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NFL Power Rankings | Oct 14 2025

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Point Train – NFL Power Rankings (Post-Week 6, 2025)

Here is a short NFL rankings based on what we’ve seen through games played on October 13th. These rankings are fluid and will fluctuate weekly. We are reflecting on their performance and alignment with analytics as of October 14, 2025.

  1. Detroit Lions 4-2: Explosive offense led to 4 straight wins and the losses have been respectable at Green Bay and Kansas City. (+49 total points differential) . Top-tier efficiency (3rd DVOA) despite early coaching hiccups. A legitimate contender.
  2. Seattle Seahawks 4-2: Quietly a current contender in the NFC. The Seahawks rank 1st DVOA overall. Lost to 5-1 Tampa Bay and 4-2 49ers. Top-10 in offensive/defensive YPPL.
  3. LA Rams: 4-2 after late-game bad breaks – blocked FGs, OT loss – or could be 6-0. Elite efficiency (top-10 YPPL both sides) makes them a sneaky contender with a veteran QB and a coach that knows how to win.
  4. Indianapolis Colts: High-octane offense (6.3 YPPL, 1st in scoring 32.3PPG) drives a 5-1 start. Defense lags but improving. “Indiana Jones” nickname fits QB Danny Jones who has played well in Indy (best QBR currently in league). Why isn’t Jones in the MVP conversation (+3000)? What if he leads the Colts to the best record in the AFC?
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Baker Mayfield’s late-game heroics fuel a 5-1 record despite a +14 point differential. Disappointing defense 16th in Yards p/play allowed.
  6. Philadelphia Eagles: Smoke-and-mirrors 4-2 record with negative -1 point differential. Credit is due for wins against the Rams, Bucs, Chiefs. Questions abound after two straight losses – one to the Giants.
  7. Buffalo Bills: Dropped after a home loss to Patriots and MNF loss to the Falcons. 4-0 start was inflated by weak opponents (3-17 combined). Still a top-6 offense per DVOA. Josh Allen can overcome a lot…just not bad coaching or play defense.
  8. San Francisco 49ers: Injury-plagued but resilient (4-2). Mac Jones (3-1) outshines Purdy (1-1), raising QB questions. Health remains a critical concern.
  9. Green Bay Packers: Solid 4-2 with balanced offense/defense (top-10 in both Offensive/Defensive DVOA). Looked like Super Bowl contender in Weeks 1 & 2, then imploded versus the Browns and defense suspect in tie at Cowboys.
  10. Kansas City Chiefs: Don’t count out the Chiefs after their 3-3 start for the perennial contenders. Offense struggled the first few weeks but is starting to click now. The O took a jump last week going from 5.3YPPL to 5.7YPPL.
  11. Denver Broncos: Scrappy 4-2 squad with underrated defense (6th DVOA). Offense needs consistency, but they’re exceeding expectations and tracking better than my preseason rankings.
  12. Washington Commanders: Not surprised with 3-3 start with flashes of offensive brilliance. Analytics (7th-12th range) suggest they’re a playoff dark horse. They face a tough 3-game stretch at KC, vs. Seattle and Detroit.
  13. Jacksonville Jaguars: Competitive 4-2 team with improving efficiency. Young roster finding its groove and you can’t discredit wins at 49ers and home against the Chiefs. Verdict still out but certainly a contender in the AFC South.
  14. LA Chargers: 4-2 but inconsistent. Injuries are always a major concern in the NFL and the Chargers’ top 4 running backs are out or injured. Not sure a one-dimensional offense can survive in today’s NFL.
  15. New England Patriots: Upset win over Buffalo highlights 4-2 record. Shockingly the offense has outplayed the defense thus far under coach Vrabel. Pats fans should temper their enthusiasm as the other three wins have come against Miami, Carolina and New Orleans.
