Cup Cook Out 400 – Richmond, VA
ASA breaks down the Pocono Raceway Highpoint 400 Sunday, July 23rd This weekend the Cup series heads to Pocono Raceway and the Highpoint 400. Also known as the Tricky Triangle, this superspeedway is a 2.5-mile, triangular flat track. Last year here, Denny Hamlin won… Read more: Nascar Cup Highpoint 400 predictions
ASA’s Expert Horse race bettor has a preview of the Kentucky Derby – DON’T MISS HIS RACE DAY REPORT! #1 – HIT SHOW – 30/1 – He’ll be the biggest overlay in the Kentucky Derby off this morning line. Hit Show has never been… Read more: Kentucky Derby Race Report – Every horse breakdown
ASA has produced a MASSIVE NBA Player Prop season with a 107-73 record between pay & free picks ASA play on OVER 25.5 POINTS – Anthony Davis – LA Lakers The Lakers center should be inline for a big game against the Suns who… Read more: NBA Player Prop Bets – Wednesday, March 22nd
ASA MLB Future Bets for 2023 How about we wet your appetite for the upcoming MLB season with a few future predictions. After running our algorithm’s through our computer projections we have come up with the following MLB predictions for the 2023 season. World… Read more: MLB Future Bets – 2023
#635 ASA FREE PLAY ON North Texas +4 over Florida Atlantic, Saturday at 2 PM ET A battle of the 2 best teams in CUSA on Saturday afternoon. These 2 just met a few weeks ago and FAU pulled the upset winning 50-46. Both… Read more: College Basketball free bet – Jan 14th
ASA NFL PLAYER PROPS – Jan 1st 2022 Leonard Fournette (Buccaneers) Over 27.5 Rec Yards (Even) Lenny had his best performance in quite some time last week, putting up 9 catches for 90 yards as the Bucs top receiver. Tom Brady was strictly looking… Read more: NFL PLAYER PROP BETS – Jan 1
ASA’s NBA Player Props are off to INSANE 29-12 START! ASA Player Prop UNDER 1.5 MADE 3-POINTERS – Nikola Vucevic – Chicago Bulls Vucevic averages 1.52 made 3PT’s on the season which is clearly slightly higher than tonight’s Over/Under. He has failed to make… Read more: NBA Player Props Dec 2nd
ASA’s NFL player props for Sunday November 20th Darnell Mooney Over 44.5 Rec Yards (-114) Chicago has turned their offense around thanks to the rushing ability of Justin Fields. This has helped Mooney see more single coverage, allowing him to surpass his yardage total… Read more: NFL Player Props – Nov 20th
ASA NBA Future MVP wagers as of Nov 18th. If you are a bettor that likes to invest in NBA futures here are a couple wagers to consider for league MVP. We are sticking with a pair of our preseason predictions but have added… Read more: NBA MVP Winners and Losers – Nov 18th
ASA 4 NFL Player Props for Sunday, October 30th 2022 Miami Dolphins – Jaylen Waddle Over 64 Rec Yards (-119) Last week Waddle turned 4 catches into 88 yards with only 5 targets. Detroit is giving up roughly 250 passing yards per game this… Read more: NFL Player Prop Bets – Oct 30th – By ASA
Below are three NFL player props for Sunday, October 23rd – By ASAwins Cleveland Browns – David Njoku Over 37.5 Rec Yards (-114) We are going “back to the well”, riding Njoku once more this week. He has had 58 or more yards in… Read more: NFL Player Props Oct 23rd – ASA
ASA’s NBA predictions Total Win bet, Futures and NBA wagers! NBA predictions 2022-23 By ASAwins Let’s break down the NBA and get our Future Bets or NBA predictions made before the season tips off on Tuesday. First off, we are coming off a record-breaking… Read more: NBA predictions by ASA for 2022-23
NFL Player Props for Week 5 in the NFL – ASA Kenny Pickett Over 18.5 Rush Yards (-115) Last week Pickett rushed for 15 yards on 6 carries, also punching in 2 rushing touchdowns. Additionally, the rookie from Pitt threw 3 Ints on his… Read more: NFL Player Props for Oct 9th
NFL player prop bets for Thursday, Sept 22nd 2022 KAREEM HUNT – OVER 16.5 RECEIVING YARDS – Hunt had 16 receiving yards last week against the Jets and 24 the week before versus Carolina. Dating back to last season he has averaged 23-receiving yards… Read more: NFL Player Props Thursday NFL Steelers vs. Browns
Las Vegas Raiders – Darren Waller Over 51.5 Rec Yards (-110) The Cardinals were torched in week 1 by Patrick Mahomes for 360 yards, and Las Vegas now gets a crack at that same Arizona defense. Last week, Waller had 4 recs for 79… Read more: NFL Player Prop bets from ASA on Sept 18th
ASA NFL PLAYER PROPS THURSDAY NIGHT – LA Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Below you will find our NFL predictions for Thursday Sept 14th 2022 OVER 15.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-110) – Chiefs Edwards-Helaire – There was talk in Chiefs camp this summer about throwing… Read more: NFL Player Props Chargers vs. Chiefs – Sept 15th
Here are 3 NFL player prop bets or NFL predictions for opening weekend Tony Pollard Over 17.5 Rec Yards (-115) TB @ DAL There have been talks of the Cowboys using Pollard as a slot receiver for the 2022 season, and the departure of… Read more: ASA NFL player props for Sunday, Sept 11th
