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Penn State Big Ten Champions +240

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ASAwins – Penn State +240 to Win the Big Ten: 2025 Sports Betting Preview

Penn State enters the 2025 college football season as a legitimate contender for the Big Ten title, with odds of +240 and a chance to more than double our investment. The Lions have a strong roster, favorable schedule, and elite coaching staff. With one of the deepest teams in the nation, a proven track record under head coach James Franklin, and key additions to the coaching staff, the Nittany Lions are well-positioned to make a run at the conference crown and a spot in the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff (CFP).

Why Bet on Penn State at +240?

1. Elite Roster Depth and Returning Talent – Penn State boasts one of the most talented and experienced rosters in college football for 2025. The Nittany Lions return key players at nearly every position, including quarterback Drew Allar, running backs Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen, and a stout offensive line with four returning starters. Defensively, they return starters at all three levels, including star defensive end Dani Dennis-Sutton and cornerback A.J. Harris.

Running Back Duo: Singleton and Allen form the nationโ€™s premier backfield, both surpassing 1,000 rushing yards in 2024 (Singleton: 1,099 yards, 12 TDs; Allen: 1,108 yards, 8 TDs). ESPN ranks them as the No. 2 and No. 3 running backs in college football for 2025, respectively. Their complementary stylesโ€”Singletonโ€™s explosive speed and Allenโ€™s physical, chain-moving powerโ€”make them a nightmare for opposing defenses. Both are also effective in the passing game, with Singleton recording 375 receiving yards and 5 TDs in 2024.

Offensive Line: Penn State returns four of five starters on the offensive line, including tackles Drew Shelton and Anthony Donkoh, guard Vega Ioane, and center Nick Dawkins. This unit allowed just 8 sacks and 14 tackles for loss in 2024 while paving the way for 3,237 rushing yards. Their experience and cohesion should provide ample protection for Allar and open lanes for Singleton and Allen.

Quarterback Stability: Drew Allar, a former five-star recruit, returns for his senior season after showing improvement in 2024 under offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki. Allarโ€™s health and decision-making will be critical, but with a strong supporting cast, heโ€™s poised for a breakout year.

Transfer Portal Additions: Penn State addressed its wide receiver struggles by adding Devonte Ross, Kyron Hudson, and Trebor Peรฑa via the transfer portal. These additions provide Allar with reliable targets, potentially elevating the passing game.

2. Proven Track Record Under James Franklin – Franklinโ€™s tenure at Penn State has been marked by consistent success, with a 101-42 record (.706 winning percentage) and seven top-12 CFP rankings in the last nine seasons. Since 2016, Penn State is 82-12 straight-up (SU) as a favorite, with an average margin of victory of +21 points per game (PPG). This is a critical stat, as the Nittany Lions are projected to be favored in every game except their road matchup against Ohio State.

Recent Success: In 2024, Penn State reached the Big Ten Championship Game and secured two CFP victories, finishing with a 12-2 record.

However, Franklinโ€™s 1-15 SU record against Top 5 teams is a concern. The Ohio State game looms large, but the Buckeyeโ€™s face a tougher schedule and will likely have to win in Michigan in their final game of the season.

3. Favorable 2025 Schedule – Penn Stateโ€™s path to the Big Ten title is manageable, with only one projected underdog game (at Ohio State). Key games include:

Home vs. Oregon: A marquee matchup that could decide the Big Ten pecking order. Playing at Beaver Stadium, where Penn State is 45-5 SU since 2016, gives them a significant edge. The Lions also get Nebraska at home who is the only other preseason Top 25 team on their schedule.

The Lions avoid Michigan and USC which are two major obstacles avoided on their way to a Big Ten Championship.

4. Elite Coaching Staff – Penn Stateโ€™s coaching staff is among the best in college football, with offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki and new defensive coordinator Jim Knowles leading the charge.

Andy Kotelnicki (Offense): In his second year at Penn State, Kotelnicki has transformed the offense into a dynamic unit. In 2024, Penn State ranked first in the Big Ten in rushing yards per game (over 200 YPG), thanks to Kotelnickiโ€™s creative play-calling and utilization of Singleton and Allen. His Kansas offense in 2023 averaged 206 rushing yards per game and 5.4 yards per carry, and with a more talented roster in 2025, expect similar production. Kotelnickiโ€™s ability to incorporate tight ends and running backs into the passing game could offset the loss of star tight end Tyler Warren.

