Tag: American Sports Analysts

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NFL Free Bet | Colts vs Seahawks | Dec 14 2025

POINT TRAIN NFL Free Bet – DEC 14

@Seattle Seahawks OVER 27.5 (-118) Team Total vs Indianapolis Colts – 3:25PM CT

RATING: Free Bet

  • The 2nd most efficient offense in the NFL belongs to the Seattle Seahawks per DVOA metrics. The Colts defense is slightly above average or 13th in DVOA stats.
  • The Seahawks average 353 Total yards/game, 9th most, average 6.2YPPL – 5th most – and score 29.8PPG – 2nd most.
  • It takes Seattle 11.9 yards gained for 1-point scored. (Explosive) Best in the NFL.
  • Seattle Points p/play = .509 – 1st – 3.2 TD’s per game – 6th.
  • The Hawks have scored 26 or more points in 9 of their 13 games this season.
  • The Colts have solid overall defensive numbers, but we are seeing a regression in those stats as the schedule has gotten tougher. They will also be without Gardner and Ward (?) their two best cover-corners.
  • Indianapolis has allowed 25+ points in 3 of their last five games.
  • Last week the Colts gave up 36-points to the Jaguars, a below average offense that averages 5.1YPPL – 23rd.
  • Seattle has scored 26+ points in every home game but one this season – the opener against the Niners.
  • Without Danny Jones at QB the Colts offense will struggle to convert 1st downs which means more possessions for Seattle.
  • Seattle is 10-4 OVER their Team Total in 10 of their last 14 road games.

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NBA free Player Prop Bet | Collin Gillespie | Dec 1

ASA NBA play on: UNDER 12.5 Pts – Collin Gillespie – Phoenix Suns

Gillespie has been shooting above expectations in recent weeks and has also seen an increase in his overall usage. That coincides with the injury to Grayson Allen who was out Nov 16th – Nov 28th. Gillespie went over this scoring prop in all 7 games playing extended minutes. As soon as Allen returned he managed to score 10-points against the Nuggets. When Gilliespie has played 28 or less minutes per game he has stayed UNDER this scoring prop in 12 of 16 games. The Lakers are better than average when it comes to defending PG/SG. With Allen taking away minutes we don’t see Gillespie getting over his scoring prop in this one.

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NBA free bet | Grizzlies vs Kings | Nov 30 2025

ASAwins NBA Free bet: player prop – OVER 22.5 PTS+REBS+ASS – Santi Aldama – Grizzlies

Santi Aldama has been a consistent producer for the Memphis Grizzlies lately, averaging 28 minutes per game across his last 10 outings. That increased workload has fueled impressive stat lines, including 15.5 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per game—good for a combined PRA average of 26.2, well above the 22.5 number today.

Aldama has cleared 22 combined points, rebounds, and assists in nine of those 10 games. His outlier performance came in a recent 137-96 rout of the Kings, where he went off for 29 points, five rebounds, and three assists in just 28 minutes. The Kings rank 8th in pace of play and are 26th in total defensive efficiency.

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NBA free bet today | Bulls vs Pelicans | Nov 24th 2025

ASA free bet today on Chicago @ New Orleans Under 242½ 

Our NBA model is projecting a total of 235.1, dragged down by NOP’s anemic 109.7 offensive efficiency (oEFF – bottom-5 league-wide) facing Chicago’s 118 dEFF. The Bulls are one of the faster paced teams in the NBA but the Pelicans are one of the slowest. Chicago has not been great offensively either this season ranking 19th in offensive efficiency. H2H last season produced totals of 232 and 234 —Pelicans’ injury-riddled roster will have a tough time putting up points in this one and the Bulls have a few key injuries as well. Bet UNDER.

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NFL Player Props | Nov 23 | Week 12

ASA’s NFL PLAYER PROPS for Sunday, November 23rd

Drake Maye Over 253.5 Passing Yards – New England Patriots

Maye is averaging 258 passing yards per game and surpassed that mark in eight of his eleven games in 2025. Moreover, the Patriots bout with the Bengals currently has the highest point total of the weekend (51.5) with Joe Burrow possibly making a return to action. The second-year QB is leading the league in passing yards and gets a mouthwatering matchup against the league’s second worst pass defense on Sunday. OC Josh McDaniels has unlocked Maye’s potential, making him into a deadly accurate thrower, illustrated by his league leading completion percentage. All signs point to the Patriots continued domination as Maye keeps working toward a potential MVP award. 

Jonathan Taylor Over 90.5 Rushing Yards – Indianapolis Colts

Arguably the most talented running back in the league, Taylor is having himself a historic season. He leads the league averaging six yards per carry while also having the most attempts per game, equating to nearly 114 rushing yards per contest. The elite volume and efficiency are eerily similar to Saquon Barkley’s season in 2024 where he ran for over 2,000 yards. Indianapolis travels to Arrowhead stadium to face the Chiefs stout run defense, ranking ninth in rushing yards allowed per game. However, with the way the Colts ground game has been bulldozing opponents, JT will be hard to contain. Taylor has surpassed this line in four of the last five games, and will look to do so again. 

Rome Odunze Over 48.5 Receiving Yards – Chicago Bears

Odunze has had a solid sophomore season averaging 60 ypg, while becoming the number one option in Ben Johnson’s passing scheme. Caleb Williams has improved drastically this year, relying on Odunze for chunk plays. In week 12, Pittsburgh brings their league worst passing defense to Chicago in a huge matchup between division leaders. One would think Williams will have free rein to air it out in a possible shootout vs city nemesis Aaron Rodgers. Odunze has a 24% target share in the Bears offense and this pass heavy outlook sets up perfect for their big body receiver. This line is very attainable given what we have seen from the former top ten pick out of Washington. 

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