Category: Freepicks

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NBA Free Bets for January 25th by ASA

ASA has you covered with some free action in the NBA

ASA play on: Sacramento Kings -3.5 vs Toronto Raptors, 10PM ET

The Kings are quietly sitting 3rd in the Western Conference at 27-19 and continue to fly under the radar. Sacramento is 16-10 SU at home with a +/- of +6.6PPG which is the 6th best average in the NBA. Toronto is 6-15 SU away from home this season with an average Margin of Victory of minus -2.2PPG. The Raptors are 1-3 ATS their last four on the road. You’ll also be surprised to know the Kings have been solid ATS as a favorite this season. When laying less than double-digits the Kings have rewarded backers with a 14-8 ATS record. Sacramento is the #1 rated offensive efficiency team at home this season at 1.227-points per possession, whereas the Raptors rank 15th on the road in OEFF. The Raptors do hold an edge defensively but it’s not as great a difference as the offensive numbers that favor the Kings. Sacramento is 5-1 SU their last six at home and the five wins came by 21.6PPG. We like them here minus the short number.

ASA Team Total UNDER 124.5 POINTS – GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

The Warriors have put up some big scores in recent games, but they came against bad defensive teams. Today they face the #1 rated defensive efficiency team in the Grizzlies who allow just 1.099-points per possession. The Warriors have faced some similar defensive teams in recent games (Cavs, Celtics, Bulls and Suns) and failed to top 120 points in any of those games. Golden State has scored more than 124 points against the Grizzlies just 1 time in their last 10 meetings. Our math model is projecting 114.6-total points for the Warriors.

ASA Player Prop OVER 25.5 POINTS+REBOUNS – Jusuf Nurkic – Portland Trailblazers

Nurkic is inline for a big game tonight against a Jazz team that allows the 5th most points to centers and the 3rd most rebounds. In two meetings this season versus the Jazz he has totaled 25 and 29 points+rebounds respectively. In his last ten games he is averaging 25Pts+Rebs and is coming off a 36 total night against the Spurs.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 26.5 POINTS+ASSISTS – Fred VanVleet – Toronto Raptors

VanVleet is averaging 19.1PPG on the season but in his last ten games that number has jumped up to 21.3PPG. The same can be said about is Assists statistics. For the year he is averaging 6.3APG but in his last ten games that average is 6.9APG. The Kings allow the 6th most points (24.6PPG) in the NBA to PG’s and 7.9-assists per game. There is a good chance VanVleet scores enough to get Over this number, the assists will just make it that much easier.

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NBA Player Prop Bets – Jan, 23 2023

ASA has HAMMERED the Sports Books this basketball season with a 80-46 NBA Prop Bet run! Don’t settle for the just the free picks when more winners are included in the nightly pick Service.

ASA Player Prop OVER 29.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Nikola Vucevic – Chicago Bulls

The Hawks allow the 2nd most points to Centers this season at 25.6PPG. In the last two weeks that average has ballooned to 35.4PPG. On the year they also allow nearly 16 rebounds per game to Centers. On the season, Vucevic is averaging 17.5PPG and 11RPG but he’s been much better of late averaging 20PPG/13.6RPG in his last ten games.

ASA Player Prop OVER 9.5 POINTS Zach Collins – San Antonio Spurs

The Blazers are the worst team in the NBA when it comes to points allowed to Centers as they give up on average 27PPG. In the last two weeks it’s been even worse for the Blazers as they’ve allowed an average of 38.2PPG to C’s. They rank 23rd out of 30 teams in points allowed in the paint. In his last ten games Collins is averaging 10.8PPG on 52% shooting. He is coming off a 17-point game against the Clippers and can build on that momentum here.

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NBA Player Props 77-45 YTD

ASA has produced a 77-45 record on NBA Players Props this season. Below are 2 bets for Saturday, Jan 21st

ASA Player Prop OVER 10.5 REBOUNDS Deandre Ayton – Phoenix Suns

The Pacers are not a good rebounding team to start with as they rank 25th and 26th in offensive and defensive rebounds per game. Indiana is coming off a game last night in Denver and fatigue will be a factor. Ayton is one of the best rebounders in the league at 9.85 per game and 10.63 in his last ten games. He has grabbed 11 or more boards in 5 of the last six games he’s played in.

ASA Player Prop OVER 17.5 POINTS – Mikal Bridges – Phoenix Suns

We were on Bridges Over for points the other night against the Nets and will come back with another wager on him here. Bridges has taken up some of the scoring burden with Chris Paul and Booker sidelined. He is averaging 17.7PPG in his last ten games and has scored 21+ in 4 of the last five. Indiana doesn’t defend SG’s well either, allowing 25.3PPG which is 3rd worst in the NBA.

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College Basketball free bet – Saturday, Jan 21st

#768 ASA PLAY ON West Virginia -1 over Texas, Saturday at 5 PM ET

We’ve faded Texas in each of their last 2 games with winning results.  This team is vastly overrated in our opinion and there is a reason the unranked West Virginia Mountaineers are favored over the Horns who currently preside in the top 10 in the AP rankings.  The Longhorns lost by 11 @ Iowa State earlier this week so they will be playing their 2nd straight road game.  The game prior to that, Texas had to come from 9 points down at half, at home vs Texas Tech to win by 2 points.  They are 4-2 in conference play and 3 of their 4 wins have come by 4 points or fewer.  The Horns simply aren’t playing that well right now despite their top 10 ranking.  Prior to their double digit loss to ISU earlier this week, they trailed Texas Tech by 9 at half and trailed TCU by 18, both at home before coming back to win tight games.  Texas is averaging 80 PPG this season but in their road games they are only putting up 64 PPG on just 40% shooting.  WVU is undervalued because they are 1-5 in Big 12 play but 4 of their 5 losses have come by 7 points or less or in OT.  The Mountaineers have some momentum after beating a very good TCU team by 9 on Wednesday, their season long offensive and defensive metrics are very comparable to Texas, and they are very well coach with Bob Huggins as the helm.  The Horns are 1-6 ATS their last 7 road games and we expect WVU to pick up a win and cover at home on Saturday. 

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NBA Player Prop Bets – January 19th

NBA Player Prop bets for Detroit Pistons vs Chicago Bulls Day Game – Thursday, Jan 19th

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 8.5 POINTS – Ayo Dosunmu – Chicago Bulls

The Detroit Pistons give up the 5th most points to PG’s this season at 24.8PPG. Dosunmu has averaged 10.1PPG in his last ten games and 9.52PPG on the season. In a recent meeting with the Pistons he managed 11 points and cashed the Over. The Total on this game is 236 which means it’s going to be higher scoring. Granted DeRozan is back in the lineup today and he will get his fair share of field goal attempts but Dosunmu should get to his average or score 10+ in this one.

ASA NBA player prop OVER 11.5 REBOUNDS – Nikola Vucevic – Chicago Bulls

We expect a big rebounding performance here from Vucevic as he faces a Pistons teams that is 25th in defensive rebounding, 22nd in offensive rebounding. Detroit also allows the 4th most rebounds to Centers this season at 16.2 per game. Vucevic has averaged 13 rebounds per game his last ten games and has grabbed more that 11.5 in 7 of his last nine games.