Jim Knowles (Defense): Knowles, hired from Ohio State, brings a proven track record of elite defensive performance. In 2024, his Ohio State defense led the nation, allowing just 264 yards per game (YPG) and 12.9 PPG. Knowlesโ€™ aggressive, blitz-heavy scheme should mesh well with Penn Stateโ€™s talented front seven, led by Dennis-Sutton (4.5 sacks in 2024 CFP games) and emerging linebacker Tony Rojas (58 tackles, 3 INTs in 2024). Knowlesโ€™ defenses have ranked first in the nation for four consecutive years, and Penn Stateโ€™s 2024 defense already ranked No. 17 in rushing defense.

5. Did we forget to mention the defense? – Penn State returns 70% of its defensive production from 2024, including key contributors like safety Jaylen Reed (98 tackles, 3 INTs) and defensive tackle Zane Durant (42 tackles, 11 TFL). The addition of transfers like Michiganโ€™s Owen Wafle and Texas A&Mโ€™s Enai White bolsters the defensive line.

6. Betting Value at +240 – At +240, Penn State offers strong value compared to favorites like Ohio State (-110) and Oregon (+200). The Nittany Lionsโ€™ depth, coaching, and schedule give them a realistic path to 11 or 12 wins, which could be enough to win the Big Ten, especially if they upset Ohio State on the road. The +240 odds imply a 28.6% chance of winning the Big Ten, but Penn Stateโ€™s metrics suggest their true probability is closer to 33-35%, making this a value bet.

Key Stats Recap

Franklinโ€™s Record: 101-42 at Penn State, 125-57 overall.

As Favorite: 82-12 SU since 2016, +21 PPG average margin.

Running Backs: Singleton (1,099 yards, 12 TDs) and Allen (1,108 yards, 8 TDs) in 2024.

Offensive Line: 4 returning starters, allowed 8 sacks in 2024.

Knowlesโ€™ Defense (2024 at Ohio State): 264 YPG, 12.9 PPG, No. 1 nationally.

2024 Team Stats: No. 1 in Big Ten rushing (200+ YPG), No. 17 rushing defense nationally.

With a loaded roster, elite coaching, and a favorable schedule, Penn State is poised for a breakout season. Bet on the Nittany Lions to roar in 2025.

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College Betting | NCAAF Texas Tech Win Total Prediction | June 17 2025

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ASAwins Betting Summary: Texas Tech Red Raiders Over 8.5 Wins for 2025 Season

Case for the Over (9+ Wins): Texas Tech is poised to exceed 8.5 wins in 2025, building on an 8-5 record in 2024 and leveraging a combination of returning talent, a transformative transfer portal haul, and a favorable schedule. The Red Raidersโ€™ aggressive offseason moves, particularly on defense, address critical weaknesses, while their high-powered offense remains a strength, making the over an attractive futures bet.

Offensive Strengths:

Returning Starters: Texas Tech returns eight offensive starters, including senior quarterback Behren Morton, who threw for 3,335 yards and 27 touchdowns in 2024, despite shoulder issues. Mortonโ€™s experience in the Air Raid offense, where he started all 12 games, ensures continuity and growth. Key returners like wide receivers Coy Eakin and Caleb Douglas (combined for over 100 catches) and a veteran offensive line anchor the unit.

2024 Offensive Stats: The Red Raiders ranked 9th nationally in total yards per game (462 YPG), 9th in passing yards per game (294.3 YPG), 61st in rushing (167.7 YPG), and 4th in scoring (37.6 PPG). This explosive offense, led by Morton, should maintain its elite production, especially with a favorable non-conference schedule (Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Kent State, Oregon State) and only one 2024 bowl team before October.

Transfer Additions: The offense was bolstered by transfers like wide receiver Roy Alexander (100 catches at Incarnate Word) and USC running back Quinten Joyner, adding depth and playmaking. Offensive line transfers like Jalen Sampson (Houston, 6-8, 325 lbs) and Will Jados (Miami-Ohio, 38 career starts) address 2024โ€™s pass protection issues (52 pressures allowed by the left side). These additions bridge gaps until younger linemen develop, ensuring Morton has time to operate.

Defensive Improvements:

2024 Defensive Struggles: Last season, Texas Techโ€™s defense was a liability, ranking 126th out of 133 FBS teams in total defense (460 YPG) and allowing 34.8 PPG, with a particularly weak pass defense (308 YPG, worst among Power 4 teams). This was a key factor in their 5-losses a year ago, as the offense couldnโ€™t outscore every opponent.

