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NBA free predictions from ASA – March 7th

ASA play on: Atlanta Hawks -2.5 @ Washington Wizards, 7PM ET

The first question I asked myself when I looked at this line was, why are the Hawks favored here? Atlanta was recently a -7.5-point home favorite over the Wizards at home and lost 116-119. That tells us this line should be a pick’em which means the oddsmakers are baiting us into betting the Wiz. Washington is in a tough scheduling situation here having played last night and on March 3rd and 4th. That makes this their 4th game in six days which rarely happens in the NBA. Atlanta is off back-to-back losses in Miami and have been solid when coming off a loss with a 19-14 SU record. Washington is 15-15 SU at home on the season with a negative differential of -0.4PPG. Washington’s starters saw heavy minutes last night in Detroit and they’ll have a tough time finding their legs in this one. Lay the points with Atlanta.

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NBA Player Prop Bet – March 7th by ASA

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 16.5 POINTS + ASSISTS – Mike Conley – Minnesota Timberwolves

The 76ers are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA when it comes to points allowed to Point Guards but in recent weeks they’ve struggled in that department. On the season, Philly allows just 21.1PPG to PG’s which is 2nd best in the NBA. In the last two weeks though, they own the 3rd worst numbers allowing 31.8PPG. Tonight they are playing the 2nd night of a back-to-back and 3rd game in four nights so fatigue becomes a factor. Conley has settled in at Minnesota and has produced five straight games of solid numbers with 16 or more Pts+Ass in four of those games. He is averaging 18.06 Pts+Ass per game on the season and now that he is reunited with Rudy Gobert his pick and roll efficiency has increased. We expect a big game from him tonight.

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NBA player prop bet by ASA – March 4th

ASA 103-69 on all NBA player prop bets this season!

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 21.5 POINTS – Darius Garland – Cleveland Cavaliers

With All-Star guard Donovan Mitchell less than 100% here we expect Garland to carry more of the scoring burden against a Pistons team that is one of the worst in the NBA. When in comes to defensive efficiency the Pistons rank 28th only slightly higher than the Rockets and Spurs. They also give up on average 24.7PPG to Point Guards on the season which is 8th worst in the league. Garland has scored 22 or more in 4 of his last five games.

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Free NBA Basketball Bet – Thursday, Mar 2nd

ASA free bet is on Indiana Pacers -6 vs San Antonio Spurs, 8:30PM ET

The Spurs had lost 16 straight games prior to a win in Utah in their last game out. We expect them to return to their losing ways again tonight versus a surging Pacers team vying for a Playoff spot. Not only did San Antonio go on a straight up losing streak they also have just 3 covers in their last seventeen games. Indiana has won 3 of four including an impressive win over the Mavericks last time out as a +8.5 point underdog. The Spurs are bad on both ends of the court ranking last in defensive efficiency, last in points allowed per game, last in overall FG% defense and 3PT% D. It’s not much better for them on the offensive end of the court where they rank 29th in offensive efficiency and 20th or worse in PPG allowed, FG% D and  3PT% defense. The Pacers should take advantage of the Spurs defense with their 11th ranked 3PT shooting offense that hit’s 36.4% of their attempts. San Antonio has failed to cover in 4 straight home games and the Pacers are on a 4-0 spread streak on the road against sub .400 teams. The Pacers have also covered 4 straight in San Antonio. 

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NBA Player Prop free bets – Feb 24th

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS – Jordan Poole – Golden State Warriors

Poole is coming off rough shooting night against the Lakers but will get ‘well’ tonight versus the Rockets. Houston is one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA allowing 118PPG. They allow opponents to shoot 36.8% from beyond the arc which ranks 25th. When it comes to Point Guards they allow 3.3 made 3-pointers per game which is the 2nd most in the league. Shooting guards make on average 3.8 3-pointers which is the highest number in the NBA. The last time Poole faced this Rockets team he made 5 3’s.

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP OVER 31.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Deandre Ayton Phoenix Suns

The Thunder are coming off a game in Utah last night and the Jazz starting Center, Walker Kessler, had a monster rebound game with 17 rebounds along with 7-points. The Thunder allow the 5th most rebounds to Centers in the NBA at 16 per game and Ayton is one of the best rebounders in the league at 10.1 per game. In this scenario we like the combination of points + rebounds as Ayton is averaging 33.8 pts+rebs per game over his last ten games. The Big Man for the Suns has a BIG game tonight.