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Free CFB Bet | Texas vs San Jose State | ASA breaks it down

#324 ASA Free CFB PLAY ON Texas -36.5 over San Jose State, Saturday at 12 PM ET

The Spartans could be in for a long day in Austin on Saturday.  Texas lost 14-7 @ Ohio State last week but they outplayed the Bucks on the field with a +133 total yard advantage. 

They also dominated the Buckeyes on the ground averaging 4.5 YPC to just 2.3 YPC for OSU.  The Longhorn defense was stellar limiting Ohio State to just 203 total yards on 3.7 YPP on the road. 

San Jose State lost at home 16-14 last weekend vs a Central Michigan team that was traveling across the country with entirely new systems on both sides of the ball.  How is this SJSU offense going to put up points on the road vs one of the best defenses in the country, and with extra motivation coming off a loss? 

Defensively, the Spartans allowed the brand new CMU offense to average 5.7 YPP and put up 247 yards on the ground last week.  Now they face an angry offense that is ready to blow someone’s doors off after last week. 

While only scoring 7 points last week, Texas did put up 336 total yards and 170 yards rushing on one of the best defenses in the country.  Huge step down here taking on SJSU’s stop unit. 

The Longhorns similar type opponent non-conference home games last year vs Colorado State, UTSA, and UL Monroe, they outscored those 3 opponents 159-10! 

After hearing all week how they blew last week’s game vs OSU, they’ll want to run this one up and get QB Manning rolling with confidence.  Texas has UTEP on deck so no lookahead for them.  Lay it. 

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College Football free bet today | Old Dominion vs Indiana | 8-30-25

ASAwins college football free bet on #175 Old Dominion +24 at Indiana, 2:30PM ET

ODU started last season with a near upset over South Carolina in week 1 as a +21 point underdog. Can they repeat that performance and beat this Indiana team to open the season? It’s unlikely they can win this game, but they don’t have to when they are getting +24-points.

The Monarchs played 9 one-score games a year ago and had a net average point differential of 0.0ppg. ODU is projected to be one of the best pass rushing teams in the Sun Belt and have players (linebackers Henderson and Naotala) capable of pressuring a new QB in Indiana (Fernando Mendoza – Cal).

Despite Indiana’s dominant 11-2 season in 2024, their offense faces uncertainties with a new quarterback and a rebuilt running back unit. Old Dominion, coming off a 5-7 season, excels in close games (20 one-score games in the last two seasons).

ODU Dual-threat QB Colton Joseph could exploit Indiana’s thin defensive line, keeping the game competitive. Indiana had one of the best +/- averages in college football at +21.7ppg but that’s still not enough to get a cover in this one.

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ACC Win Total Prediction | Duke Blue Devils | 2025

duketotalwins

ASA’s ACC FOOTBALL WIN TOTAL PREDICTION – 2025

Duke Blue Devils OVER 6.5 Wins

The Blue Devils finished last season with a 9-3 regular season record and one of those losses came in OT vs SMU.  While we do not expect them to reach 9 wins again this season, their total is set at 6.5 which is too low in our opinion. 

They lose starting QB Murphy, who is now at Oregon State, however the Devils have added one of the top freshman QB’s in the nation from last season.  Their new signal caller, Mensah, started for Tulane last season who threw for 2,700 yards and 22 TD’s for the Green Wave in 2024. 

He’ll operate behind a very good offensive line with 4 starters back and the 5th spot being filled by an experienced transfer. 

Defensively they should be strong in the trenches as well with some key starters back from a team that finished #2 nationally in tackles for loss and #4 nationally in sacks per game.  Head coach Manny Diaz is one of the better defensive minds around so we expect them to be solid on that side of the ball once again this season. 

Speaking of Diaz, he’s done well with the continuity on his coaching staff returning both their offensive and defensive coordinator. 

Our power ratings have Duke favored in 8 games this season and the only game we have them a dog of more than 4 points is @ Clemson.  The Devils also avoid 2 of the top 4 teams in the ACC as they miss Miami FL and SMU in conference play. 

We’ll call for the Blue Devils to get to at least 7 wins.   

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Miami FL vs. Florida Preview | 8-31-24 | By ASA

The Miami Hurricanes will face off against the Florida Gators on Saturday, August 31, at 3:30 PM ET.

