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FREE college football bet | Sept 25

POINT TRAIN WAGER – #376 OREGON STATE +6 vs. USC @ 9:30PM ET

WAGER – OREGON STATE +6

  • Free college fotball – This is one of those games I keep going back to for one specific reason. The line on this game opened with USC a touchdown favorite and more money/tickets are being bet on the Trojans, yet the line moved off that key number.
  • My computers have USC as a 4.2-point favorite on a neutral field so you can see for yourself this number is slightly inflated.
  • Both have played Fresno State this season and won. OSU went to Fresno and won 35-32 as a 1-point dog. USC hosted the Bulldogs last week and won 45-17.
  • Oregon State was a 10-point road dog a year ago in So Cal and won 45-27 with a plus +109-yards differential.
  • USC is loaded on offense with some high-profile transfers but the Beavers aren’t far behind with an offense putting up 45.7PPG and averaging 12.6-Yards Per Point.
  • Defensively the Beavers were slightly better a year ago and the two units are about even this season.
  • There is value with the home dog in this one.
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College Football Free Bet – Friday Sept 23

POINT TRAIN FRIDAY OPINION PLAY ONLY: Boise State @ UTEP @ 9PM ET

WAGER – BOISE STATE -16

RATING – Opinion

  • This is one of those games you end up over-thinking and not betting the Side you should which is Boise State in this case.
  • Both teams have played New Mexico with drastically different outcomes. Boise beat UNM 31-14 in New Mexico and outgained them by +175-total yards as a 17-point favorite.
  • UTEP was at UNM last weekend and lost 10-27 as a 2-point favorite. The Miners outgained Lobos by 55-yards.
  • Last year at home the Broncos were -25-point favorites at home and won 54-13 with +130-yard advantage.
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NFL Player Props Thursday NFL Steelers vs. Browns

NFL player prop bets for Thursday, Sept 22nd 2022

KAREEM HUNT – OVER 16.5 RECEIVING YARDS – Hunt had 16 receiving yards last week against the Jets and 24 the week before versus Carolina. Dating back to last season he has averaged 23-receiving yards per game. Hunt has been targeted 6 times in two games and should see his fair share of looks in this game. Pittsburgh was 14th in the NFL a year ago in receiving yards allowed to running backs at an average of 38.2 per game. With the high winds in Cleveland tonight expect plenty of check-downs to the backs.

NICK CHUBB – OVER 6.5 RECEIVING YARDS – Pittsburgh was 14th in the NFL a year ago in receiving yards allowed to running backs at an average of 38.2 per game. With the high winds in Cleveland tonight expect plenty of check-downs to the backs. Chubb literally needs just one ball thrown his way to eclipse this number. Last week he had 26-receiving yards on 3-receptions with 3 targets. Last season Chubb averaged 1.7 receptions per game and 12.4-receiving yards per contest.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS – UNDER 16.5 POINTS – The Steelers are averaging 18.5PPG which is 22nd in the NFL. That average is misleading though as they have just 1 offensive TD on the season. Pittsburgh is 30th in both yards per game gained and Yards Per Play at 4.3. The Steelers have just 2 Red Zone attempts this season and have benefitted with great field position with turnovers forced by their defense (6 in two games). The Steelers current estimated points per game is 14.5, one of the lowest numbers in the NFL. The windy conditions certainly won’t help in this one. Bet Under.

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MLB free pick Mariners vs A’s – Sept 22

Scott Rickenbach MLB free pick on Thursday September 22nd 2022

MLB free pick Thursday Free Pick Seattle Mariners Run Line -1.5 -130 @ Oakland A’s @ 3:37 ET – Just do not see the Mariners getting swept by the lowly A’s. Yes, anything can happen but I am backing Seattle here to get a big win at Oakland to close out this series. Regardless of pitchers, payback time for the Mariners here. Action on pitchers is the way to play this one but I will mention that the expected starting pitchers here also help the cause! Martinez has been roughed up badly in consecutive starts plus got hammered by the Mariners earlier this season. As for Kirby, he is having a fantastic season and also has a very low ERA both on the road and in day games. Very comfortable laying the 1.5 runs with the road team here. Mariners had won 11 of 16 road games heading into this series. Also, 18 of last 20 M’s wins have been by 2 or more runs! Free Pick SEATTLE -1.5 -130. All the best Scott Rickenbach

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NFL free prediction Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens, Sept 18th

ASA breaks down this NFL showdown for you with insights on how and who to bet on.

#263/264 ASA PLAY ON Under 44.5 Points – Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

These 2 met last year and it was a 22-10 grinder won by the Fins.  We expect a similar situation on Sunday.  Both of these teams were slower paced the first week of the season with Miami ranking 31st in pace and Baltimore 27th after one game.  The Ravens ranked 20th in pace last year so that should stay the same throughout this season.  Miami was middle of the pack a year ago but their new head coach McDaniels loves to run the ball and we anticipate them in the bottom third in pace this season.  In their first game, the Dolphins put up just 20 points vs New England and 7 of those came on a defensive TD.  Defensively they looked really good holding the Pats to just 7 points on 271 total yards (5.0 YPP).  The Baltimore offense put up 24 points last week but gained only 274 total yards.  They held the Jets to 9 points and while NY had 380 total yards, almost 200 of those yards came when Baltimore was up 24-3 and the game was out of reach.  The Jets only averaged 4.8 YPP for the game.  In their meeting last year, the Fins and Ravens combined to average only 4.9 YPP and there were 16 punts in the game.  There were only 25 points scored by the offenses in that game with Miami returning a fumble 50 yards for a TD.  There were 27 possessions in the game and 20 of those last 6 plays or fewer.  The defenses dominated that game and we expect the same here.  Baltimore loves the run the ball (3rd in carries per game last year) and we look for the Dolphins to run a lot this year with a new scheme from McDaniels whose known as one of the top run game coordinators on the NFL.  Running eats clock and shortens the game.  These 2 have faced off 6 times since 2014 and only one of those games topped 44 points.  The projected score on this game is Baltimore 24, Miami 21 and we don’t expect either team to reach their number.  Under is the play.