Transfer Portal Dominance: Texas Tech secured the nationโ€™s top-ranked transfer portal class, with a heavy focus on defensive upgrades. They added five defensive backs and four defensive linemen/edge rushers, including high-impact players like edge rusher David Bailey (Stanford, 14.5 career sacks), Romello Height (Georgia Tech), Lee Hunter (UCF, 69 tackles in 2023), and Skyler Gill-Howard (Northern Illinois). PFF rated Techโ€™s defensive line among the top 10 most impactful transfer units, projecting starters like Hunter and Gill-Howard to transform the front.

New Coordinator: Defensive coordinator Shiel Wood, hired from Houston, brings a proven scheme that ranked top-40 in scoring defense and limited big plays (only 37 scrimmage plays of 20+ yards allowed). With eight returning defensive starters, including linebackers Jacob Rodriguez and Ben Roberts (42 combined starts, 325 tackles), and these transfers, the defense is expected to significantly improve, potentially flirting with league-average performance.

Schedule and Intangibles:

Favorable Schedule: Texas Techโ€™s 2025 slate starts with three winnable home games (Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Kent State, Oregon State), providing early momentum. Two open dates (Sept. 27 and Nov. 22) offer rest and preparation before tough road games at Utah, Houston, Colorado, Kansas State, and West Virginia. Only one opponent through October was a 2024 bowl team, easing early integration of transfers.

Program Momentum: Coach Joey McGuireโ€™s aggressive approach, backed by a $10+ million investment in transfers, signals a win-now mentality. The Matador Clubโ€™s NIL collective and early planning for the $2.8 billion House settlement ensure roster stability.

Risks to Consider:

Defensive Integration: While the transfer additions are elite, integrating 17 new players (21 total transfers) could lead to early chemistry issues, especially with a new defensive coordinator. The defense must improve from its 2024 basement ranking to at least mediocre to support the offense.

Mortonโ€™s Health: Mortonโ€™s shoulder surgery (December 2024) means heโ€™ll miss spring practice, though heโ€™s expected to be cleared by May. Any setbacks could force reliance on backups like Will Hammond or Mitch Griffis, potentially disrupting offensive rhythm.

Betting Recommendation: The over 8.5 wins (+115) is a strong value bet. Texas Techโ€™s elite offense (4th in scoring, 9th in total yards) returns nearly intact, with Morton and key weapons ensuring 37+ PPG potential. The defense, previously a liability at 460 YPG and 34.8 PPG, has been overhauled with top-tier transfers like Bailey, Hunter, and Height, plus a proven coordinator in Wood. A soft early schedule and two open dates set up 9-10 wins. The +115 odds offer a favorable payout for a team with Playoff buzz and a realistic shot at a Big 12 title push.

Final Prediction: Texas Tech finishes 9-3 or 10-2.

Email sports@asawins.com and inquire on HUGE SAVINGS on the upcoming 2025 football season!

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CFB FREE BET | Sept 7 2024 | From ASA

#348 ASA CFB FREE BET ON Ole Miss -41.5 over Middle Tennessee State, Saturday at 4:15 PM ET

CFB Free bet today from ASA. Ole Miss can name the score here and head coach Lane Kiffin has shown heโ€™s not opposed to running up huge numbers on inferior opponents.ย  Last week the Rebels beat FCS Furman 76-0 and they took their foot slightly off the gas after leading 73-0 in the 3rdย quarter.ย 

You might say well thatโ€™s Furman an FCS team but the Paladins have a very solid program and entered the year ranked in the top 15 in the FCS poll.ย  One trusted FBS / FCS power rating system, Jeff Sagarin, has Furman and this Middle Tennessee state team rated almost dead even.ย  The 76 point win wasnโ€™t a turnover laced fluke as Furman had only 1 turnover in the game.ย  Ole Miss outgained the Paladins by a ridiculous +600 yards (772 to 172 total yards) and the Rebels had 37 first downs to just 7 for Furman.ย 

While Mississippi was destroying one of the better teams at the FCS level, MTSU was struggling at home to simply win a game vs one of the worst FCS programs, Tennessee Tech.ย  The Blue Raiders were outgained in that 32-25 win, had fewer first downs and needed a TD with under 1:00 minute remaining to escape with a home win as a 24 point favorite.ย 

Tennessee Tech finished 4-8 last year and hasnโ€™t won more than 4 games in any of the last 4 seasons.ย  For comparisons sake, this same Tennessee Tech team who almost beat MTSU last Saturday, played Furman last year (Mississippiโ€™s opponent last week) and lost 45-10.ย 

The Blue Raiders are lost a ton of players from last year (just 7 starters back) and are working on new systems on both sides of the ball with new head coach Derek Mason.ย 

Heading to Oxford is not ideal for this MTSU team still trying to figure things out.ย  Unless Lane Kiffin decides to take it easy here, which he hasnโ€™t in the past, this one will get really ugly and we like the Rebels as a CFB free bet.