Miami enters the game as a 2.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 54 points. In the 2023 season, Miami posted a 7-6 record straight up (SU) and 6-7 against the spread (ATS). As head coach Mario Cristobal begins his third year with the Hurricanes, he faces considerable pressure following a less-than-stellar 14-11 overall record in his first two seasons.

The team will debut new starting quarterback Cam Ward, a transfer from Washington State, where he threw for 3,700 yards and 25 touchdowns last year. Miami’s offensive line is largely intact, and last season the offense averaged 31.5 points per game (38th nationally) and 6.4 yards per play (24th nationally). However, only 43% of their total offensive yardage returns, ranking them 78th in the nation.

On defense, Miami allowed 335 yards per game, placing them 26th nationally, and 5.1 yards per play, ranking 36th. They were particularly strong against the run, giving up just 3.5 yards per carry, which was 20th in the nation. However, the team lost 8 of its top 11 tacklers and returns only 41% of last season’s total tackles, ranking 116th nationally. Historically, Miami has fared well against in-state rival Florida, with a 7-1-1 spread record in their last nine meetings since 1986.

The Florida Gators, on the other hand, finished the 2023 season with a 5-7 record SU and 4-8 ATS. Head coach Billy Napier is also under pressure as he begins his third year in Gainesville, with an 11-14 record over his first two seasons and no bowl appearance last year.

Florida returns 8 starters on offense, including quarterback Graham Mertz, who ranked third in the nation with a 73% completion rate. The Gators also bring back their top running back and 3 of their top 4 wide receivers.

Defensively, Florida returns several starters on the defensive line and in the secondary, but they struggled last season, allowing 6.4 yards per play, which ranked 124th nationally. The Gators face a tough challenge this season, as they play the most difficult strength of schedule in college football, with 8 of their opponents entering the season ranked in the top 25. Despite this, Florida has performed well as a home underdog, covering the spread in 5 of the 7 games since 2018.

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Clemson vs Georgia Preview | 8-31-24 | By ASA

College Football Preview Clemson Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs – By ASA

On Saturday, August 31st, at 12 PM ET, Clemson will face off against Georgia in a highly anticipated matchup. The Bulldogs are favored by 13.5 points, with the over/under set at 48.5.

Clemson, coming off a 9-4 season (6-7 ATS), remains under the steady leadership of head coach Dabo Swinney, who chose to stay loyal to his recruits by avoiding the transfer portal this offseason. The Tigers return 9 starters on offense, including quarterback Cade Klubnik, who threw for 2,844 yards with 19 touchdowns and 9 interceptions last season. Running back Phil Mafah, who rushed for 965 yards with an impressive 5.4 yards per carry, also returns. Additionally, Clemson’s top two receivers from last season, both of whom had over 500 receiving yards, are back. The Tigers are solid in the trenches, boasting the 12th-rated offensive line in the nation.

Although the defense returns only 5 starters, Clemson will rely on several underclassmen from last season’s roster to step up. Last year, Clemson dominated time of possession, ranking 8th, while running the 3rd most plays per game at 78.2. Defensively, Clemson allowed just 305.8 yards per game, the 11th fewest in 2023, and led the nation by forcing 2.3 turnovers per game.

Georgia, coming off a stellar 13-1 record in 2023 (5-8-1 ATS), enters the season as the betting favorite to win the National Championship under head coach Kirby Smart. The Bulldogs return 7 starters on offense, including quarterback Carson Beck, who nearly reached 4,000 passing yards last season with 24 touchdowns. Georgia boasts the top-rated offensive line in the country, with 4 returning starters, having allowed the fewest sacks last season while supporting a rushing attack that averaged 5.3 yards per carry.

Defensively, Georgia also returns 7 starters from a unit that allowed just 16.6 points per game. The Bulldogs have ranked in the top 10 in scoring defense for three consecutive seasons and are once again stacked on that side of the ball. Last season, Georgia was 4th in yards per play at 7.1 and led the nation in 3rd down conversions at 55.6%. Defensively, they ranked 3rd in 3rd down conversions allowed at 26.7% and allowed the 9th fewest yards per point at 17.9.

Both teams underperformed last season compared to their high standards, so it will be interesting to see if they rebound and play with a chip on their shoulders in 2024.

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