  16. Pittsburgh Steelers: 4-1 with an offense that ranks bottom 10 in Yards p/play (5.1YPPL) but thrives on turnovers with +1.4 per game (2nd most). The defense is starting to play like a Mike Tomlin unit allowing just 5.2YPPL.
  17. Atlanta Falcons: 3-2 with a pedestrian offense. 2nd year QB Penix Jr ranks 20th in passing YPG, 19th in QBR but has upside and a stud RB in Robinson. The defense rates are much higher in efficiency stats (1st) than traditional numbers.
  18. Minnesota Vikings: 3-2 despite major concerns with their O-line. Offense shows flashes with Wentz providing stability and a loaded WR group. Defensive top 10 in efficiency ratings and 2nd in 3rd down conversion percentage, 8th in Yards p/play allowed and 5th in scored D allowing 19.4PPG.
  19. Houston Texans: Disappointing 2-3 after high expectations. Is the offense for real after putting up 26 and 44 points the past two weeks? Hold on a minute, those numbers come against a Titans D allowing 27PPG (26th) and the Ravens giving up 32PPG (32nd). The defense looks to be real as they’ve held 4 of five opponents to 10-points or less.
  20. Chicago Bears: 3-2 after a 3-game winning streak. The Bears have some positive momentum, but they were outgained in both wins against the Cowboys and Raiders and were +3 in TO’s against Washington.
  21. Arizona Cardinals: 2-4 with the wins coming against Carolina and New Orleans – hardly impressive. One of two teams in the NFL with a losing overall record but a positive point differential (Houston).
  22. Dallas Cowboys: 2-3-1 and a tough team to figure out right now. Shocking tie with Green Bay but needed OT to beat a bad Giants team, held off the Jets two weeks ago then lost at Carolina last week. Polar opposites with offense scoring 30.6PPG (3rd) and defense giving up 30.7PPG (31st).
  23. Baltimore Ravens: Shocking 1-5 start. The defense is sputtering and offense can’t replicate last year’s dominance. Harbaugh’s defense has allowed 37+ points in four of six games this season. They gave up 37 or more points just two times prior to this season dating back to 2022. No Lamar Jackson is devastating.
  24. Carolina Panthers: 3-3 and better than last season. There is a light at the end of the tunnel with a 5-4 record dating back to the end of last season.
  25. Cincinnati Bengals: 2-4 and reeling. The desperate Bengals traded for the fossil known as Joe Flacco who couldn’t beat out a pair of average rookies for the starting job in Cleveland. A bottom 5 defense doesn’t help.
  26. Cleveland Browns: 1-5 and lifeless. Offense (27th) is among the league’s worst; defense has been outstanding but how long before they wear down.
  27. Las Vegas Raiders: 2-4 The defense is the bright spot as they allow 5.2YPPL (11th) and rank 10th in DVOA. The offense on the other hand is bottom 5 in most metrics.
  28. New York Giants: 2-4 after an upset win over the Eagles last Sunday. QB Dart has provided a spark for the offense but it’s going to be short-lived as teams get more film on him.
  29. Miami Dolphins: 1-5 and decimated by injuries. Not all the blame can fall on QB Tua as the O-line is atrocious. The defense offers little resistance allowing 6.3YPPL.
  30. New Orleans Saints: 1-5 and may struggle to get 5 wins this season. 30th in total DVOA.
  31. Tennessee Titans: 1-5 and at least has something to build on with rookie QB Cam Ward.
  32. New York Jets: 0-6 and rock bottom – After watching the Jets last week, there isn’t a worse coach in the NFL than Aaron Glenn. QB struggles and defensive lapses make them non-competitive.