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CFB FREE BET | Arizona vs New Mexico prediction | 8-31-24

#182 ASA FREE PLAY ON Arizona -30 over New Mexico, Saturday at 10:30 PM ET

New Arizona head coach Brent Brennan takes over a team loaded with talent after former head man Jedd Fisch moved onto Washington.ย  The Cats have 3 players projected as 1stย round draft picks next year (WR, OL, and CB).ย  On top of that Arizona returns QB Fafita who put up big numbers (2,900 yards passing and 25 TDโ€™s) after taking over the starting job in game 4 last year.ย 

The Cats put up 38 PPG after Fifita took over and they should log huge numbers here vs a New Mexico defense that gave up 567 yards last week to FCS Montana State.ย 

The Lobos were double digit dogs at HOME to Montana State and the final score (lost 35-31) was not indicative of the Bobcats dominance.ย  New Mexico had 2 defensive TDโ€™s in the game and were outgained by over 200 yards, outrushed by over 200 yards, and had 10 minute time of possession disadvantage.ย  Now after getting dominated by a very good FCS team, the Lobos take the road and face on one of the better FBS teams.ย 

Arizona has an advantage with a full game of film on New Mexico as well while the Lobos are flying blind not knowing how the Wildcats will operate with a new coaching staff.ย  Arizona could easily push 50 points here while we donโ€™t expect the Lobos offense to do much after scoring just 17 points (minus the defensive points) last week at home.ย  Blowout.ย ย 

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Clemson vs Georgia Preview | 8-31-24 | By ASA

College Football Preview Clemson Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs – By ASA

On Saturday, August 31st, at 12 PM ET, Clemson will face off against Georgia in a highly anticipated matchup. The Bulldogs are favored by 13.5 points, with the over/under set at 48.5.

Clemson, coming off a 9-4 season (6-7 ATS), remains under the steady leadership of head coach Dabo Swinney, who chose to stay loyal to his recruits by avoiding the transfer portal this offseason. The Tigers return 9 starters on offense, including quarterback Cade Klubnik, who threw for 2,844 yards with 19 touchdowns and 9 interceptions last season. Running back Phil Mafah, who rushed for 965 yards with an impressive 5.4 yards per carry, also returns. Additionally, Clemsonโ€™s top two receivers from last season, both of whom had over 500 receiving yards, are back. The Tigers are solid in the trenches, boasting the 12th-rated offensive line in the nation.

Although the defense returns only 5 starters, Clemson will rely on several underclassmen from last seasonโ€™s roster to step up. Last year, Clemson dominated time of possession, ranking 8th, while running the 3rd most plays per game at 78.2. Defensively, Clemson allowed just 305.8 yards per game, the 11th fewest in 2023, and led the nation by forcing 2.3 turnovers per game.

Georgia, coming off a stellar 13-1 record in 2023 (5-8-1 ATS), enters the season as the betting favorite to win the National Championship under head coach Kirby Smart. The Bulldogs return 7 starters on offense, including quarterback Carson Beck, who nearly reached 4,000 passing yards last season with 24 touchdowns. Georgia boasts the top-rated offensive line in the country, with 4 returning starters, having allowed the fewest sacks last season while supporting a rushing attack that averaged 5.3 yards per carry.

Defensively, Georgia also returns 7 starters from a unit that allowed just 16.6 points per game. The Bulldogs have ranked in the top 10 in scoring defense for three consecutive seasons and are once again stacked on that side of the ball. Last season, Georgia was 4th in yards per play at 7.1 and led the nation in 3rd down conversions at 55.6%. Defensively, they ranked 3rd in 3rd down conversions allowed at 26.7% and allowed the 9th fewest yards per point at 17.9.

Both teams underperformed last season compared to their high standards, so it will be interesting to see if they rebound and play with a chip on their shoulders in 2024.

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