2022 BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS Ohio State -225 Michigan +700 Wisconsin +1200 Penn State +1400 Nebraska +2000 Iowa +2000 Minnesota +2500 Michigan State +2500 Purdue +3000 Maryland +15000 Illinois +20000 Indiana +25000 Rutgers +30000 Northwestern +30000 Ohio State (11-2 LY) is the Big Ten favorite for a reason. They didn’t win it last season so expect them to… Read more: ASA Big Ten Predictions 2022
POINT TRAIN PREDICTIONS – all odds found at FanDuel NFC WINNER – Green Bay Packers +500 The Packers have rolled to an impressive 39-10 regular season record the last 3 seasons which is the best mark in the NFL over that time period. The… Read more: Point Train NFL Predictions – 2022-23
By ASA – Green Bay Packers Total Win Prediction 2022 – OVER 10.5 WINS Did you know Green Bay has the 2nd most overall victories at 782 in league history? The Packers are going to add to that win total this season with 11… Read more: Green Bay Packers Total Win prediction 2022
Be sure to check out all the winning options ASA has to offer you this football season. Let over 60 combined years of handicapping experience work for you this year. MORE INFO HERE… ASA – OVER 6.5 WINS Detroit Lions 2022 The schedule is… Read more: ASA Detroit Lions Wins prediction – 2022
ASA’s NFL PRE-SEASON HALL OF FAME GAME PREVIEW LINE – Opened Las Vegas -1 and has been bet up to -2.5. Total opened 33.5 and has been pushed down to 30.5 JACKSONVILLE JAGUAR NOTES – Starting QB Trevor Lawrence and back up Beathard will… Read more: ASA – NFL Hall of Fame Game – Aug 4, 2022
#10 Zandon at 3/1 odds Who’d thought after the Blue Grass win, he’d be the morning line favorite in the Kentucky Derby at 3/1! I texted a buddy a few weeks back and said you think Zandon will be less than 9/1 come Kentucky… Read more: Kentucky Derby bet 2022
ASA’s BIG TEN REPORT – for games on September 27th **Current Lines listed are as of Wednesday** WESTERN MICHIGAN @ OHIO STATE – Current Line OHIO STATE (-31) – Opening Line (-27) OSU’s offense is in a rut right now. After racking up 45… Read more: ASA | BIG TEN FOOTBALL | Sept 26th, 2015
Big Ten Preview for Week #3 (Sept 19th) – Board Games Only… UNLV @ MICHIGAN – OPENING LINE – No line – No opener on this game as UNLV’s starting QB Decker is questionable with a hamstring injury. Decker was injured late in the… Read more: ASA’s BIG TEN REPORT – Sept 19th
Big Ten Preview for Saturday, Sept 12 – Board Games Only… OREGON @ MICHIGAN STATE – OPENING LINE MICHIGAN STATE (-3.5) – These two faced off last year in Eugene and Oregon (-13) pulled away in the 2nd half for a 46-27 win. The… Read more: ASA’s BIG TEN REPORT – Saturday, Sept 12
The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwin or ASA), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 55+ years in the sports betting industry. Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s. After learning the handicapping trade from one of the oldest in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since. They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year. They have posted a winning record on Top Games in 18 of their 25 football seasons giving them the much-earned reputation as the top BIG GAME HANDICAPPERS in the country. ASA is located in Madison, WI and a foundation of their handicapping prowess revolves around the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten.
ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few. They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season.
ASAwins handicapping methods have evolved through years of with hard work and research being the anchor of their success. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections. They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping. That’s not where they stop, however. They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest). On top of that, they analyze each pointspread (and their movements) comparing them with their own power ratings to find where an edge might be found. Lastly, their predictive analytics or math models predict the outcomes of games based solely on numbers and statistics that aren’t swayed by the human element. So, as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years which has them as one of the more tenured experts in the industry.
Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so. Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need. Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you invest in the known commodity of ASAwins!
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What a great point by the guys @VSiNLive about the #Knicks and how refreshing it is to see a team work so hard and play for each other. @paulyhoward @mitchmossradio Undersized yet rebound with tenacity with a 46.3RPG average in playoffs vs. #76ers 38.8RPG.
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