Thanks for taking a minute to read our NFL Power rankings and we hope you enjoyed our thoughts on the current NFL landscape. Don’t forget you can take advantage of our NFL pick service weekly here on this website with guaranteed bets – only pay when you win. 


~ Cheers Marty

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NFL Player Prop Bets | QB’s Big Day | Oct 12 2025

Patriots – QB Drake Maye OVER 232.5 Passing Yards vs. Saints

Drake Maye just torched the Bills for 273 yards in a wild upset win last week, and he’s cleared 232.5 passing yards in 3 of his 5 starts this season—his two misses? Barely under by 3 yards in Week 2, and then they blew out the Panthers in Week 4 and sat on the lead. The Saints’ pass D ranks 23rd in opponents’ completion % (69.54%) and 20th in yards per attempt (6.8). They don’t sack QBs much either, averaging just 2.4 per game, so Maye should have time to sling it. Maye’s the 2nd-most accurate QB in the NFL at 73.38% completions, especially now that he’s clicking with Stefon Diggs for 100+ yards the last two weeks straight.

Chargers – QB Justin Herbert OVER 21.5 Rushing Yards vs Dolphins

The Chargers are down to their 3rd and 4th string RB’s in Haskins and Vidal so expect Herbert to pick up the rushing slack on broken plays. Herbert has rushed for 24 or more yards in 4 of five games this season and coming off a 60-yard game against the Commanders. Miami ranks last in the league against the run allowing 174 rushing yards per game. The Dolphins give up 5.6 yards per rush (31st). They simply don’t win in the trenches. Miami has allowed an average of 32.8 rushing yards to opposing QB’s this season and Herberts willingness to run makes this a very attractive prop bet Sunday.

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NFL Player Prop Bets | 49ers vs Rams | Oct 2nd 2025

ASAwins NFL Player Prop Bets | TNF 49ers vs Rams | October 2nd 2025

49ers TE Jake Tonges Over 27.5 Receiving Yards

Jake Tonges has surpassed 27.5 receiving yards in two of three games without George Kittle, including a standout 58-yard performance last week. With the 49ers missing WRs Ricky Pearsall and Jauan Jennings, and Mac Jones (has played better than Purdy) starting at QB, Tonges has a favorable matchup. The Rams rank 25th in efficiency stats against tight ends and have allowed the 4th most total passing yards to TE’s on the season at 1101. The Ram’s defense has allowed all four starting TE’s faced to eclipse this receiving total. Tonges was on the field for nearly 80% of the snaps last week and should see a heavy load this week, especially given the 49ers depleted WR’s corps.

Rams RB Kyren Williams OVER 66.5 Rushing Yards

Williams saw a season low in rush attempts last week against the Colts at 13 and still managed 77 rushing yards. He should see an increase in attempts this week to his season average of 18.5 a year ago. Williams has rushed for 66 or more yards in 16 of his last eighteen regular season games dating back to last season. He had two games to start this season of exactly 66-rushing yards, but is averaging 85.5 yards per game. The 49ers allowed the 6th most rushing yards (1,774) to running backs in 2024 and have allowed 115.5 rushing yards per game this season (17th most).

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NFL Free Bet today | Titans vs Texans Prediction | Sept 28 2025

#263 ASA NFL FREE today on: Tennessee Titans +7.5 over Houston Texans, Sunday at 1 PM ET

Really tough ask for Houston to win this rivalry game by more than a TD when they simply struggle to score points. 

The Texans rank dead last in the NFL in scoring averaging 12.7 PPG putting up 9, 10 and 19 points in their 3 games this season.  The Texans are 0-3 ATS losing by an average of 4 PPG to the number. 

Tennessee hasn’t been great offensively but they have scored at least 19 points in 2 of their 3 games and that should get it done here.  In those 2 games the Titans faced the LA Rams and Indianapolis, 2 of the  top 5 offenses in the NFL, and couldn’t keep up despite scoring 19 and 20 points. 

That shouldn’t be a case here facing a Houston team that is averaging just 267 YPG (29th), ranks dead last in 3rd down conversion rate at 24% and scores only 1 point for every 21 yards gained (31st). 

This AFC South rivalry has been closely contested with 9 of the last 10 decided by single digits and the dog has covered 7 of the last 9. 

If we can get 2 TD’s from Tennessee, that just might be enough to get this cover in what is expected to be a low scoring game (lowest total on the board at 39)  Take the points with the Titans as ASA’s NFL free bet today.   

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NFL player props | Dolphins vs Bills | Sept 18 2025

ASAwins has a couple player prop bets for you on the AFC East showdown between the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills game, Thursday September 18th. Get NFL player prop predictions weekly from the experts at ASAwins.com. Off a 1-3 Monday night but 7-3 our last 10 player prop bets.

DOLPHINS – De’Von Achane RB UNDER 12.5 rushing attempts

If this game goes as planned and the Bills jump out to a lead early, the Dolphins may have to abandon the running game. Achane has rushed for UNDER this number in 7 of his last nine games dating back to last season. He was used out of the backfield a lot against the Pats last week with 8 receptions for 92-yards. That could be the focus again Thursday, especially if the Dolphins fall behind big early.

BILLS – Joshua Palmer WR OVER 2.5 receptions

Palmer comes at a much cheaper price for his receptions total at 2.5 (-130) compared to Coleman at 2.5 (-180). Palmer has 12 targets this season, just 2 less than Coleman with 7 receptions in the Bills two games. In last weeks’ win over the Jets, the Bills barely threw the football with 27 passing attempts for 179 passing yards. Palmer averaged 2.6 receptions in 15 games with the Chargers last season.

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